Brentford vs Tottenham Prediction

Brentford
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Tottenham
Brentford Community Stadium, London· Michael Oliver, England 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalNEUTRALModel44%RiskMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.80
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+14.1%
Brentford Rest
7 days
Tottenham Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.45
X
29%3.60
2
31%2.76
Double Chance
1X
69%1.45
X2
60%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.53
No
41%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.29 = 2.93
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.32
Under 2.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.9 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.32
Over 9.5
46%1.59
Over 10.5
34%1.93
Under 8.5
42%3.04
Under 9.5
54%2.23
Under 10.5
66%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.5
50%1.66
Over 4.5
27%2.29
Under 3.5
50%2.15
Under 4.5
73%1.57

Match Events

12'K. Lewis-PotterAssist: M. Sangare
33'V. Janelt
34'C. GallagherFoul
46'C. Gallagher INM. Fernandes out
46'L. Bergvall INR. Bentancur out
49'M. Kayode
54'I. Thiago(Penalty missed)
67'M. Jensen INY. Yarmolyuk out
67'D. Ouattara INJ. Anthony out
68'M. Moore INJ. Maddison out
68'Richarlison IND. Solanke out
76'M. Sangare INM. Damsgaard out
76'M. Kayode INA. Hickey out
78'V. JaneltHolding
83'I. Thiago INC. Wilson out
86'A. Gray IND. Udogie out

Lineups

Brentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith Andrews
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberto De Zerbi
Caoimhin Kelleher1C. KelleherCaoimhin Kelleher
Michael Kayode33M. KayodeMichael Kayode
Kristoffer Ajer20K. AjerKristoffer Ajer
Nathan Collins22N. CollinsNathan Collins
Keane Lewis-Potter23K. Lewis-PotterKeane Lewis-Potter
Mamadou Sangare18M. SangareMamadou Sangare
Vitaly Janelt27V. JaneltVitaly Janelt
Dango Ouattara11D. OuattaraDango Ouattara
Mathias Jensen8M. JensenMathias Jensen
Kevin Schade7K. SchadeKevin Schade
Igor Thiago9I. ThiagoIgor Thiago
Antonín Kinský31A. KinskýAntonín Kinský
Archie Gray14A. GrayArchie Gray
Jan Paul van Hecke6J. Paul van HeckeJan Paul van Hecke
Marcos Senesi5M. SenesiMarcos Senesi
Andy Robertson3A. RobertsonAndy Robertson
Sandro Tonali16S. TonaliSandro Tonali
Lucas Bergvall15L. BergvallLucas Bergvall
Mikey Moore47M. MooreMikey Moore
Conor Gallagher8C. GallagherConor Gallagher
Mathys Tel11M. TelMathys Tel
Richarlison9RicharlisonRicharlison

Brentford Substitutes

12Hákon Rafn ValdimarssonG
3Rico HenryD
2Aaron HickeyD
5Ethan PinnockD
44Jannik SchusterD
6Yehor YarmoliukM
19Jaidon AnthonyF
24Mikkel DamsgaardM
13Callum WilsonF

Tottenham Substitutes

39Martin DúbravkaG
4Kevin DansoD
13Destiny UdogieD
33Ben DaviesD
10James MaddisonM
18Mateus FernandesM
30Rodrigo BentancurM
19Dominic SolankeF
68Luca Williams-BarnettM

Match Stats

BrentfordTottenham
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots1
16Fouls13
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
334Total Passes474
275Passes Accurate414
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

BrentfordBrentford
TottenhamTottenham
1856Elo Rating 1746
2.38Attack 0.83
1.87Defense 2.02
31%Hit Rate 17%
15.1Shots per Game 14.0
4.3Shots on Target 4.1
4.1Corners per Game 7.5
1.8Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BrentfordBrentford
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Brentford 0%Draw 27%73% Tottenham
2.21Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BrentfordBrentford
2W2D1L
15/08/2026
BrentfordEintracht Frankfurt
70
W
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
W
24/05/2026
LiverpoolBrentford
11
D
17/05/2026
BrentfordCrystal Palace
22
D
09/05/2026
Manchester CityBrentford
30
L
TottenhamTottenham
3W2D0L
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
W
08/08/2026
TottenhamGetafe
11
D
01/08/2026
ChelseaTottenham
12
W
29/07/2026
TottenhamSydney
4121
W

Referee Profile

Michael Oliver, England · 32 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.5Avg Cards
22.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 5% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Brentford vs Tottenham Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

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Key Factors for This Match

Brentford have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Brentford and Tottenham have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.21 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.