New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Yankee Stadium, Bronx· J. Freemon 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel53%RiskMediumGap-3.5%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel66%RiskMediumGap+3.4%
New York City FC Rest
5 days
New York Red Bulls Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.83
X
27%3.96
2
21%3.77
Double Chance
1X
79%1.25
X2
48%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.49
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 1.01 = 2.70
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.50
Over 3.5
35%2.26
Under 1.5
20%5.50
Under 2.5
42%2.55
Under 3.5
65%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.8 = 9.7
Over 8.5
59%1.55
Over 9.5
46%1.99
Over 10.5
36%2.50
Under 8.5
41%2.27
Under 9.5
54%1.76
Under 10.5
64%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%1.38
Over 4.5
53%1.78
Under 3.5
29%2.90
Under 4.5
47%1.99

Match Events

6'A. Mehmeti
22'C. Cowell
30'N. Cavallo
40'M. Sofo
55'A. O'Neill
57'J. Hall
62'M. Dos Santos IND. Padelford out
62'H. Wolf INB. Traore out
62'Luighi INA. Martinez out
75'A. Ojeda INM. Jones out
84'C. Cowell INJ. Ruvalcaba out
84'A. Mehmeti IND. Ruiz out
84'J. Hall INE. M. Choupo-Moting out

Lineups

New York City FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Pascal Jansen
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3
Matthew Freese49M. FreeseMatthew Freese
Tayvon Gray24T. GrayTayvon Gray
Thiago Martins13T. MartinsThiago Martins
James Sands6J. SandsJames Sands
Nico Cavallo2N. CavalloNico Cavallo
Aiden O'Neill21A. O'NeillAiden O'Neill
Andrés Perea8A. PereaAndrés Perea
Agustin Ojeda26A. OjedaAgustin Ojeda
Nicolás Fernández7N. FernándezNicolás Fernández
Hannes Wolf17H. WolfHannes Wolf
Luighi Hanri20L. HanriLuighi Hanri
Ethan Horvath34E. HorvathEthan Horvath
Dylan Nealis12D. NealisDylan Nealis
Tim Parker26T. ParkerTim Parker
Julián Bazán14J. BazánJulián Bazán
Matthew Dos Santos56M. Dos SantosMatthew Dos Santos
Ronald Donkor48R. DonkorRonald Donkor
Adri Mehmeti15A. MehmetiAdri Mehmeti
Mohammed Sofo37M. SofoMohammed Sofo
Cameron Harper17C. HarperCameron Harper
Julian Hall16J. HallJulian Hall
Cade Cowell7C. CowellCade Cowell

New York City FC Substitutes

9Bénie TraoréF
16Alonso MartínezF
88Malachi JonesF
30Tomás RomeroG
34Raul GustavoD
35Mitja IleničD
23Max MurrayD
22Kevin O'TooleD
32Jonathan ShoreM

New York Red Bulls Substitutes

59Devin PadelfordD
8David RuízM
11Jorge RuvalcabaF
13Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingF
77John McCarthyG
6Robert VoloderD
60Sekou KoneM
10Emil ForsbergM
92Dennis NelichF

Match Stats

New York City FCNew York Red Bulls
63%Ball Possession37%
6Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots4
10Fouls19
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves4
506Total Passes298
429Passes Accurate226
85%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

New York City FCNew York City FC
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
1592Elo Rating 1529
0.79Attack 0.64
2.20Defense 2.19
23%Hit Rate 50%
10.8Shots per Game 10.5
3.4Shots on Target 2.8
5.0Corners per Game 4.9
1.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York City FCNew York City FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

New York City FC 59%Draw 27%14% New York Red Bulls
3.04Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

J. Freemon · 80 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

This Major League Soccer meeting between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

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Key Factors for This Match

New York City FC and New York Red Bulls have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.04 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.