Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Juventus
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
NEC Nijmegen
Allianz Stadium, Turin·O. Derevinskyi 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseHighGap+8.6%
Juventus Rest
4 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
5 days

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen: the result in context

Juventus beat NEC Nijmegen 5-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 17 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Juventus had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for NEC Nijmegen.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
93%1.17
X
5%8.00
2
2%15.84
Double Chance
1X
98%1.03
X2
8%5.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.04
No
50%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.26 + 0.76 = 3.02
Over 1.5
80%1.10
Over 2.5
59%1.38
Over 3.5
37%2.02
Under 1.5
20%6.50
Under 2.5
41%2.90
Under 3.5
63%1.82
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 2.6 = 8.8
Over 8.5
56%1.50
Over 9.5
39%1.84
Over 10.5
28%2.33
Under 8.5
44%2.46
Under 9.5
61%1.89
Under 10.5
72%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.75
Over 4.5
29%2.67
Under 3.5
52%2.00
Under 4.5
71%1.43

Match Events

9'Nicolás Iván GonzalezAssist: Kamil Grabara
24'Kerim AlajbegovicAssist: Weston McKennie
32'Clement Bischoff INDennis Geiger out
35'Nick Woltemade(Penalty)
45'Almugera Kabar INJamiro Monteiro out
52'Jamiro MonteiroFoul
53'Douglas Luiz SoaresFoul
60'Weston McKennie INGleison Bremer out
61'Douglas Luiz Soares INTeun Koopmeiners out
61'Nicolás Iván Gonzalez INFrancisco Conceicao out
67'Philippe Sandler INPerr Schuurs out
71'Kerim Alajbegovic INRandal Kolo Muani out
75'Zeki ÇelikAssist: Randal Kolo Muani
78'Noe Lebreton INKevin Kers out
79'Bryan Linssen INBram Nuytinck out
82'Randal Kolo MuaniAssist: Jhon Lucumi
83'Nick Woltemade INAugusto Owusu out

Lineups

Juventus
3-4-2-1Coach: L. Spalletti
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick Schreuder
Avg rating7.43
Avg rating6.07
K. Grabara7.61K. Grabara
P. Kalulu7.515P. Kalulu
F. Gatti7.24F. Gatti
J. Lucumí8.426J. Lucumí
Z. Çelik8.12Z. Çelik
Douglas Luiz6.912D. Luiz
P. Sarr6.929P. Sarr
W. McKennie7.422W. McKennie
N. González8.231N. González
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović8.217K. Alajbegović
N. Woltemade6.527N. Woltemade
N. Polster5.612N. Polster
T. Storm5.821T. Storm
P. Sandler5.83P. Sandler
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar5.666A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar
Clement Bischoff6.199C. Bischoff
D. Nejašmić6.76D. Nejašmić
N. Lebreton6.420N. Lebreton
A. Thomas6.377A. Thomas
T. Chery6.59T. Chery
D. Tadić6.010D. Tadić
B. Linssen6.130B. Linssen

Juventus Substitutes

3Bremer60'for Weston McKennie7.3
7Francisco Conceição61'for Nicolás Iván Gonzalez6.9
48D. Elimoghale
9R. Kolo Muani71'for Kerim Alajbegovic82'7.8
8T. Koopmeiners61'for Douglas Luiz Soares7.2
41A. Owusu83'for Nick Woltemade6.8
43F. Pagnucco
23C. Pinsoglio
25G. Vicario

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

73Gabriel Brás
18D. Geiger32'for Clement Bischoff6.5
38Joep Geneste
34Kevin Kers78'for Noe Lebreton6.3
35Jamiro Monteiro45'for Almugera Kabar52'6.2
42Y. Moslih
17B. Nuytinck79'for Bryan Linssen5.6
4P. Schuurs67'for Philippe Sandler5.7
14K. Sierhuis
11W. Willumsson
36Freek Entius

Match Stats

JuventusNEC Nijmegen
48%Ball Possession52%
0Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots1
9Fouls19
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
499Total Passes550
446Passes Accurate495
19Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

JuventusJuventus
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1838Elo Rating 1704
1.13Attack 2.15
1.43Defense 1.31
37%Hit Rate 23%
13.7Shots per Game 17.9
3.5Shots on Target 6.7
6.3Corners per Game 7.5
0.7Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

JuventusJuventus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

JuventusJuventus
6W2D2L
13/09/2026
SassuoloJuventus
32
L
06/09/2026
JuventusAC Milan
11
D
29/08/2026
JuventusParma
20
W
23/08/2026
FrosinoneJuventus
01
W
11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
20
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
L
05/08/2026
ChelseaJuventus
01
W
31/07/2026
JuventusNice
20
W
25/07/2026
Standard LiegeJuventus
01
W
18/07/2026
FC Basel 1893Juventus
00
D

Referee Profile

O. Derevinskyi84 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

O. Derevinskyi3.92
Other referees4.39

3.92 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventus and NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Juventus are 7th and NEC Nijmegen 20th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventus 9-3, NEC Nijmegen 5-8. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventus and NEC Nijmegen have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.