France vs Iraq Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 2
Cup
France
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Iraq
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia· Drew Fischer, Canada 22/06/2026
FranceFrance
3-0
Finished
IraqIraq

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel90%RiskMediumGap+5.8%
France Rest
6 days
Iraq Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.10
X
19%10.50
2
4%26.50
Double Chance
1X
96%1.01
X2
23%7.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.55
No
48%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.91 = 2.81
Over 1.5
73%1.07
Over 2.5
49%1.32
Over 3.5
28%1.80
Under 1.5
27%7.00
Under 2.5
51%3.40
Under 3.5
72%2.01
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 2.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.49
Over 9.5
44%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.32
Under 8.5
47%2.45
Under 9.5
56%1.88
Under 10.5
67%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
53%3.25
Over 4.5
30%5.40
Under 3.5
47%1.32
Under 4.5
70%1.13

Match Events

6'Amir Al-AmmariFoul
14'Kylian MbappéAssist: Michael Olise
26'Aymen Hussein INAli Al-Hamadi out
28'Ali Al-Hamadi
54'Kylian MbappéAssist: Ousmane Dembélé
60'Zaid Tahseen INRebin Sulaka out
60'Zaid Ismael INYoussef Amyn out
66'Ousmane DembéléAssist: Michael Olise
68'Ousmane Dembélé INDésiré Doue out
68'Michael Olise INRayan Cherki out
68'Amir Al-Ammari INAimar Sher out
69'Ibrahim Bayesh INMarko Farji out
83'Bradley Barcola INMaghnes Akliouche out
83'Jules Koundé INMalo Gusto out

Extra Time

91'Kylian Mbappé INMarcus Thuram out

Lineups

France
4-2-3-1Coach: Didier Deschamps
Iraq
4-1-4-1Coach: Graham Arnold
Mike Maignan16M. MaignanMike Maignan
Jules Koundé5J. KoundéJules Koundé
Dayot Upamecano4D. UpamecanoDayot Upamecano
William Saliba17W. SalibaWilliam Saliba
Lucas Digne3L. DigneLucas Digne
Manu Koné6M. KonéManu Koné
Adrien Rabiot14A. RabiotAdrien Rabiot
Ousmane Dembélé7O. DembéléOusmane Dembélé
Michael Olise11M. OliseMichael Olise
Bradley Barcola12B. BarcolaBradley Barcola
Kylian Mbappé10K. MbappéKylian Mbappé
Ahmed Basil22A. BasilAhmed Basil
Hussein Ali3H. AliHussein Ali
Zaid Tahseen4Z. TahseenZaid Tahseen
Akam Hashem5A. HashemAkam Hashem
Merchas Doski23M. DoskiMerchas Doski
Amir Al-Ammari16A. Al-AmmariAmir Al-Ammari
Ahmed Qasem11A. QasemAhmed Qasem
Zaid Ismail24Z. IsmailZaid Ismail
Zidane Iqbal14Z. IqbalZidane Iqbal
Ibrahim Bayesh8I. BayeshIbrahim Bayesh
Aymen Hussein18A. HusseinAymen Hussein

France Substitutes

1Brice SambaG
23Robin RisserG
2Malo GustoD
15Ibrahima KonatéD
21Lucas HernándezD
19Theo HernándezD
26Maxence LacroixD
8Aurélien TchouaméniM
13N'Golo KantéM
18Warren Zaïre-EmeryM
25Maghnes AklioucheM
24Rayan CherkiM
22Jean-Philippe MatetaF
9Marcus ThuramF
20Désiré DouéF

Iraq Substitutes

9Ali Al-HamadiF
1Fahad TalibG
12Jalal HassanG
6Munaf YounusD
15Ahmed Hasan MaknaziD
26Frans PutrosD
25Mustafa SaadoonD
2Rebin SulakaD
17Ali JasimF
20Aimar SherM
19Kevin YakobM
21Marko FarjiM
7Youssef AmynF
13Ali YousifF
10Mohanad AliF

Match Stats

FranceIraq
55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots4
5Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal3
4Blocked Shots1
8Fouls4
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
4Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

FranceFrance
IraqIraq
1898Elo Rating 1601
2.06Attack 0.81
0.92Defense 0.00
50%Hit Rate 31%
17.5Shots per Game 7.3
7.2Shots on Target 0.9
6.6Corners per Game 2.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+297 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FranceFrance
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
IraqIraq
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

FranceFrance
4W0D1L
16/06/2026
FranceSenegal
31
W
08/06/2026
FranceNorthern Ireland
31
W
04/06/2026
FranceIvory Coast
12
L
16/11/2025
AzerbaijanFrance
13
W
13/11/2025
FranceUkraine
40
W
IraqIraq
2W1D2L
17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
L
10/06/2026
IraqVenezuela
02
L
04/06/2026
SpainIraq
11
D
29/05/2026
IraqAndorra
10
W
01/04/2026
IraqBolivia
21
W

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

France vs Iraq Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added importance for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. France and Iraq have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.