Norwich vs Southampton Prediction
England · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Norwich vs Southampton: the result in context
Southampton beat Norwich 1-0 in the Championship on 14 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Southampton had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Norwich.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Norwich
Avg ratingAvg rating
32D. Grimshaw
3J. Stacey
15R. McConville
33J. Córdoba
14B. Chrisene
16J. Wright
7P. Mattsson
11A. Brooks
20A. Ben Slimane
29O. Schwartau
30M. Kvistgaarden
1D. Peretz
6Z. Abbott
5J. Stephens
13K. Schlotterbeck
3R. Manning
30J. Ward-Prowse
4F. Downes
27K. Matsuki
10F. Azaz
23S. Edozie
11L. DobbinNorwich Substitutes
Southampton Substitutes
Match Stats
NorwichSouthampton Team Comparison
NorwichSouthamptonAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Norwich- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Southampton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Norwich2Wins · 29%3Wins · 43%Previous meetings
18/03/2026SouthamptonNorwich13/12/2025NorwichSouthampton
26/08/2025NorwichSouthampton01/01/2024NorwichSouthampton12/08/2023SouthamptonNorwich
25/02/2022SouthamptonNorwich20/11/2021NorwichSouthamptonRecent Form
Norwich
SwanseaNorwichNorwich
Bolton
Manchester CityNorwich
MiddlesbroughNorwichNorwich
Birmingham
Sheffield UtdNorwich
Stoke CityNorwichNorwich
Burnley
CardiffNorwich
MillwallNorwichSouthamptonSouthampton
Portsmouth
WrexhamSouthamptonSouthampton
Bristol CitySouthamptonSwansea
LincolnSouthamptonBirminghamSouthamptonSouthamptonMillwallSouthampton
West HamSouthamptonStoke City
WatfordSouthamptonReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 51% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | WLLLL |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 10:25 | 5 |
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This match
About the Norwich vs Southampton forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Norwich and Southampton in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Southampton are 6th and Norwich 20th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Norwich 20-22, Southampton 24-12. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.