Norway vs Senegal Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 2
Cup
Norway
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Senegal
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford· Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil 23/06/2026
NorwayNorway
3-2
Finished
SenegalSenegal

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.32
SignalSOLIDModel12%RiskHighGap+4.6%
Norway Rest
6 days
Senegal Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.25
X
26%3.40
2
34%3.23
Double Chance
1X
66%1.34
X2
60%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.17 = 2.60
Over 1.5
73%1.28
Over 2.5
46%1.91
Over 3.5
25%3.30
Under 1.5
27%3.60
Under 2.5
54%1.91
Under 3.5
75%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.67
Over 9.5
44%2.10
Over 10.5
33%2.71
Under 8.5
47%2.12
Under 9.5
56%1.68
Under 10.5
67%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.5 = 3.2
Over 3.5
51%2.29
Over 4.5
29%3.40
Under 3.5
49%1.58
Under 4.5
71%1.28

Match Events

13'J. Ryerson INM. Pedersen out
43'M. Pedersen
46'F. Aursnes INP. Berg out
48'E. HaalandAssist: M. Odegaard
53'I. SarrAssist: S. Mane
54'M. Diouf INI. Jakobs out
54'P. Gueye INI. Mbaye out
58'E. HaalandAssist: P. Berg
63'E. Mendy INM. Diaw out
63'L. Camara INP. Ciss out
71'A. Nusa INA. Schjelderup out
72'K. Koulibaly INP. M. Sarr out
84'T. Heggem INL. Ostigard out
84'A. Sorloth INO. Bobb out
90+3'I. SarrAssist: N. Jackson

Lineups

Norway
4-3-3Coach: Stale Solbakken
Senegal
4-2-3-1Coach: Bouna Thiaw Pape
Ørjan Nyland1Ø. NylandØrjan Nyland
Julian Ryerson26J. RyersonJulian Ryerson
Kristoffer Ajer3K. AjerKristoffer Ajer
Torbjørn Heggem17T. HeggemTorbjørn Heggem
David Møller Wolfe5D. Møller WolfeDavid Møller Wolfe
Martin Ødegaard10M. ØdegaardMartin Ødegaard
Sander Berge8S. BergeSander Berge
Fredrik Aursnes14F. AursnesFredrik Aursnes
Alexander Sørloth7A. SørlothAlexander Sørloth
Erling Haaland9E. HaalandErling Haaland
Antonio Nusa20A. NusaAntonio Nusa
Edouard Mendy16E. MendyEdouard Mendy
Krépin Diatta15K. DiattaKrépin Diatta
Kalidou Koulibaly3K. KoulibalyKalidou Koulibaly
Moussa Niakhaté19M. NiakhatéMoussa Niakhaté
El Hadji Malick Diouf25E. Hadji Malick DioufEl Hadji Malick Diouf
Idrissa Gana Gueye5I. Gana GueyeIdrissa Gana Gueye
Pape Gueye26P. GueyePape Gueye
Ismaïla Sarr18I. SarrIsmaïla Sarr
Lamine Camara8L. CamaraLamine Camara
Sadio Mané10S. ManéSadio Mané
Nicolas Jackson11N. JacksonNicolas Jackson

Norway Substitutes

16Marcus PedersenD
6Patrick BergM
21Andreas SchjelderupF
4Leo ØstigårdD
22Oscar BobbM
12Sander TangvikG
13Egil SelvikG
15Fredrik André BjørkanD
24Sondre LangåsD
25Henrik Sælebakke FalchenerD
19Thelo AasgaardM
18Kristian ThorstvedtM
2Morten ThorsbyM
11Jørgen Strand LarsenF
23Jens Petter HaugeM

Senegal Substitutes

14Ismail JakobsD
20Ibrahim MbayeF
23Mory DiawG
6Pathé Ismaël CissM
17Pape Matar SarrM
1Yehvann DioufG
2Mamadou SarrD
4Abdoulaye SeckD
24Antoine MendyD
22Bara Sapoko NdiayeM
13Iliman NdiayeF
21Habib DiarraM
7Assane DiaoF
9Ahmadou Bamba DiengF
12Cherif NdiayeF

Match Stats

NorwaySenegal
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks4
13Total Shots16
7Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots6
13Fouls5
0Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
352Total Passes487
283Passes Accurate429
80%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

NorwayNorway
SenegalSenegal
1811Elo Rating 1768
1.71Attack 2.24
1.36Defense 1.38
56%Hit Rate 23%
10.8Shots per Game 16.8
4.7Shots on Target 6.2
5.0Corners per Game 5.9
0.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
SenegalSenegal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NorwayNorway
4W1D0L
17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
W
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
01/06/2026
NorwaySweden
31
W
16/11/2025
ItalyNorway
14
W
13/11/2025
NorwayEstonia
41
W
SenegalSenegal
1W1D3L
16/06/2026
FranceSenegal
31
L
10/06/2026
Saudi ArabiaSenegal
00
D
31/05/2026
USASenegal
32
L
18/01/2026
SenegalMorocco
1000
L
14/01/2026
SenegalEgypt
10
W

Referee Profile

Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil · 13 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
28.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 41% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group I

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

Norway vs Senegal Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Norway and Senegal have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.