Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino: the result in context
Fortaleza EC beat Novorizontino 1-0 in the Serie B on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio averages 4.53 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
C1J. Ricardo
75Rodriguinho
23Neris
3L. Gazal
18G. Fuentes
88L. Sasha
29R. Santos
16P. Henrique
11Vitinho
32L. Fernando
9J. Miritello
93Jordi
20N. Castrillón
26G. Bahia
4Patrick
66M. Jesus
77H. Borges
17M. Bianqui
6L. Oyama
41Reidiney
10Rômulo
C11RobsonFortaleza EC Substitutes
Novorizontino Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.53 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).
Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66:32 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW | |
| 2 | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49:26 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD | |
| 3 | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53:38 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW | |
| 4 | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW | |
| 5 | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD | |
| 6 | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57:51 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD | |
| 7 | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39:41 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW | |
| 8 | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD | |
| 9 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:50 | +1 | 57 | WWLWL | |
| 10 | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD | |
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 54:44 | +10 | 53 | DLWWL | |
| 12 | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW | |
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 48 | DLWLD | |
| 14 | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34:32 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL | |
| 15 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 46 | LLWLD | |
| 16 | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL | |
| 17 | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35:47 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW | |
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47:59 | -12 | 35 | WLLLW | |
| 19 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27:55 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL | |
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21:81 | -60 | 15 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 66:32 | 70 | |
| 2 | 37 | 49:26 | 68 | |
| 3 | 37 | 53:38 | 66 | |
| 4 | 37 | 38:31 | 62 | |
| 5 | 37 | 44:33 | 62 | |
| 6 | 37 | 57:51 | 58 | |
| 7 | 37 | 39:41 | 58 | |
| 8 | 37 | 45:35 | 58 | |
| 9 | 38 | 51:50 | 57 | |
| 10 | 37 | 50:42 | 55 | |
| 11 | 38 | 54:44 | 53 | |
| 12 | 37 | 45:39 | 51 | |
| 13 | 38 | 46:46 | 48 | |
| 14 | 37 | 34:32 | 47 | |
| 15 | 38 | 41:51 | 46 | |
| 16 | 37 | 38:47 | 43 | |
| 17 | 37 | 35:47 | 40 | |
| 18 | 38 | 47:59 | 35 | |
| 19 | 37 | 27:55 | 29 | |
| 20 | 38 | 21:81 | 15 |
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This match
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About the Fortaleza EC vs Novorizontino forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Fortaleza EC and Novorizontino in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Novorizontino are 1st and Fortaleza EC 5th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 44-33, Novorizontino 66-32. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Novorizontino have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


