DC United vs Columbus Crew Prediction

DC United
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Columbus Crew
Audi Field, Washington· Muhammad Kaleia, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.52
SignalSTRONGModel70%RiskMediumGap+9.2%
DC United Rest
11 days
Columbus Crew Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.51
X
28%3.55
2
33%2.60
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
61%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.54
No
37%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.28 = 2.71
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.67
Over 3.5
34%2.66
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
66%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.50
Over 9.5
51%1.83
Over 10.5
37%2.29
Under 8.5
36%2.42
Under 9.5
49%1.87
Under 10.5
63%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.50
Over 4.5
39%2.02
Under 3.5
42%2.44
Under 4.5
61%1.75

Match Events

12'Tarun KarumanchiFoul
19'Cesar RuvalcabaFoul
19'João Gabriel Martins PeglowFoul
24'Tai BariboAssist: Louis Munteanu
37'Tai BariboAssist: Kimito Nono
45'Cesar Ruvalcaba INSteven Moreira out
45'Taha Habroune INBrais Méndez out
45'Jackson Hopkins INMatti Peltola out
49'Santiago RodriguezAssist: Josef Martínez
52'Penalty cancelledKeisuke Kurokawa
57'Kye RowlesFoul
60'Josef Martínez INGonzalo Tapia out
70'Dylan Chambost INAndré Gomes out
70'Louis Munteanu INNathan Ordaz out
77'Tai Baribo INBrandon Servania out
81'Santiago Rodriguez INJamal Thiare out
90+2'João Gabriel Martins Peglow INSean Nealis out
90+5'Sean JohnsonTime wasting

Lineups

DC United
4-3-3Coach: R. Weiler
Columbus Crew
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Courtois
S. Johnson1S. JohnsonS. Johnson
S. Hefti5S. HeftiS. Hefti
L. Bartlett3L. BartlettL. Bartlett
K. Rowles15K. RowlesK. Rowles
K. Kurokawa6K. KurokawaK. Kurokawa
K. Nono2K. NonoK. Nono
A. Dozzell21A. DozzellA. Dozzell
Peglow7PeglowPeglow
J. Hopkins25J. HopkinsJ. Hopkins
T. Baribo9T. BariboT. Baribo
L. Munteanu11L. MunteanuL. Munteanu
P. Schulte28P. SchulteP. Schulte
Cesar Ruvalcaba12C. RuvalcabaCesar Ruvalcaba
S. Zawadzki25S. ZawadzkiS. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen18M. AmundsenM. Amundsen
B. Lennon11B. LennonB. Lennon
D. Chambost7D. ChambostD. Chambost
T. Karumanchi50T. KarumanchiT. Karumanchi
M. Farsi23M. FarsiM. Farsi
T. Habroune16T. HabrouneT. Habroune
S. Rodríguez8S. RodríguezS. Rodríguez
Josef Martínez77J. MartínezJosef Martínez

DC United Substitutes

32O. AvilezF
26A. BonoG
77Hosei KijimaM
27Nikola MarkovicD
13S. NealisD
22N. OrdazF
4M. PeltolaD
8J. StroudM
23B. ServaniaM

Columbus Crew Substitutes

1N. HagenG
26L. GiacconeM
3E. BaillyD
31S. MoreiraD
10Brais MéndezM
54Luke PruterG
33G. TapiaF
20André GomesM
19J. ThiaréF

Match Stats

DC UnitedColumbus Crew
28%Ball Possession72%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots4
8Fouls12
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
280Total Passes732
210Passes Accurate664
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

DC UnitedDC United
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1510Elo Rating 1559
0.62Attack 1.37
1.85Defense 1.69
23%Hit Rate 44%
11.0Shots per Game 12.8
3.2Shots on Target 3.6
4.8Corners per Game 4.7
2.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DC UnitedDC United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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DC United vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

DC United and Columbus Crew have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.89 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.