America Mineiro vs Ceara Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 18
America Mineiro
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Ceara
Arena Independência, Belo Horizonte·Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil 18/07/2026
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1-1
Finished
CearaCeara

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-1.4%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+5.3%
America Mineiro Rest
4 days
Ceara Rest
3 days

America Mineiro vs Ceara: the result in context

America Mineiro and Ceara drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.48
X
28%3.00
2
37%3.00
Double Chance
1X
63%1.36
X2
65%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.00
No
50%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.06 = 2.22
Over 1.5
70%1.44
Over 2.5
43%2.45
Over 3.5
23%4.50
Under 1.5
30%2.60
Under 2.5
57%1.53
Under 3.5
77%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.41
Over 9.5
50%1.66
Over 10.5
37%2.02
Under 8.5
42%2.67
Under 9.5
50%2.08
Under 10.5
63%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
49%-
Over 4.5
26%1.68
Under 3.5
51%-
Under 4.5
74%2.02

Match Events

46'Richardson INGiovanni Pavani out
47'ÉderFoul
56'Ricardo Silva INRafael Barcelos out
65'Lucca INRenzo López out
67'Matías SegoviaAssist: Paulo Victor
69'Melk INEnzo Valentim Lodovico out
69'João Gabriel INVina out
71'Bryan BorgesFoul
73'GustavoTime wasting
79'Paulo Victor INGonzalo Mastriani out
79'Yago Souza INJorge Roa Jiménez out
80'Lucas Mugni INJuan Alano out
88'Rafael BarcelosFoul
89'Vina
90'Alex SilvaFoul
90'Guilherme Parede INItalo Charbaje out
90'Matías Segovia INJúlio out
90+5'Renzo LópezFoul

Lineups

America Mineiro
Coach: Louzer Umberto
Ceara
Coach: Paulista Daniel

America Mineiro Starting XI

1Gustavo73'6.5
15Alex Silva90'6.3
45Ricardo SilvaC56'replaced by Rafael Barcelos8.0
26Manoel7.3
29Dalbert7.2
8Felipe Amaral6.3
77Matías Segovia67'90'for Júlio7.7
20Paulo Victor79'replaced by Gonzalo Mastriani7.2
10Yago Souza79'replaced by Jorge Roa Jiménez7.3
11Gabriel Barros7.3
7Guilherme Parede90'replaced by Italo Charbaje6.3
Avg rating6.88

Ceara Starting XI

1Richard6.2
31Bryan Borges71'7.0
18Júlio César7.5
33Éder47'6.9
12Sánchez6.6
81João Gabriel69'replaced by Vina6.5
11Lucas Mugni80'replaced by Juan Alano6.3
26RichardsonC46'replaced by Giovanni Pavani6.9
40Melk69'replaced by Enzo Valentim Lodovico6.3
99Lucca65'replaced by Renzo López6.3
35Giulio7.2
Avg rating6.74

America Mineiro Substitutes

4Rafael Barcelos56'for Ricardo Silva88'6.2
93Jorge Roa Jiménez79'for Yago Souza6.5
17Gonzalo Mastriani79'for Paulo Victor6.2
37Júlio90'replaced by Matías Segovia
39Italo Charbaje90'for Guilherme Parede
19William
42Jhonny
30Luidy
61Gabriel Oliveira
6Gabriel Domingos
5Fernando Elizari
38Murilo Rodrigues Povoa

Ceara Substitutes

21Giovanni Pavani46'for Richardson6.7
7Renzo López65'for Lucca90+5'6.3
60Enzo Valentim Lodovico69'for Melk6.5
29Vina69'for João Gabriel89'8.2
10Juan Alano80'for Lucas Mugni6.5
94Bruno Ferreira
13Luiz Otávio
71Gabriel Silva Rocha
6Sávio
8Matheus Araújo
88José Wilson Neto

Match Stats

America MineiroCeara
60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots6
12Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
484Total Passes321
406Passes Accurate252
84%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
CearaCeara
1489Elo Rating 1579
1.23Attack 0.80
2.42Defense 1.45
69%Hit Rate 14%
9.9Shots per Game 14.7
3.2Shots on Target 4.0
3.9Corners per Game 4.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
CearaCeara2Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B19/11/2024
CearaAmerica Mineiro
10
Serie B28/07/2024
America MineiroCeara
22
Serie A01/10/2022
CearaAmerica Mineiro
12
Serie A09/06/2022
America MineiroCeara
02
Serie A05/12/2021
CearaAmerica Mineiro
00
Serie A29/08/2021
America MineiroCeara
20

Recent Form

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1W2D7L
14/07/2026
America MineiroLondrina
11
D03/07/2026
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
10
L27/06/2026
Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro
10
L24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
L17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
W
09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
L
30/05/2026
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
30
L
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
L
16/05/2026
São BernardoAmerica Mineiro
11
D
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
L
CearaCeara
2W2D6L
14/07/2026
CearaAthletic Club
00
D05/07/2026
GoiasCeara
20
L28/06/2026
JuventudeCeara
20
L21/06/2026
CearaBotafogo SP
01
L16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
W
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
L
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
L
17/05/2026
CearaFortaleza EC
21
W
14/05/2026
CearaAtletico-MG
2241
L

Referee Profile

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho32 matches

5.28Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho5.28
Other referees5.06

5.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

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About the America Mineiro vs Ceara forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

America Mineiro and Ceara in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Ceara are 16th and America Mineiro 19th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: America Mineiro 27-55, Ceara 38-47. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.