France vs Türkiye Prediction

France
-
15/11/2026
20:45
Türkiye
Matmut Stadium, Lyon·Chris Kavanagh
FranceFrance
15/11/202620:45
TürkiyeTürkiye

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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France Rest
3 days
Türkiye Rest
3 days

France vs Türkiye preview: form and head-to-head

The form lines could hardly be further apart: 3 wins from five for France, none for Türkiye. They meet in the UEFA Nations League on 15 Nov 2026.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.23
X
6.45
2
10.05
Double Chance
1X
1.05
X2
4.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.68
No
2.05
Goals
Over 1.5
1.07
Over 2.5
1.31
Over 3.5
1.87
Under 1.5
7.30
Under 2.5
3.25
Under 3.5
1.95
Corners
Over 8.5
1.39
Over 9.5
1.70
Over 10.5
2.14
Under 8.5
2.67
Under 9.5
2.03
Under 10.5
1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
-1.73
Over 4.5
-2.42
Under 3.5
-2.00
Under 4.5
-1.52
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

FranceFrance
TürkiyeTürkiye
1927Elo Rating 1631
2.23Attack 0.89
1.66Defense 0.28
63%Hit Rate 14%
18.5Shots per Game 15.2
7.3Shots on Target 4.7
5.9Corners per Game 5.9
1.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+296 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FranceFrance
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
TürkiyeTürkiye
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FranceFrance1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
TürkiyeTürkiye1Wins · 33%
1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League25/09/2026
TürkiyeFrance
01
Euro Championship14/10/2019
FranceTürkiye
11
Euro Championship08/06/2019
TürkiyeFrance
20

Referee Profile

Chris Kavanagh214 matches

4.13Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Chris Kavanagh4.13
Other referees3.90

4.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.90).

Cards come from 205 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ItalyItaly531111:6+510WWDWL
2FranceFrance53118:5+310LWDWW
3BelgiumBelgium53028:6+29WLWLW
4TürkiyeTürkiye50053:13-100LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ItalyItaly511:610
2FranceFrance58:510
3BelgiumBelgium58:69
4TürkiyeTürkiye53:130
Relegation

About the France vs Türkiye forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

France and Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: France are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 10 points ahead of Türkiye in 4th. League goal record so far: France 8-5, Türkiye 3-13. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.