France vs Iraq Prediction

France
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Iraq
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia·Drew Fischer, Canada 22/06/2026
FranceFrance
3-0
Finished
IraqIraq

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel90%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
France Rest
6 days
Iraq Rest
5 days

France vs Iraq: result, form and history

France beat Iraq 3-0 in the World Cup on 22 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: France had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Iraq.

France tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 2.5 for Iraq.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.10
X
19%10.50
2
4%26.50
Double Chance
1X
96%1.01
X2
23%7.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.55
No
48%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.91 = 2.81
Over 1.5
73%1.07
Over 2.5
49%1.32
Over 3.5
28%1.80
Under 1.5
27%7.00
Under 2.5
51%3.40
Under 3.5
72%2.01
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 2.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.49
Over 9.5
44%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.32
Under 8.5
47%2.47
Under 9.5
56%1.90
Under 10.5
67%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
53%3.12
Over 4.5
30%4.15
Under 3.5
47%1.32
Under 4.5
70%1.28

Match Events

6'Amir Al-AmmariFoul
14'Kylian MbappéAssist: Michael Olise
26'Aymen Hussein INAli Al-Hamadi out
28'Ali Al-Hamadi
54'Kylian MbappéAssist: Ousmane Dembélé
60'Zaid Tahseen INRebin Sulaka out
60'Zaid Ismael INYoussef Amyn out
66'Ousmane DembéléAssist: Michael Olise
68'Ousmane Dembélé INDésiré Doue out
68'Michael Olise INRayan Cherki out
68'Amir Al-Ammari INAimar Sher out
69'Ibrahim Bayesh INMarko Farji out
83'Bradley Barcola INMaghnes Akliouche out
83'Jules Koundé INMalo Gusto out

Extra Time

91'Kylian Mbappé INMarcus Thuram out

Lineups

France
4-2-3-1Coach: Didier Deschamps
Iraq
4-1-4-1Coach: Graham Arnold
Avg rating7.28
Avg rating6.18
Mike Maignan6.916M. Maignan
Jules Koundé7.55J. Koundé
Dayot Upamecano7.84D. Upamecano
William Saliba7.417W. Saliba
Lucas Digne6.93L. Digne
Manu Koné7.16M. Koné
Adrien Rabiot6.914A. Rabiot
Ousmane Dembélé9.07O. Dembélé
Michael Olise7.611M. Olise
Bradley Barcola6.412B. Barcola
Kylian Mbappé8.510K. Mbappé
Ahmed Basil5.622A. Basil
Hussein Ali5.93H. Ali
Zaid Tahseen6.04Z. Tahseen
Akam Hashem6.55A. Hashem
Merchas Doski6.623M. Doski
Amir Al-Ammari6.016A. Al-Ammari
Ahmed Qasem6.311A. Qasem
Zaid Ismail6.324Z. Ismail
Zidane Iqbal6.714Z. Iqbal
Ibrahim Bayesh5.78I. Bayesh
Aymen Hussein6.418A. Hussein

France Substitutes

1Brice Samba
23Robin Risser
2Malo Gusto83'for Jules Koundé7.0
15Ibrahima Konaté
21Lucas Hernández
19Theo Hernández
26Maxence Lacroix
8Aurélien Tchouaméni
13N'Golo Kanté
18Warren Zaïre-Emery
25Maghnes Akliouche83'for Bradley Barcola6.5
24Rayan Cherki68'for Michael Olise7.2
22Jean-Philippe Mateta
9Marcus Thuram91'for Kylian Mbappé
20Désiré Doué68'for Ousmane Dembélé6.5

Iraq Substitutes

9Ali Al-Hamadi26'for Aymen Hussein6.2
1Fahad Talib
12Jalal Hassan
6Munaf Younus
15Ahmed Hasan Maknazi
26Frans Putros
25Mustafa Saadoon
2Rebin Sulaka60'for Zaid Tahseen6.1
17Ali Jasim
20Aimar Sher68'for Amir Al-Ammari6.3
19Kevin Yakob
21Marko Farji69'for Ibrahim Bayesh6.7
7Youssef Amyn60'for Zaid Ismael5.8
13Ali Yousif
10Mohanad Ali

Match Stats

FranceIraq
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots4
5Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
8Fouls4
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
603Total Passes481
540Passes Accurate413
90%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

FranceFrance
IraqIraq
1927Elo Rating 1604
2.23Attack 0.88
1.66Defense 0.56
63%Hit Rate 23%
18.5Shots per Game 5.1
7.3Shots on Target 0.5
5.9Corners per Game 2.5
1.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+323 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals

Game State Tendencies

FranceFrance
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
IraqIraq
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

FranceFrance
8W1D1L
16/06/2026
FranceSenegal
31
W
08/06/2026
FranceNorthern Ireland
31
W
04/06/2026
FranceIvory Coast
12
L
16/11/2025
AzerbaijanFrance
13
W
13/11/2025
FranceUkraine
40
W
13/10/2025
IcelandFrance
22
D
10/10/2025
FranceAzerbaijan
30
W
09/09/2025
FranceIceland
21
W
05/09/2025
UkraineFrance
02
W
08/06/2025
GermanyFrance
02
W
IraqIraq
5W3D2L
17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
L
10/06/2026
IraqVenezuela
02
L
04/06/2026
SpainIraq
11
D
29/05/2026
IraqAndorra
10
W
01/04/2026
IraqBolivia
21
W
18/11/2025
IraqUnited Arab Emirates
21
W
13/11/2025
United Arab EmiratesIraq
11
D
14/10/2025
Saudi ArabiaIraq
00
D
11/10/2025
IraqIndonesia
10
W
10/06/2025
JordanIraq
01
W

Referee Profile

Drew Fischer146 matches

4.09Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Drew Fischer4.09
Other referees4.19

4.09 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 138 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

About the France vs Iraq forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

France and Iraq in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: France are 1st in the World Cup, 9 points ahead of Iraq in 4th. League goal record so far: France 10-2, Iraq 1-12. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. France and Iraq have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.