DC United vs Columbus Crew Prediction

DC United
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Columbus Crew
Audi Field, Washington·Muhammad Kaleia, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+9.2%
DC United Rest
11 days
Columbus Crew Rest
4 days

DC United vs Columbus Crew: the result in context

DC United beat Columbus Crew 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Columbus Crew have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. DC United tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.1 for Columbus Crew.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.51
X
28%3.55
2
33%2.60
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
61%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.54
No
37%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.28 = 2.71
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.67
Over 3.5
34%2.66
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
66%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.50
Over 9.5
51%1.83
Over 10.5
37%2.29
Under 8.5
36%2.42
Under 9.5
49%1.87
Under 10.5
63%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.50
Over 4.5
39%2.02
Under 3.5
42%2.44
Under 4.5
61%1.75

Match Events

12'Tarun KarumanchiFoul
19'Cesar RuvalcabaFoul
19'João Gabriel Martins PeglowFoul
24'Tai BariboAssist: Louis Munteanu
37'Tai BariboAssist: Kimito Nono
45'Cesar Ruvalcaba INSteven Moreira out
45'Taha Habroune INBrais Méndez out
45'Jackson Hopkins INMatti Peltola out
49'Santiago RodriguezAssist: Josef Martínez
52'Penalty cancelledKeisuke Kurokawa
57'Kye RowlesFoul
60'Josef Martínez INGonzalo Tapia out
70'Dylan Chambost INAndré Gomes out
70'Louis Munteanu INNathan Ordaz out
77'Tai Baribo INBrandon Servania out
81'Santiago Rodriguez INJamal Thiare out
90+2'João Gabriel Martins Peglow INSean Nealis out
90+5'Sean JohnsonTime wasting

Lineups

DC United
4-3-3Coach: R. Weiler
Columbus Crew
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Courtois
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.71
S. Johnson6.11S. Johnson
S. Hefti6.85S. Hefti
L. Bartlett6.73L. Bartlett
K. Rowles6.115K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa6.06K. Kurokawa
K. Nono7.72K. Nono
A. Dozzell6.621A. Dozzell
Peglow6.47Peglow
J. Hopkins6.625J. Hopkins
T. Baribo9.09T. Baribo
L. Munteanu7.511L. Munteanu
P. Schulte6.928P. Schulte
Cesar Ruvalcaba6.112C. Ruvalcaba
S. Zawadzki7.025S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen6.818M. Amundsen
B. Lennon6.411B. Lennon
D. Chambost7.27D. Chambost
T. Karumanchi6.350T. Karumanchi
M. Farsi6.723M. Farsi
T. Habroune6.616T. Habroune
S. Rodríguez7.78S. Rodríguez
Josef Martínez7.177J. Martínez

DC United Substitutes

32O. Avilez
26A. Bono
77Hosei Kijima
27Nikola Markovic
13S. Nealis90+2'for João Gabriel Martins Peglow
22N. Ordaz70'for Louis Munteanu6.7
4M. Peltola45'for Jackson Hopkins6.6
8J. Stroud
23B. Servania77'for Tai Baribo6.5

Columbus Crew Substitutes

1N. Hagen
26L. Giaccone
3E. Bailly
31S. Moreira45'for Cesar Ruvalcaba6.5
10Brais Méndez45'for Taha Habroune6.8
54Luke Pruter
33G. Tapia60'for Josef Martínez6.2
20André Gomes70'for Dylan Chambost6.7
19J. Thiaré81'for Santiago Rodriguez6.4

Match Stats

DC UnitedColumbus Crew
28%Ball Possession72%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots4
8Fouls12
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
280Total Passes732
210Passes Accurate664
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

DC UnitedDC United
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1448Elo Rating 1699
0.54Attack 2.33
0.45Defense 2.61
0%Hit Rate 83%
11.5Shots per Game 9.8
3.0Shots on Target 3.9
6.9Corners per Game 3.1
2.2Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

DC UnitedDC United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DC UnitedDC United1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew6Wins · 60%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer20/07/2025
Columbus CrewDC United
21
Major League Soccer30/03/2025
DC UnitedColumbus Crew
12
Major League Soccer29/09/2024
DC UnitedColumbus Crew
22
Major League Soccer07/04/2024
Columbus CrewDC United
11
Major League Soccer09/04/2023
DC UnitedColumbus Crew
02
Major League Soccer05/03/2023
Columbus CrewDC United
20
Major League Soccer14/07/2022
DC UnitedColumbus Crew
22
Major League Soccer01/05/2022
Columbus CrewDC United
30
Major League Soccer31/10/2021
DC UnitedColumbus Crew
13
Major League Soccer05/08/2021
Columbus CrewDC United
24

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
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About the DC United vs Columbus Crew forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

DC United and Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Columbus Crew are 7th and DC United 14th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: DC United 39-61, Columbus Crew 59-52. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Columbus Crew have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.