DC United vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Audi Field, Washington 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskMediumGap+2.5%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.77
SignalHIGHModel64%RiskMediumGap+7.2%
DC United Rest
3 days
Atlanta United FC Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.15
X
23%3.70
2
30%3.08
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
53%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.53
No
32%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.3 = 2.83
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
35%2.50
Under 1.5
18%4.70
Under 2.5
42%2.29
Under 3.5
65%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
59%1.34
Over 9.5
46%1.61
Over 10.5
36%2.02
Under 8.5
41%2.94
Under 9.5
54%2.17
Under 10.5
64%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.50
Over 4.5
36%1.97
Under 3.5
45%2.50
Under 4.5
64%1.77

Match Events

36'Mauricio Federico Amaro ViegaFoul
56'Nathan Ordaz INJared Stroud out
56'Silvan Hefti INJackson Hopkins out
56'Brandon Servania INMatti Peltola out
57'Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega INAdrian Gill out
57'Ajani Fortune INTristan Muyumba out
57'Junior Alonso INMatthew Edwards out
62'Tristan MuyumbaFoul
68'Kye RowlesFoul
70'Kimito NonoNot retreating
71'Jared StroudFoul
73'Miguel Almirón INFafà Picault out
82'Andre Dozzell INNikola Marković out
87'Cooper Sanchez INLuke Brennan out
89'Louis Munteanu INHosei Kijima out

Lineups

DC United
4-4-2Coach: R. Weiler
Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Coach: G. Martino
S. Johnson1S. JohnsonS. Johnson
S. Hefti5S. HeftiS. Hefti
L. Bartlett3L. BartlettL. Bartlett
K. Rowles15K. RowlesK. Rowles
K. Kurokawa6K. KurokawaK. Kurokawa
K. Nono2K. NonoK. Nono
A. Dozzell21A. DozzellA. Dozzell
B. Servania23B. ServaniaB. Servania
N. Ordaz22N. OrdazN. Ordaz
L. Munteanu11L. MunteanuL. Munteanu
T. Baribo9T. BariboT. Baribo
L. Hoyos1L. HoyosL. Hoyos
T. Jacob55T. JacobT. Jacob
E. Mihaj4E. MihajE. Mihaj
J. Alonso6J. AlonsoJ. Alonso
E. Báez3E. BáezE. Báez
C. Sanchez48C. SanchezC. Sanchez
1414M. Federico Amaro ViegaMauricio Federico Amaro Viega
A. Fortune35A. FortuneA. Fortune
A. Miranchuk59A. MiranchukA. Miranchuk
B. Embolo36B. EmboloB. Embolo
M. Almirón10M. AlmirónM. Almirón

DC United Substitutes

8J. StroudM
26A. BonoG
25J. HopkinsM
77Hosei KijimaM
27Nikola MarkovicD
13S. NealisD
4M. PeltolaD

Atlanta United FC Substitutes

42Jayden HibbertG
8T. MuyumbaM
22F. PicaultF
28William ReillyM
19Sergio SantosF
16Adrian GillM
47Matthew EdwardsD
20L. BrennanM
27P. DíazD

Match Stats

DC UnitedAtlanta United FC
31%Ball Possession69%
4Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards2
4Total Shots19
0Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal9
2Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box7
0Blocked Shots7
16Fouls6
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
268Total Passes625
197Passes Accurate558
6Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

DC UnitedDC United
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1510Elo Rating 1500
0.62Attack 1.13
1.85Defense 1.45
23%Hit Rate 14%
11.0Shots per Game 15.6
3.2Shots on Target 3.2
4.8Corners per Game 7.0
2.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DC UnitedDC United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami25129461:46+1545DDDWL
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2561:4645
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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DC United vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

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Key Factors for This Match

DC United and Atlanta United FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.33 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.