FK Liepaja vs Ogre United Prediction

FK Liepaja
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Ogre United
Daugavas stadions 30/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.64
SignalSTRONGModel100%SurpriseMediumGap+19.5%
FK Liepaja Rest
4 days
Ogre United Rest
4 days

FK Liepaja vs Ogre United: result, form and history

FK Liepaja beat Ogre United 4-0 in the Virsliga on 30 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 5.1 for Ogre United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.31
X
19%4.92
2
12%7.00
Double Chance
1X
88%1.05
X2
31%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.67
No
56%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.44
Over 3.5
19%2.11
Under 1.5
37%5.20
Under 2.5
61%2.56
Under 3.5
81%1.64
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Fellipe VieiraAssist: E. Oloko
28'A. HaidaraAssist: C. Amatkarijo
33'T. MickevicsFoul
45+1'Fellipe VieiraAssist: V. Sorokins
46'F. Machado INA. Marchuk out
46'T. Mickevics INV. Mashchenko out
46'M. Lormanis INE. Evelons out
46'Fellipe Vieira INK. Leidsman out
62'M. Kalnins INM. Pacepko out
63'E. Rodolphe INA. Korobenko out
63'C. Amatkarijo IND. Gueye out
63'E. OlokoAssist: A. Korobenko
70'K. Gulbis INT. Marusiy out
72'M. PacepkoFoul
75'A. Haidara INA. Ogunniyi out
83'K. Iljins INV. Isajevs out
90+1'M. MartinsFoul

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Ogre UnitedOgre United
1499Elo Rating 1332
1.36Attack 1.09
2.13Defense 0.70
23%Hit Rate 17%
24.0Shots per Game 10.1
6.0Shots on Target 4.3
9.0Corners per Game 5.1
1.0Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+167 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Virsliga12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
Virsliga20/03/2026
Ogre UnitedFK Liepaja
01

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
4W1D5L
26/06/2026
FK LiepajaRīgas FS
02
L
21/06/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
40
L
16/06/2026
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
10
L
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
W
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
W
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
22/05/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
31
L
17/05/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
21
W
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
W
08/05/2026
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
50
L
Ogre UnitedOgre United
2W1D7L
26/06/2026
Ogre UnitedTukums
32
W
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
L
30/05/2026
AudaOgre United
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
L
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
L
07/05/2026
TukumsOgre United
61
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda35217761:38+2370WWLWD
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils351491242:37+551WWWWD
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja351391349:49048DDWLD
6Super NovaSuper Nova351161835:53-1839DLLLW
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava35881937:61-2432LLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa356111827:64-3729LLWLD
9TukumsTukums355102044:67-2325LDLLD
10Ogre UnitedOgre United35472434:85-5119DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3561:3870
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3542:3751
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3549:4948
6Super NovaSuper Nova3535:5339
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3537:6132
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3527:6429
9TukumsTukums3544:6725
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3534:8519

About the FK Liepaja vs Ogre United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Liepaja and Ogre United in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja are 5th and Ogre United 10th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Liepaja 49-49, Ogre United 34-85. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Liepaja and Ogre United have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.