NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 Prediction

NK Osijek
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Istra 1961
Opus Arena, Osijek·Ivan Vukancic 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-8.9%
NK Osijek Rest
7 days
Istra 1961 Rest
20 days

NK Osijek vs Istra 1961: the result in context

Istra 1961 beat NK Osijek 3-1 in the HNL on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Istra 1961 have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Referee Ivan Vukancic averages 3.57 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.98
X
26%3.55
2
28%3.35
Double Chance
1X
72%1.28
X2
54%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.11 = 2.58
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.65
Over 3.5
34%2.65
Under 1.5
22%4.20
Under 2.5
45%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.48
Over 9.5
51%1.82
Over 10.5
38%2.29
Under 8.5
38%2.44
Under 9.5
49%1.88
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

2'Simun Mikolcic
31'Daouda Doumbia INDemirel hodzic out
34'Antonio MauricAssist: Emil Frederiksen
45'Antonio Mauric INDukan Ahmeti out
45'Emin Hasic INivano kolarik out
50'Nik Skafar ZuzicAssist: Dukan Ahmeti
56'Álejandro Cantero INIvan Dolček out
56'Domagoj Bukvic INAdmir ljatifi out
62'Marcel Heister INDavid Kalem out
62'Luka vrbancic INOleksandr Petrusenko out
67'Demirel hodzicFoul
69'Simun MikolcicFoul
71'Gustavo albarracinFoul
76'Armando LeónFoul
79'Nik Skafar Zuzic INSilvio Gorican out
85'Gustavo albarracin INMatija Kablar out
90+3'Dukan Ahmeti
90+6'Dukan AhmetiFoul

Lineups

NK Osijek
4-2-3-1Coach: Fede Bessone
Istra 1961
4-2-3-1Coach: Javier Cabello
Avg rating6.36
Avg rating6.69
M. Malenica5.631M. Malenica
J. Kruiver6.722J. Kruiver
9898I. Ježić
E. Hasić6.333E. Hasić
M. Heister6.12M. Heister
L. Vrbancic6.123L. Vrbancic
Š. Mikolčić7.68Š. Mikolčić
D. Bukvić6.039D. Bukvić
Luka Tunjic6.711L. Tunjic
Cantero6.021Cantero
A. León6.479A. León
F. Kolić6.71F. Kolić
R. Hrvatin6.744R. Hrvatin
M. Nasraoui6.53M. Nasraoui
R. Kumar6.64R. Kumar
Niko Šepić6.313N. Šepić
D. Doumbia6.388D. Doumbia
G. Albarracín6.225G. Albarracín
E. Frederiksen7.222E. Frederiksen
A. Maurić7.58A. Maurić
N. Skafar Zuzic7.930N. Skafar Zuzic
Isaac6.29Isaac

NK Osijek Substitutes

1N. Curcija
7I. Dolček56'for Álejandro Cantero6.3
18Niko Farkaš
26L. Jelenić
47D. Kalem62'for Marcel Heister6.2
49Ivano Kolarik45'for Emin Hasic6.2
30A. Ljatifi56'for Domagoj Bukvic6.8
16O. Petrusenko62'for Luka vrbancic6.4
24L. Posavec
99Balelo
9I. Barić
67B. Bakti

Istra 1961 Substitutes

27D. Celija
20D. Ahmeti45'for Antonio Mauric90+3'90+6'8.2
12Roko Banovac
39T. Brajkovic
11S. Goričan79'for Nik Skafar Zuzic6.4
5D. Hodzic31'for Daouda Doumbia67'6.0
16S. Miettinen
66M. Momoh
40J. Paus-Kunšt
23S. Ukich
24Ivano Svraka
34M. Kablar85'for Gustavo albarracin5.9

Match Stats

NK OsijekIstra 1961
64%Ball Possession36%
10Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots16
4Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
16Fouls11
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
526Total Passes297
457Passes Accurate235
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

NK OsijekNK Osijek
Istra 1961Istra 1961
1558Elo Rating 1556
1.30Attack 1.89
1.29Defense 1.71
17%Hit Rate 54%
18.8Shots per Game 14.9
5.5Shots on Target 7.4
7.0Corners per Game 5.5
2.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NK OsijekNK Osijek
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Istra 1961Istra 1961
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NK OsijekNK Osijek1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
Istra 1961Istra 19617Wins · 70%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

HNL10/05/2026
NK OsijekIstra 1961
01
HNL06/03/2026
Istra 1961NK Osijek
01
HNL07/12/2025
NK OsijekIstra 1961
15
HNL21/09/2025
Istra 1961NK Osijek
21
HNL25/05/2025
NK OsijekIstra 1961
11
HNL29/03/2025
Istra 1961NK Osijek
21
HNL20/12/2024
NK OsijekIstra 1961
22
HNL04/10/2024
Istra 1961NK Osijek
21
HNL20/04/2024
NK OsijekIstra 1961
12
HNL10/02/2024
Istra 1961NK Osijek
10

Recent Form

NK OsijekNK Osijek
5W2D3L
03/10/2026
NK OsijekBsk Bijelo Brdo
11
D
19/09/2026
NK VarazdinNK Osijek
00
D
12/09/2026
NK OsijekDinamo Zagreb
42
W
09/09/2026
Segesta SisakNK Osijek
31
L
05/09/2026
HNK RijekaNK Osijek
41
L
30/08/2026
NK OsijekNK Slaven Belupo
30
W
23/08/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitNK Osijek
40
L
15/08/2026
NK OsijekNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
10
W
08/08/2026
RudesNK Osijek
16
W
01/08/2026
HNK GoricaNK Osijek
02
W

Referee Profile

Ivan Vukancic45 matches

3.57Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ivan Vukancic3.57
Other referees4.28

3.57 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 21 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

HNL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1071219:9+1022WWLWW
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb961223:12+1119WLWLW
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1153315:10+518LLWDD
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka952216:12+417WLWDW
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1152419:16+317LDLDW
6NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913WLWDL
7Istra 1961Istra 19611033417:16+112LWLWD
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411DWLLD
9RudesRudes1131714:27-1310WLWDL
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica111467:15-87DDLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split1019:922
2Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb923:1219
3NK VarazdinNK Varazdin1115:1018
4HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka916:1217
5NK OsijekNK Osijek1119:1617
6NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo1114:2313
7Istra 1961Istra 19611017:1612
8NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1113:1711
9RudesRudes1114:2710
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica117:157
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 forecast

The forecasts for this HNL match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NK Osijek and Istra 1961 in the HNL table

NK Osijek and Istra 1961 are close in the HNL table, 5th and 7th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: NK Osijek 19-16, Istra 1961 17-16. The full standings are on the HNL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.