Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Botafogo SP Rest
10 days
America Mineiro Rest
13 days
Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro: the result in context
Botafogo SP beat America Mineiro 2-1 in the Serie B on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.89
X27%3.16
222%4.34
Double Chance
1X78%1.20
X249%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%2.10
No48%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.95 = 2.37
Over 1.571%1.44
Over 2.546%2.40
Over 3.524%4.50
Under 1.529%2.63
Under 2.554%1.54
Under 3.576%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.560%1.27
Over 9.552%1.50
Over 10.542%1.81
Under 8.540%3.23
Under 9.548%2.40
Under 10.558%1.91
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.547%1.67
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.553%2.10
Match Events
46'Felipe Amaral INJorge Roa Jiménez out
55'Fernando Elizari
60'Wesley Pinheiro INJefferson Nem out
61'Hebert Willian Badaró OliveiraAssist: Rafael Gava
61'Ericson da Silva INHebert Willian Badaró Oliveira out
61'Hygor INArthur Caíke out
66'Guilherme Parede INRodrigo Piñeiro out
67'Gabriel Barros INGonzalo Mastriani out
70'Filipe Pereira DahoraOG
73'Fernando Elizari INEduardo Person out
76'Rafael Gava INMarco Antonio Batistussi out
78'Jefferson NemFoul
79'Rodrigo PiñeiroFoul
80'Dalbert INTobías Ostchega out
80'Filipe Pereira Dahora INWillian Bigode out
85'Eduardo PersonFoul
90'Matheus Sales INYuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao out
90'Zé Hugo INPedrinho out
Lineups
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro
Coach: Louzer UmbertoBotafogo SP Starting XI
1Victor Souza
22Gabriel Inocêncio
3Ericson da Silva61'replaced by Hebert Willian Badaró Oliveira
13Wallace
6Patrick BreyC
16Matheus Sales90'replaced by Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
8Everton Morelli
30Zé Hugo90'replaced by Pedrinho
10Rafael Gava76'replaced by Marco Antonio Batistussi
23Wesley Pinheiro60'replaced by Jefferson Nem
9Hygor61'replaced by Arthur Caíke
Avg rating
America Mineiro Starting XI
1Gustavo
32Filipe Pereira Dahora70'80'replaced by Willian Bigode
26ManoelC
3Luca Sosa
29Dalbert80'replaced by Tobías Ostchega
8Felipe Amaral46'replaced by Jorge Roa Jiménez
7Guilherme Parede66'replaced by Rodrigo Piñeiro
10Yago Souza
5Fernando Elizari55'73'replaced by Eduardo Person
20Paulo Victor
11Gabriel Barros67'replaced by Gonzalo Mastriani
Avg rating
Botafogo SP Substitutes
11Jefferson Nem60'for Wesley Pinheiro78'
34Hebert Willian Badaró Oliveira61'61'for Ericson da Silva
18Arthur Caíke61'for Hygor
28Marco Antonio Batistussi76'for Rafael Gava
31Pedrinho90'for Zé Hugo
20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao90'for Matheus Sales
12Jordan
26Felipe Vieira
29Thiago Moraes
5Leandro Maciel
17Guilherme Queiróz
7Kelvin
America Mineiro Substitutes
93Jorge Roa Jiménez46'for Felipe Amaral
14Rodrigo Piñeiro66'for Guilherme Parede79'
17Gonzalo Mastriani67'for Gabriel Barros
21Eduardo Person73'for Fernando Elizari85'
25Tobías Ostchega80'for Dalbert
9Willian Bigode80'for Filipe Pereira Dahora
91Bruno Brígido
4Rafael Barcelos
45Ricardo Silva
39Italo Charbaje
Match Stats
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro 45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots3
16Fouls21
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
301Total Passes367
227Passes Accurate286
75%Pass Accuracy78%
Team Comparison
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro1590Elo Rating 1487
1.58Attack 1.12
2.27Defense 2.27
54%Hit Rate 73%
11.9Shots per Game 11.3
3.4Shots on Target 4.1
4.6Corners per Game 3.9
2.2Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+103 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Botafogo SP- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
America Mineiro- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Botafogo SP2Wins · 40%Draws120%
America Mineiro2Wins · 40%
2Wins · 40%2.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5
Previous meetings
01/04/2026America MineiroBotafogo SP12
02/08/2025Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro21
05/04/2025America MineiroBotafogo SP10
10/08/2024America MineiroBotafogo SP31
20/04/2024Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro11
Recent Form
Botafogo SP4W3D3L
29/07/2026
Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP
24/07/2026Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP10
LBotafogo SP
Juventude42
W18/07/2026
LondrinaBotafogo SP00
D11/07/2026
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP33
D07/07/2026Botafogo SP
Avai31
W01/07/2026Botafogo SP
CRB
21/06/2026Botafogo SPCRB01
L
CearaBotafogo SP01
W15/06/2026Botafogo SP
Operario-PR21
W09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP10
L02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP00
DAmerica Mineiro2W2D6L
26/07/2026America Mineiro
GoiasAvaiAmerica MineiroAmerica MineiroCearaAmerica MineiroLondrina
CuiabaAmerica MineiroOperario-PRAmerica MineiroAmerica Mineiro
CriciumaFortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
America MineiroGoias10
W22/07/2026AvaiAmerica Mineiro21
L18/07/2026America MineiroCeara11
D14/07/2026America MineiroLondrina11
D03/07/2026CuiabaAmerica Mineiro10
L27/06/2026Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro10
L24/06/2026America MineiroCriciuma01
L17/06/2026Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro03
W09/06/2026America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense12
L30/05/2026JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro30
LReferee Profile
5.64Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.64Red cards per match
30.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.64 cards a match, 0.34 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.30).
Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66:32 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49:26 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53:38 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57:51 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39:41 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:50 | +1 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 54:44 | +10 | 53 | DLWWL |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 48 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34:32 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 46 | LLWLD |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35:47 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47:59 | -12 | 35 | WLLLW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27:55 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21:81 | -60 | 15 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 66:32 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 49:26 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 53:38 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 38:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 57:51 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 39:41 | 58 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 45:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 38 | 51:50 | 57 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 37 | 50:42 | 55 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 34:32 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 41:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 35:47 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 47:59 | 35 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 27:55 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 21:81 | 15 |
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About the Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Botafogo SP and America Mineiro in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Botafogo SP are 12th and America Mineiro 19th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Botafogo SP 45-39, America Mineiro 27-55. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.