Rotherham vs Newport County Prediction

Rotherham
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Newport County
New York Stadium, Rotherham 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Rotherham Rest
3 days
Newport County Rest
3 days

Rotherham vs Newport County: the result in context

Rotherham and Newport County drew 2-2 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. Newport County had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Rotherham.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.15
X
28%3.38
2
30%3.25
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
58%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.15 = 2.40
Over 1.5
72%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.92
Over 3.5
27%3.25
Under 1.5
28%3.34
Under 2.5
52%1.85
Under 3.5
73%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.47
Over 9.5
45%1.82
Over 10.5
33%2.35
Under 8.5
43%2.41
Under 9.5
55%1.89
Under 10.5
67%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

4'Paul Mullin(Penalty)
12'Aaron NemaneAssist: Jayce Fitzgerald
16'Jamie JellisFoul
28'Harrison Biggins(Penalty)
42'Paul MullinArgument
42'Gerard GarnerArgument
45'Alfie Merritt INMatthew Smith out
54'Gerard Garner
60'Gerard Garner INKion Etete out
60'Michael Adu-Poku INYahya Bamba out
64'Jili Buyabu INK. Lolas out
73'Denzel Hall INKieran Ngwenya out
85'kian spence INTom Bradshaw out
89'H. DouglasFoul

Lineups

Rotherham
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Bruce
Newport County
3-4-1-2Coach: H. Mullins
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.40
J. Eyestone5.813J. Eyestone
J. Rafferty6.32J. Rafferty
D. Iorfa6.627D. Iorfa
H. Douglas6.226H. Douglas
D. Hall6.112D. Hall
K. Spence6.48K. Spence
Jayce Fitzgerald7.115J. Fitzgerald
J. Buyabu6.524J. Buyabu
A. Nemane8.123A. Nemane
Jamie Jellis6.222J. Jellis
P. Mullin7.010P. Mullin
J. Wright5.91J. Wright
L. Jenkins6.05L. Jenkins
K. Cameron6.24K. Cameron
Joe Thomas6.412J. Thomas
C. Norman6.022C. Norman
M. Dibley-Dias6.224M. Dibley-Dias
C. Brennan6.16C. Brennan
Alfie Merritt5.717A. Merritt
M. Adu-Poku6.823M. Adu-Poku
G. Garner7.719G. Garner
H. Biggins7.210H. Biggins

Rotherham Substitutes

14Sonny Aljofree
4J. Austerfield
9T. Bradshaw85'for kian spence6.5
1T. Cann
28Brandon Ashley Cover
20K. Lolas64'replaced by Jili Buyabu
5K. Ngwenya73'for Denzel Hall6.1

Newport County Substitutes

28K. Etete60'for Gerard Garner6.6
2C. Evans
7K. Evans
33S. MacDonald
34D. Sassi
8M. Smith45'for Alfie Merritt6.4
20Y. Bamba60'for Michael Adu-Poku6.6

Match Stats

RotherhamNewport County
62%Ball Possession38%
2Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
18Fouls16
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
393Total Passes245
281Passes Accurate141
15Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

RotherhamRotherham
Newport CountyNewport County
1431Elo Rating 1516
1.43Attack 1.77
0.12Defense 1.95
0%Hit Rate 41%
10.7Shots per Game 15.8
3.7Shots on Target 3.6
3.9Corners per Game 4.9
2.9Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RotherhamRotherham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Newport CountyNewport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

RotherhamRotherham
2W3D5L
17/10/2026
Fleetwood TownRotherham
20
L
10/10/2026
RotherhamGillingham
14
L
06/10/2026
RotherhamBradford
04
L
03/10/2026
Exeter CityRotherham
10
L
26/09/2026
RotherhamCrewe
11
D
22/09/2026
YorkRotherham
4151
W
19/09/2026
NorthamptonRotherham
01
W
12/09/2026
RotherhamSalford City
33
D
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
L
01/09/2026
TranmereRotherham
22
D
Newport CountyNewport County
3W4D3L
17/10/2026
Newport CountyYork
11
D
10/10/2026
Newport CountyColchester
10
W
06/10/2026
Newport CountyPlymouth
4252
L
03/10/2026
GillinghamNewport County
00
D
26/09/2026
Newport CountyGrimsby
21
W
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
02
W
19/09/2026
Accrington STNewport County
00
D
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D
05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
10
L
01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
21
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
6YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
7WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
9Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
10Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
11Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
13GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
14TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
17Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
18RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
20NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
21OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
22ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
23RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
6YorkYork1424:2120
7WalsallWalsall1218:1119
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
9Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
10Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
11Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
13GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
14TranmereTranmere1316:1616
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
17Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
18RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
20NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
21OldhamOldham1214:1812
22ColchesterColchester1211:1612
23RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Rotherham vs Newport County forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rotherham and Newport County in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Newport County are 11th and Rotherham 23rd, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Rotherham 17-23, Newport County 20-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rotherham and Newport County have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.