Lexington vs FC Tulsa Prediction

Lexington
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
Toyota Stadium·E. Garcia 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
53%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Lexington Rest
6 days
FC Tulsa Rest
5 days

Lexington vs FC Tulsa: result, form and history

Lexington and FC Tulsa drew 0-0 in the USL Championship on 10 Oct 2026. Lexington had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for FC Tulsa.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 3 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.65
X
26%3.70
2
22%4.55
Double Chance
1X
78%1.13
X2
48%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.26 = 2.86
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
32%2.85
Under 1.5
24%3.74
Under 2.5
47%1.96
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'W. Wilson INJ. Kocevski out
61'Nick Firmino INB. P. Rodrigues out
67'A. Ordonez ING. Colli out
75'M. Fry INM. Yosef out
76'L. Dorsey INR. Cabral out
76'B. Diallo INS. Lukic out
86'J. Webber IND. Pierre out
90+1'J. KocevskiUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+1'P. GoodrumUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

LexingtonLexington
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
1541Elo Rating 1513
3.27Attack 1.04
1.67Defense 1.59
77%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals

Game State Tendencies

LexingtonLexington
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

LexingtonLexington0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
FC TulsaFC Tulsa2Wins · 67%
1.7Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

USL Championship26/07/2026
FC TulsaLexington
00
USL Championship05/10/2025
FC TulsaLexington
30
USL Championship19/05/2025
LexingtonFC Tulsa
02

Recent Form

LexingtonLexington
6W0D4L
04/10/2026
LexingtonEl Paso Locomotive
31
W
27/09/2026
Monterey BayLexington
23
W
20/09/2026
LexingtonOrange County SC
60
W
13/09/2026
Oakland RootsLexington
14
W
06/09/2026
Sporting JAXLexington
32
L
30/08/2026
LexingtonColorado Springs
01
L
27/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedLexington
21
L
23/08/2026
LexingtonLas Vegas Lights
20
W
16/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicLexington
10
L
09/08/2026
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
10
W
FC TulsaFC Tulsa
3W4D3L
04/10/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
11
D
01/10/2026
FC TulsaNew Mexico United
10
W
26/09/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
11
D
20/09/2026
BrooklynFC Tulsa
22
D
13/09/2026
Phoenix RisingFC Tulsa
21
L
06/09/2026
San AntonioFC Tulsa
00
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
W
23/08/2026
Orange County SCFC Tulsa
15
W
16/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
10
L
09/08/2026
FC TulsaDetroit City
01
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive29155948:37+1150LWLDW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United29147844:34+1049LWWLL
3Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic291212539:26+1348WDDWW
4LexingtonLexington291451054:36+1847WDWWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs29128942:38+444WDDDD
6FC TulsaFC Tulsa291110834:29+543LDDWD
7San AntonioSan Antonio291012730:29+142WDLDD
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising291091042:43-139WWLLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC291091038:47-939LLLWL
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots29911937:37038WDDWW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights291061340:46-636LLWLD
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay29561830:51-2121LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2948:3750
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2944:3449
3Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2939:2648
4LexingtonLexington2954:3647
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2942:3844
6FC TulsaFC Tulsa2934:2943
7San AntonioSan Antonio2930:2942
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2942:4339
9Orange County SCOrange County SC2938:4739
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots2937:3738
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2940:4636
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2930:5121

About the Lexington vs FC Tulsa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lexington and FC Tulsa in the USL Championship table

Lexington and FC Tulsa are close in the USL Championship table, 4th and 6th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Lexington 54-36, FC Tulsa 34-29. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.