Novorizontino vs America Mineiro Prediction

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte· Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalGOODModel66%RiskMediumGap+2.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalGOODModel54%RiskMediumGap+11.4%
Novorizontino Rest
4 days
America Mineiro Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.57
X
18%3.72
2
12%6.00
Double Chance
1X
88%1.11
X2
30%2.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.10
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 0.77 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
49%2.08
Over 3.5
28%3.75
Under 1.5
30%3.10
Under 2.5
51%1.71
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.35
Over 9.5
51%1.60
Over 10.5
42%2.00
Under 8.5
37%3.00
Under 9.5
49%2.25
Under 10.5
58%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
57%1.29
Over 4.5
35%1.66
Under 3.5
43%3.00
Under 4.5
65%2.10

Match Events

17'Paulo VictorFoul
19'MadsonFoul
23'PatrickAssist: Diego Mathias
33'ManoelFoul
39'Romulo(Penalty missed)
46'Manoel INJorge Jimenez out
46'Gonzalo Mastriani INGuilherme Parede out
66'Yago Souza INR. Pineiro out
67'Reidiney INJuninho out
67'Diego Mathias INVinicius Paiva out
71'PatrickFoul
77'Willian Bigode INF. Elizari out
81'Robson
82'Robson INNicolas Careca out
82'Romulo INCarlao out
84'Gustavo Barreto INFelipe Amaral out
86'Nicolas CarecaUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'Leo Naldi INMarlon out
90'CarlaoAssist: Luis Oyama

Lineups

Novorizontino
4-2-3-1Coach: Moreira Enderson
America Mineiro
3-4-1-2Coach: Louzer Umberto
Jordi93JordiJordi
Madson2MadsonMadson
Gabriel Bahia26G. BahiaGabriel Bahia
Patrick4PatrickPatrick
Sander5SanderSander
Luis Oyama6L. OyamaLuis Oyama
Leo Naldi18L. NaldiLeo Naldi
Reidiney41ReidineyReidiney
Romulo10RomuloRomulo
Diego Mathias27D. MathiasDiego Mathias
Robson11RobsonRobson
Bruno Brigido91B. BrigidoBruno Brigido
Ricardo Silva45R. SilvaRicardo Silva
Manoel26ManoelManoel
L. Sosa3L. SosaL. Sosa
Alex Silva15A. SilvaAlex Silva
Gustavo Barreto88G. BarretoGustavo Barreto
Yago Souza10Y. SouzaYago Souza
T. Ostchega25T. OstchegaT. Ostchega
Paulo Victor20P. VictorPaulo Victor
Gonzalo Mastriani17G. MastrianiGonzalo Mastriani
Willian Bigode9W. BigodeWillian Bigode

Novorizontino Substitutes

31Cesar AugustoG
66Maykon JesusD
14Eduardo BrockD
3CarlinhosD
17Matheus BianquiM
19Diego GaloM
28MarlonM
50JuninhoM
30Nicolas CarecaF
16Vinicius PaivaF
9CarlaoF
35Hector BianchiF

America Mineiro Substitutes

1GustavoG
19WilliamG
29DalbertD
31FabioD
4Rafa BarcelosD
5F. ElizariM
93Jorge JimenezM
8Felipe AmaralM
7Guilherme ParedeF
14R. PineiroF
99Marcelo Macola

Match Stats

NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro
50%Ball Possession50%
13Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal5
17Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots0
15Fouls12
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
412Total Passes423
348Passes Accurate353
84%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1703Elo Rating 1458
1.86Attack 0.84
1.73Defense 1.58
50%Hit Rate 34%
19.7Shots per Game 19.0
6.9Shots on Target 6.0
7.9Corners per Game 5.7
2.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+245 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Novorizontino 46%Draw 39%14% America Mineiro
3.12Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
69%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil · 8 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
24.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova29156841:31+1051WDWLW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino29148749:27+2250LDWWW
3JuventudeJuventude29148731:19+1250LLWDD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense291210736:27+946LWWDW
7CRBCRB28136942:40+245WLWWL
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife291111739:29+1044WLWLL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo291181040:31+941WWLWL
11Athletic ClubAthletic Club291011834:31+341DWLWL
12CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
13GoiasGoias281161128:34-639WLLWD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara29981231:37-635WDLWL
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP29881332:36-432DLLLL
17AvaiAvai28861429:36-730DLLLW
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29452021:49-2817LLWLW
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta28242216:62-4610LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova2941:3151
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino2949:2750
3JuventudeJuventude2931:1950
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2936:2746
7CRBCRB2842:4045
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2939:2944
10São BernardoSão Bernardo2940:3141
11Athletic ClubAthletic Club2934:3141
12CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
13GoiasGoias2828:3439
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2931:3735
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2932:3632
17AvaiAvai2829:3630
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2921:4917
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2816:6210
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Novorizontino vs America Mineiro Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Novorizontino and America Mineiro have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.12 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.