Novorizontino vs Criciuma Prediction

Novorizontino
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Criciuma
Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte·Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento, Brazil 22/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseHighGap+10.2%
Novorizontino Rest
3 days
Criciuma Rest
3 days

Novorizontino vs Criciuma: result, form and history

Criciuma beat Novorizontino 1-0 in the Serie B on 21 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Criciuma had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Novorizontino.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 8 matches. Criciuma tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 5.5 for Novorizontino.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.15
X
30%3.00
2
22%3.64
Double Chance
1X
79%1.28
X2
52%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.08
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.9 = 2.53
Over 1.5
72%1.50
Over 2.5
50%2.50
Over 3.5
28%4.70
Under 1.5
28%2.50
Under 2.5
50%1.50
Under 3.5
72%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.40
Over 9.5
44%1.71
Over 10.5
33%2.13
Under 8.5
46%2.65
Under 9.5
56%2.02
Under 10.5
67%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.6 = 4.8
Over 3.5
66%1.29
Over 4.5
49%1.46
Under 3.5
34%3.05
Under 4.5
51%2.45

Match Events

45+1'Luciano CastanFoul
46'Fellipe Mateus INCaue Santos out
56'Luis OyamaFoul
62'Reidiney INJuninho out
64'R. Otero INRonald Lopes out
65'Waguininho INJoao Carlos out
72'Luis Oyama INRonald Barcellos out
72'Vinicius Paiva INLeo Naldi out
74'Ivan AlvarinoFoul
81'Eduardo INDiego Goncalves out
82'Diego GoncalvesAssist: Cesar Martins
84'Romulo INDiego Mathias out
85'Matheus Bianqui INC. Ortiz out
87'Leo NaldiFoul
90+4'Gui Lobo INThiaguinho out

Lineups

Novorizontino
4-3-3Coach: Moreira Enderson
Criciuma
3-4-3Coach: Eduardo Alexandre Baptista
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.85
Jordi6.393Jordi
Alexis Alvarino6.222A. Alvarino
Carlinhos6.23Carlinhos
Patrick6.64Patrick
Maykon Jesus6.966M. Jesus
Matheus Bianqui6.917M. Bianqui
Luís OyamaC7.36L. Oyama
Rômulo7.210Rômulo
Reidiney6.741Reidiney
Carlão6.69Carlão
Vinicius Paiva6.616V. Paiva
Pedro8.270Pedro
César Martins7.037C. Martins
Rodrigo FagundesC7.03R. Fagundes
Luciano Castan6.94L. Castan
Willean Lepo6.297W. Lepo
Eduardo Biasi6.75E. Biasi
Guilherme Lobo6.98G. Lobo
Marcelo Hermes7.222M. Hermes
Rómulo Otero6.791R. Otero
Waguininho6.513Waguininho
Fellipe Mateus6.97F. Mateus

Novorizontino Substitutes

31César
24Jhilmar Lora
14Eduardo Brock
21Alemão
50Juninho62'for Reidiney6.5
28Marlon
18Leo Naldi72'for Vinicius Paiva87'6.7
15Tavinho
27Diego Mathias84'for Romulo6.3
30Nicolas Careca
7Ronald Barcellos72'for Luis Oyama6.5
8Christian Ortíz85'for Matheus Bianqui6.7

Criciuma Substitutes

1Alisson
34Bruno Alves
50Thiaguinho90+4'for Gui Lobo
14Ronald64'for R. Otero6.3
11Romarinho
31Hiago Alves
9Nicolas
10Jhonata Robert
88Cauê6.7
77Diego Gonçalves81'for Eduardo82'7.3
21João Carlos65'for Waguininho6.2

Match Stats

NovorizontinoCriciuma
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots5
14Fouls10
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves2
330Total Passes363
239Passes Accurate264
72%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
CriciumaCriciuma
1745Elo Rating 1637
2.27Attack 1.13
2.18Defense 2.40
81%Hit Rate 63%
16.8Shots per Game 21.1
5.9Shots on Target 3.8
5.5Corners per Game 7.5
3.0Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino4Wins · 50%
Draws225%
CriciumaCriciuma2Wins · 25%
1.9Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie B23/08/2025
CriciumaNovorizontino
20
Serie B22/04/2025
NovorizontinoCriciuma
11
Serie B25/11/2023
NovorizontinoCriciuma
20
Serie B22/07/2023
CriciumaNovorizontino
01
Serie B14/08/2022
NovorizontinoCriciuma
31
Serie B01/05/2022
CriciumaNovorizontino
11
Serie C28/08/2021
NovorizontinoCriciuma
10
Serie C27/06/2021
CriciumaNovorizontino
10

Recent Form

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
5W3D2L
18/07/2026
Fortaleza ECNovorizontino
10
L
12/07/2026
Operario-PRNovorizontino
21
L
04/07/2026
NovorizontinoAtletico Goianiense
30
W
27/06/2026
NovorizontinoVila Nova
21
W
23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
W
15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D
11/06/2026
GoiasNovorizontino
04
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
W
CriciumaCriciuma
7W3D0L
18/07/2026
CriciumaVila Nova
20
W
09/07/2026
Ponte PretaCriciuma
12
W
04/07/2026
CriciumaSport Recife
10
W
27/06/2026
CriciumaSão Bernardo
10
W
24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
W
16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D
06/06/2026
CriciumaLondrina
10
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
W
25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
D
17/05/2026
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense
11
D

Referee Profile

Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento41 matches

5.00Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento5.00
Other referees4.89

5.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.89).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Novorizontino vs Criciuma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novorizontino and Criciuma in the Serie B table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Novorizontino are 1st in the Serie B, 8 points ahead of Criciuma in 4th. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 66-32, Criciuma 38-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.