Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina · Clausura - 9

Newells Old Boys

1-1

Finished

HT 0-1

Velez Sarsfield

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario 11/09/2026

Newells Old Boys

1-1

Finished

Velez Sarsfield

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

4.4 / 10

AI Best Pick

66%Trust

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

1.44

SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap-3.1%

Value Analysis

54%Trust

BTTS

Both Teams to Score

2.10

SignalGOODModel54%RiskMediumGap+7.8%

Newells Old Boys Rest

5 days

Velez Sarsfield Rest

5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result

36%2.85

31%2.92

33%2.70

Double Chance

67%1.44

64%1.40

Both Teams to Score

Yes

54%2.10

46%1.67

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.07 = 2.22

Over 1.5

70%1.53

Over 2.5

44%2.60

Over 3.5

24%5.00

Under 1.5

30%2.50

Under 2.5

56%1.47

Under 3.5

76%1.16

Corners

Projected Corners: 4.1 + 4.8 = 8.9

Over 8.5

50%1.65

Over 9.5

40%2.05

Over 10.5

28%2.64

Under 8.5

50%2.11

Under 9.5

60%1.68

Under 10.5

72%1.43

Cards

Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.8

Over 3.5

70%-

Over 4.5

51%1.37

Under 3.5

30%-

Under 4.5

49%2.63

Match Events

27'Ronaldo MartinezAssist: Elías Gómez

59'Emanuel Mammana INLisandro Magallán out

60'Juan Cruz Policella INÁlex Zahir Verón out

60'Rodrigo Herrera INJerónimo Gómez Mattar out

63'Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra(Penalty missed)

67'Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra INWalter Nunez out

80'Rodrigo Aliendro INLuca Feler out

81'Ronaldo Martinez INDilan Godoy out

85'Luca Regiardo INJuan Ignacio Ramírez out

85'Facundo Samuel Guch INAlan Soñora out

88'Manuel Lanzini INClaudio Baeza out

90+3'Alan Soñora

Lineups

Newells Old Boys

4-2-3-1Coach: F. Kudelka

Velez Sarsfield

4-2-3-1Coach: Guillermo Barros Schelotto

30J. ReinattiJ. Reinatti

6M. OrtegaM. Ortega

17L. GianettiL. Gianetti

16L. CarrizoL. Carrizo

28J. RussoJ. Russo

26R. HerreraR. Herrera

5L. RegiardoL. Regiardo

7W. MazzanttiW. Mazzantti

20F. GauchFacundo Gauch

32S. SolariS. Solari

9M. CóccaroM. Cóccaro

1T. MarchioriT. Marchiori

4J. GarcíaJ. García

32T. SilveorThiago Silveor

2E. MammanaE. Mammana

3E. GómezElías Gómez

29R. AliendroR. Aliendro

8L. RobertoneL. Robertone

37J. PolicellaJ. Policella

22M. LanziniM. Lanzini

18S. EscobarS. Escobar

77R. MartínezR. Martínez

Newells Old Boys Substitutes

25B. CabreraD

27L. GómezM

19J. MattarM

3M. LucianoD

33W. NúñezF

99I. RamírezF

39T. RiosF

22O. SalomónD

36Francisco ScarpeccioF

8D. SoteloM

15A. SoñoraM

21G. AriasG

Velez Sarsfield Substitutes

5C. BaezaM

19L. CristaldoD

15D. GodoyF

16L. MagallánD

47A. PereyraD

23F. SanguinettiG

17A. VerónF

33Thiago VillalbaM

35M. AriasF

48Luca FelerM

46Ulises PiedrabuenaD

30L. PiolaF

Match Stats

Newells Old BoysVelez Sarsfield

53%Ball Possession47%

8Corner Kicks2

0Yellow Cards1

15Total Shots7

6Shots on Goal1

5Shots off Goal3

13Shots Inside Box5

2Shots Outside Box2

4Blocked Shots3

13Fouls13

5Offsides2

0Goalkeeper Saves3

413Total Passes387

325Passes Accurate286

10Free Kicks12

Newells Old Boys

Velez Sarsfield

1617Elo Rating 1733

1.11Attack 0.95

2.34Defense 2.28

31%Hit Rate 23%

8.3Shots per Game 10.1

3.5Shots on Target 2.9

3.6Corners per Game 4.2

1.8Cards per Game 1.3

Game State Tendencies

Newells Old Boys

Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Velez Sarsfield

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Newells Old Boys 36%Draw 27%37% Velez Sarsfield

1.55Avg Goals

41%BTTS Rate

14%Over 2.5

Recent Form

06/09/2026

Rosario Central

Newells Old Boys

03/09/2026

Velez Sarsfield

Boca Juniors

3040

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	LLWWD
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	DWDDD
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	DWDWD
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	WDLWW
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	DWDLW
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	WWLDL
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	DDDWD
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DWWWD
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	LLDWW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	WDDDD
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	DDDLL
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	DDDWD
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	WDLWD
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	DLLLD
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	DDDDD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	14:14	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	24:20	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17:17	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5:12	11

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Instituto Cordoba	9	6	1	2	10:6	+4	19	LLDWW
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13:11	+2	18	WDDDD
3	Velez Sarsfield	9	4	5	0	12:7	+5	17	DWDWD
4	Gimnasia M.	9	5	1	3	14:9	+5	16	DDDLL
5	Boca Juniors	9	3	5	1	12:11	+1	14	DWDDD
6	Independiente	9	4	2	3	8:7	+1	14	DWDLW
7	Lanus	9	4	1	4	11:8	+3	13	WWLDL
8	Union Santa Fe	9	4	1	4	16:14	+2	13	DWWWD
9	Newells Old Boys	9	3	4	2	10:8	+2	13	DLLLD
10	San Lorenzo	9	3	2	4	4:6	-2	11	DDDWD
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	3	1	5	9:9	0	10	LLWWD
12	Deportivo Riestra	9	2	3	4	8:10	-2	9	DDDDD
13	Platense	9	2	3	4	9:14	-5	9	DDDWD
14	Talleres Cordoba	9	2	2	5	10:14	-4	8	WDLWW
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7:13	-6	8	WDLWD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	9	10:6	19
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	13:11	18
3	Velez Sarsfield	9	12:7	17
4	Gimnasia M.	9	14:9	16
5	Boca Juniors	9	12:11	14
6	Independiente	9	8:7	14
7	Lanus	9	11:8	13
8	Union Santa Fe	9	16:14	13
9	Newells Old Boys	9	10:8	13
10	San Lorenzo	9	4:6	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	9:9	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	9	8:10	9
13	Platense	9	9:14	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	9	10:14	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	7:13	8

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

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Key Factors for This Match

Newells Old Boys and Velez Sarsfield have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.55 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

AI Best Pick

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Newells Old Boys Substitutes

Velez Sarsfield Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Recent Form

League Table

Apertura - Group A

Clausura - Group A