Norway vs Wales Prediction

UEFA Nations LeagueWorld World · League A - 5
Cup
Norway
-
14/11/2026
18:00
Wales
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo·Oleksiy Derevinskiy
NorwayNorway
14/11/202618:00
WalesWales

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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SignalModelSurpriseGap
Norway Rest
40 days
Wales Rest
40 days

Norway vs Wales in numbers

Both Norway and Wales have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the UEFA Nations League on 14 Nov 2026.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.22
X
7.10
2
12.03
Double Chance
1X
1.04
X2
4.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.83
No
1.88
Goals
Over 1.5
1.09
Over 2.5
1.36
Over 3.5
2.00
Under 1.5
6.50
Under 2.5
3.00
Under 3.5
1.84
Corners
Over 8.5
1.74
Over 9.5
2.15
Over 10.5
2.96
Under 8.5
1.96
Under 9.5
1.57
Under 10.5
1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-1.67
Over 4.5
-2.38
Under 3.5
-2.11
Under 4.5
-1.55
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Team Comparison

NorwayNorway
WalesWales
1783Elo Rating 1606
1.33Attack 0.60
1.14Defense 1.81
17%Hit Rate 23%
12.9Shots per Game 9.8
4.6Shots on Target 2.8
4.5Corners per Game 3.9
1.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+177 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
WalesWales
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

NorwayNorway0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
WalesWales1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League01/10/2026
WalesNorway
21

Recent Form

NorwayNorway
5W0D5L
04/10/2026
PortugalNorway
21
L01/10/2026
WalesNorway
21
L27/09/2026
NorwayPortugal
12
L24/09/2026
NorwayDenmark
32
W11/07/2026
NorwayEngland
1121
L05/07/2026
BrazilNorway
12
W
30/06/2026
Ivory CoastNorway
12
W
26/06/2026
NorwayFrance
14
L
23/06/2026
NorwaySenegal
32
W17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
W
WalesWales
3W1D6L
04/10/2026
WalesDenmark
01
L
01/10/2026
WalesNorway
21
W27/09/2026
DenmarkWales
20
L24/09/2026
PortugalWales
10
L
06/06/2026
RomaniaWales
21
L
02/06/2026
WalesGhana
11
D
26/03/2026
WalesBosnia & Herzegovina
2141
L
18/11/2025
WalesFYR Macedonia
71
W
15/11/2025
LiechtensteinWales
01
W
13/10/2025
WalesBelgium
24
L

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PortugalPortugal44009:4+512WWWW
2DenmarkDenmark42027:706WLWL
3WalesWales41032:5-33LWLL
4NorwayNorway41036:8-23LLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PortugalPortugal49:412
2DenmarkDenmark47:76
3WalesWales42:53
4NorwayNorway46:83
Relegation

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About the Norway vs Wales forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Norway and Wales in the UEFA Nations League table

In the UEFA Nations League table, Norway (4th) and Wales (3rd) are level on 3 points. League goal record so far: Norway 6-8, Wales 2-5. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Norway and Wales have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.