Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction

Portland Timbers
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Austin
Providence Park, Portland·G. Gonzales 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+12.8%
Portland Timbers Rest
7 days
Austin Rest
3 days

Portland Timbers vs Austin: the result in context

Austin beat Portland Timbers 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Portland Timbers have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.56
X
22%4.42
2
23%5.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.17
X2
45%2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.2 = 2.68
Over 1.5
76%1.13
Over 2.5
58%1.45
Over 3.5
34%2.17
Under 1.5
24%5.90
Under 2.5
42%2.70
Under 3.5
66%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
59%1.36
Over 9.5
47%1.59
Over 10.5
35%1.95
Under 8.5
41%2.97
Under 9.5
53%2.23
Under 10.5
65%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
66%1.56
Over 4.5
43%1.99
Under 3.5
34%2.37
Under 4.5
57%1.75

Match Events

25'F. TorresAssist: J. Rosales
35'Guilherme Biro
47'M. Desler
63'G. Guerra INAntony out
63'J. Gallagher INP. Placheta out
63'J. Alastuey INZ. Kolmanic out
71'M. Desler INB. Hines-Ike out
75'C. Bassett INJ. Ortiz out
75'J. Fory INI. Smith out
83'J. Bell INO. Svatok out
83'F. Torres INI. Sanchez out
83'E. Miller INO. Fernandez out
88'O. Svatok
88'J. Caicedo
89'Antony(Penalty)
90+3'O. Svatok
90+7'J. Rosales

Lineups

Portland Timbers
4-3-3Coach: Jack Cassidy
Austin
3-4-2-1
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.72
James Pantemis6.341J. Pantemis
Eric Miller6.315E. Miller
Finn SurmanC7.520F. Surman
Kamal Miller7.24K. Miller
Jímer Fory6.627J. Fory
Cole Bassett6.717C. Bassett
José Caicedo7.230J. Caicedo
David Pereira Da Costa7.210D. Pereira Da Costa
Ariel Lassiter6.67A. Lassiter
Gage Guerra6.588G. Guerra
Kristoffer Velde6.699K. Velde
Brad StuverC6.91B. Stuver
Mikkel Desler6.93M. Desler
Jonathan Bell7.215J. Bell
Guilherme Biro6.329G. Biro
Joseph Rosales6.230J. Rosales
Ervin Torres7.038E. Torres
Besard Sabović7.314B. Sabović
Jon Gallagher6.317J. Gallagher
Facundo Torres7.311F. Torres
Jorge Alastuey6.624J. Alastuey
Brandon Vázquez6.39B. Vázquez

Portland Timbers Substitutes

11Antony Alves63'for G. Guerra89'7.5
23Ian Smith75'for J. Fory6.6
80Joao Ortíz75'for C. Bassett6.3
22Omir Fernandez83'for E. Miller6.5
26Hunter Sulte
18Zac McGraw
16Sawyer Jura
6Alex Bonetig
73Eric Izoita

Austin Substitutes

23Žan Kolmanič63'for J. Alastuey6.7
77Przemysław Płacheta63'for J. Gallagher6.2
4Brendan Hines-Ike71'for M. Desler6.5
5Oleksandr Svatok83'for J. Bell88'90+3'7.3
6Ilie Sánchez83'for F. Torres6.5
12Damian Las
35Mateja Đorđević
21Christian Ramirez
32Micah Burton

Match Stats

Portland TimbersAustin
50%Ball Possession50%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
9Fouls14
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
499Total Passes509
428Passes Accurate426
86%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
AustinAustin
1613Elo Rating 1520
2.08Attack 1.19
1.60Defense 0.51
69%Hit Rate 19%
16.4Shots per Game 13.1
6.6Shots on Target 4.6
5.2Corners per Game 5.5
2.2Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
AustinAustin2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer06/04/2025
AustinPortland Timbers
00
Major League Soccer02/03/2025
Portland TimbersAustin
10
Major League Soccer03/10/2024
Portland TimbersAustin
01
Major League Soccer30/05/2024
AustinPortland Timbers
02
Major League Soccer18/09/2023
AustinPortland Timbers
12
Major League Soccer07/05/2023
Portland TimbersAustin
22
Major League Soccer01/09/2022
AustinPortland Timbers
12
Major League Soccer13/03/2022
Portland TimbersAustin
10
Major League Soccer08/11/2021
Portland TimbersAustin
30
Major League Soccer22/08/2021
AustinPortland Timbers
31

Referee Profile

G. Gonzales34 matches

4.36Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Gonzales4.36
Other referees4.37

4.36 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.37).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Portland Timbers vs Austin forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Portland Timbers and Austin in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Portland Timbers are 7th and Austin 14th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Portland Timbers 62-61, Austin 42-65. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Portland Timbers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.