Orlando City SC vs DC United Prediction

Orlando City SC
4-1
Finished
HT 2-1
DC United
Exploria Stadium, Orlando·Pierre Luce Lauziere 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Orlando City SC Rest
3 days
DC United Rest
3 days

Orlando City SC vs DC United: the result in context

Orlando City SC beat DC United 4-1 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 9. DC United tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.4 for Orlando City SC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.67
X
22%4.33
2
19%4.20
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
40%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
73%1.35
No
27%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.98 + 1.4 = 3.38
Over 1.5
88%1.07
Over 2.5
71%1.31
Over 3.5
52%1.80
Under 1.5
12%8.00
Under 2.5
29%3.33
Under 3.5
48%2.00
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.6 = 10.7
Over 8.5
72%1.30
Over 9.5
61%1.54
Over 10.5
50%1.95
Under 8.5
28%3.20
Under 9.5
39%2.31
Under 10.5
50%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.74
Over 4.5
41%2.33
Under 3.5
40%2.04
Under 4.5
59%1.57

Match Events

15'Antoine GriezmannAssist: Martin Ojeda
22'Martin OjedaAssist: Antoine Griezmann
38'Luis Otávio Costa de AquinoFoul
45'Jared Stroud INJackson Hopkins out
45'Wilder Cartagena INJoran Gerbet out
45+2'Tai Baribo(Penalty)
50'Antoine Griezmann
65'Brandon Servania INOscar Avilez out
70'Eduard Atuesta INAdrián Marín out
70'Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino INBraian Ojeda out
70'Daryl Dike INJustin Ellis out
77'Kimito NonoFoul
78'Silvan Hefti INMatti Peltola out
78'João Gabriel Martins Peglow INNathan Ordaz out
82'Jackson HopkinsFoul
86'Martin Ojeda INMarco Pašalić out
89'Tai BariboFoul
90+5'Marco PašalićAssist: Justin Ellis

Lineups

Orlando City SC
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Perelman
DC United
4-4-2Coach: R. Weiler
Avg rating7.05
Avg rating6.06
M. Crépeau6.871M. Crépeau
Z. Taifi6.619Z. Taifi
D. Brekalo6.84D. Brekalo
Iago7.157Iago
I. Angulo6.777I. Angulo
Luis Otávio6.35L. Otávio
W. Cartagena6.716W. Cartagena
E. Atuesta7.120E. Atuesta
A. Griezmann9.67A. Griezmann
M. Ojeda9.010M. Ojeda
D. Dike6.39D. Dike
S. Johnson6.01S. Johnson
S. Hefti6.55S. Hefti
S. Nealis6.313S. Nealis
K. Rowles5.615K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa6.66K. Kurokawa
J. Stroud5.88J. Stroud
K. Nono5.52K. Nono
A. Dozzell6.421A. Dozzell
Peglow6.07Peglow
T. Baribo5.69T. Baribo
B. Servania6.523B. Servania

Orlando City SC Substitutes

22Justin Ellis70'for Daryl Dike7.2
35Joran Gerbet45'for Wilder Cartagena6.9
21N. Miller
8B. Ojeda70'for Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino5.9
12Javier Otero
87Marco Pasalic86'for Martin Ojeda90+5'7.4
23Harvey Sarajian
11Tiago
3Adrián Marín70'for Eduard Atuesta6.4

DC United Substitutes

12C. Antley
32O. Avilez65'for Brandon Servania6.2
26A. Bono
40K. Castillo
25J. Hopkins45'for Jared Stroud82'5.7
27Nikola Markovic
22N. Ordaz78'for João Gabriel Martins Peglow6.4
4M. Peltola78'for Silvan Hefti5.8
48Gavin Turner

Match Stats

Orlando City SCDC United
59%Ball Possession41%
1Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls19
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
605Total Passes383
530Passes Accurate317
17Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
DC UnitedDC United
1633Elo Rating 1497
2.96Attack 1.37
0.43Defense 0.13
46%Hit Rate 23%
13.8Shots per Game 15.8
5.4Shots on Target 4.6
3.4Corners per Game 5.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+136 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.38 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.2 in first half)
DC UnitedDC United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
DC UnitedDC United4Wins · 40%
4.2Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer26/04/2026
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
32
Major League Soccer14/09/2025
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
11
Major League Soccer23/03/2025
Orlando City SCDC United
41
Major League Soccer07/07/2024
Orlando City SCDC United
50
Major League Soccer14/04/2024
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
23
Major League Soccer23/04/2023
Orlando City SCDC United
13
Major League Soccer12/03/2023
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
11
Major League Soccer31/07/2022
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
21
Major League Soccer05/07/2022
Orlando City SCDC United
35
Major League Soccer03/10/2021
Orlando City SCDC United
21

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC30207364:23+4167DWWWW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami301510573:51+2255WWWLD
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution301641049:41+852WWLLW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire301461052:44+848LLWWW
5CharlotteCharlotte30138953:45+847DLWLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union301371061:48+1346DWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC301251358:70-1241WDWLL
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati301091162:71-939WLLWL
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls301061439:56-1736LLWLW
10Toronto FCToronto FC308121046:55-936WDWLL
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew301051546:47-135WWLWW
12New York City FCNew York City FC308101243:41+234DLLDL
13DC UnitedDC United307121138:53-1533LLWLD
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC30861637:51-1430LWLDW
15CF MontrealCF Montreal30671736:60-2425DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3064:2367
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3073:5155
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3049:4152
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3052:4448
5CharlotteCharlotte3053:4547
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3061:4846
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3058:7041
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3062:7139
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3039:5636
10Toronto FCToronto FC3046:5536
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3046:4735
12New York City FCNew York City FC3043:4134
13DC UnitedDC United3038:5333
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3037:5130
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3036:6025
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About the Orlando City SC vs DC United forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Orlando City SC and DC United in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Orlando City SC are 7th and DC United 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Orlando City SC 58-70, DC United 38-53. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.