America Mineiro vs Ceara Prediction

America Mineiro
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Ceara
Arena Independência, Belo Horizonte· Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel38%RiskMediumGap-1.4%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel31%RiskHighGap+5.3%
America Mineiro Rest
4 days
Ceara Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.48
X
28%3.00
2
37%3.00
Double Chance
1X
63%1.36
X2
65%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.00
No
50%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.06 = 2.22
Over 1.5
70%1.44
Over 2.5
43%2.45
Over 3.5
23%4.50
Under 1.5
30%2.61
Under 2.5
57%1.53
Under 3.5
77%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.37
Over 9.5
50%1.64
Over 10.5
37%2.02
Under 8.5
42%2.92
Under 9.5
50%2.15
Under 10.5
63%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
49%-
Over 4.5
26%1.68
Under 3.5
51%-
Under 4.5
74%2.02

Match Events

46'Richardson INGiovanni Pavani out
47'ÉderFoul
56'Ricardo Silva INRafael Barcelos out
65'Lucca INRenzo López out
67'Matías SegoviaAssist: Paulo Victor
69'Melk INEnzo Valentim Lodovico out
69'João Gabriel INVina out
71'Bryan BorgesFoul
73'GustavoTime wasting
79'Paulo Victor INGonzalo Mastriani out
79'Yago Souza INJorge Roa Jiménez out
80'Lucas Mugni INJuan Alano out
88'Rafael BarcelosFoul
89'Vina
90'Alex SilvaFoul
90+5'Renzo LópezFoul
90'Guilherme Parede INItalo Charbaje out
90'Matías Segovia INJúlio out

Lineups

America Mineiro
Coach: Louzer Umberto
Ceara
Coach: Paulista Daniel

America Mineiro Starting XI

1GustavoG
15Alex SilvaD
45Ricardo SilvaD
26ManoelD
29DalbertD
8Felipe AmaralM
77Matías SegoviaM
20Paulo VictorM
10Yago SouzaM
11Gabriel BarrosM
7Guilherme ParedeF

Ceara Starting XI

1RichardG
31Bryan BorgesD
18Júlio CésarD
33ÉderD
12SánchezD
81João GabrielM
11Lucas MugniM
26RichardsonM
40MelkF
99LuccaF
35GiulioF

America Mineiro Substitutes

4Rafael BarcelosD
93Jorge Roa JiménezM
17Gonzalo MastrianiF
37JúlioM
39Italo CharbajeF
19WilliamG
42JhonnyD
30LuidyD
61Gabriel OliveiraD
6Gabriel DomingosM
5Fernando ElizariM
38Murilo Rodrigues PovoaD

Ceara Substitutes

21Giovanni PavaniM
7Renzo LópezF
60Enzo Valentim LodovicoF
29VinaM
10Juan AlanoF
94Bruno FerreiraG
13Luiz OtávioD
71Gabriel Silva RochaM
6SávioD
8Matheus AraújoM
88José Wilson NetoM

Match Stats

America MineiroCeara
61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots6
12Fouls12
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
485Total Passes315
408Passes Accurate247
84%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
CearaCeara
1458Elo Rating 1596
0.84Attack 1.29
1.58Defense 1.66
34%Hit Rate 44%
19.0Shots per Game 12.8
6.0Shots on Target 3.8
5.7Corners per Game 5.2
2.2Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CearaCeara
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

America Mineiro 19%Draw 37%44% Ceara
2.1Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil · 17 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 69% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova29156841:31+1051WDWLW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino29148749:27+2250LDWWW
3JuventudeJuventude29148731:19+1250LLWDD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense291210736:27+946LWWDW
7CRBCRB291361042:41+145LWLWW
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife291111739:29+1044WLWLL
10GoiasGoias291261130:35-542WWLLW
11São BernardoSão Bernardo291181040:31+941WWLWL
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club291011834:31+341DWLWL
13CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara29981231:37-635WDLWL
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP29881332:36-432DLLLL
17AvaiAvai29861530:38-830LDLLL
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29452021:49-2817LLWLW
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta29342217:62-4513WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova2941:3151
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino2949:2750
3JuventudeJuventude2931:1950
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2936:2746
7CRBCRB2942:4145
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2939:2944
10GoiasGoias2930:3542
11São BernardoSão Bernardo2940:3141
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club2934:3141
13CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2931:3735
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2932:3632
17AvaiAvai2930:3830
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2921:4917
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2917:6213
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America Mineiro vs Ceara Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

America Mineiro and Ceara have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.1 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.