Portugal vs Denmark Prediction

Portugal
-
14/11/2026
20:45
Denmark
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga·Rade Obrenovic
PortugalPortugal
14/11/202620:45
DenmarkDenmark

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
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Portugal Rest
41 days
Denmark Rest
41 days

Portugal vs Denmark: what the numbers say

This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 4 wins from five for Portugal and 3 for Denmark. They meet in the UEFA Nations League on 14 Nov 2026.

Portugal have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.50
X
4.70
2
5.80
Double Chance
1X
1.14
X2
2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.62
No
2.20
Goals
Over 1.5
1.14
Over 2.5
1.50
Over 3.5
2.30
Under 1.5
5.30
Under 2.5
2.50
Under 3.5
1.60
Corners
Over 8.5
1.59
Over 9.5
2.00
Over 10.5
2.60
Under 8.5
2.19
Under 9.5
1.73
Under 10.5
1.44
Cards
Over 3.5
1.71
Over 4.5
2.52
Under 3.5
2.08
Under 4.5
1.49
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

PortugalPortugal
DenmarkDenmark
1846Elo Rating 1707
2.01Attack 1.59
1.94Defense 1.45
86%Hit Rate 46%
17.3Shots per Game 15.4
6.1Shots on Target 4.8
5.7Corners per Game 3.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+139 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PortugalPortugal
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
DenmarkDenmark
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PortugalPortugal3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
DenmarkDenmark1Wins · 25%
4.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League01/10/2026
DenmarkPortugal
24
UEFA Nations League23/03/2025
PortugalDenmark
5322
UEFA Nations League20/03/2025
DenmarkPortugal
10
Euro Championship13/06/2012
DenmarkPortugal
23

Recent Form

DenmarkDenmark
4W2D4L
04/10/2026
WalesDenmark
01
W
01/10/2026
DenmarkPortugal
24
L
27/09/2026
DenmarkWales
20
W
24/09/2026
NorwayDenmark
32
L
07/06/2026
DenmarkUkraine
21
W
03/06/2026
Congo DRDenmark
00
D
31/03/2026
Czech RepublicDenmark
3111
L
26/03/2026
DenmarkFYR Macedonia
40
W
18/11/2025
ScotlandDenmark
42
L
15/11/2025
DenmarkBelarus
22
D

Referee Profile

Rade Obrenovic178 matches

4.29Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rade Obrenovic4.29
Other referees4.39

4.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).

Cards come from 69 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PortugalPortugal44009:4+512WWWW
2DenmarkDenmark42027:706WLWL
3WalesWales41032:5-33LWLL
4NorwayNorway41036:8-23LLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PortugalPortugal49:412
2DenmarkDenmark47:76
3WalesWales42:53
4NorwayNorway46:83
Relegation

About the Portugal vs Denmark forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Portugal and Denmark in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Portugal are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Denmark in 2nd. League goal record so far: Portugal 9-4, Denmark 7-7. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Portugal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.