Millwall vs West Ham Prediction

Millwall
2-2
Finished
HT 2-0
West Ham
The Den, London·Paul Tierney 19/09/2026
MillwallMillwall
2-2
Finished
West HamWest Ham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Millwall Rest
3 days
West Ham Rest
3 days

Millwall vs West Ham: the result in context

Millwall and West Ham drew 2-2 in the Championship on 19 Sep 2026. West Ham had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Millwall.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.75
X
17%4.00
2
64%1.67
Double Chance
1X
36%2.10
X2
81%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.43 = 2.58
Over 1.5
75%1.17
Over 2.5
53%1.62
Over 3.5
30%2.41
Under 1.5
25%4.55
Under 2.5
47%2.25
Under 3.5
70%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.25
Over 9.5
54%1.45
Over 10.5
41%1.76
Under 8.5
37%3.52
Under 9.5
46%2.47
Under 10.5
59%1.96
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%-
Over 4.5
28%1.60
Under 3.5
53%-
Under 4.5
72%2.35

Match Events

16'Caleb Taylor
40'Felipe MoratoFoul
45'Joel Piroe INPablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus out
45'Kyle Walker-Peters INMohamadou Kante out
45+3'Camiel NeghliAssist: Lyndon Dykes
68'Divine Mukasa INEdvin Austbö out
70'Mark Sykes INElkan Baggott out
74'Mohamadou KanteAssist: Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
80'Konstantinos MavropanosAssist: Manor Solomon
81'Taïryk Arconte INKyrell Lisbie out
81'Jenson Metcalfe INM. Servais out
83'Pablo Felipe Pereira de JesusDissent
86'Maximilian KilmanFoul
89'Mohamadou Kante
90+1'Taty Castellanos INLewis Orford out
90+1'Derek Mazou Sacko INLuke Cundle out
90+6'Kyrell LisbieArgument

Lineups

Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
West Ham
4-4-2Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.41
F. Marschall7.334F. Marschall
J. Osei-Tutu6.22J. Osei-Tutu
C. Taylor7.66C. Taylor
J. Cooper6.25J. Cooper
Zak Norton Sturge5.83Z. Norton Sturge
Jenson Metcalfe6.714J. Metcalfe
D. Mazou-Sacko6.449D. Mazou-Sacko
M. Sykes6.017M. Sykes
L. Dykes6.613L. Dykes
C. Neghli7.410C. Neghli
T. Arconte6.37T. Arconte
M. Hermansen7.21M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters6.12K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos6.715K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman5.93M. Kilman
Morato6.05Morato
J. Bowen6.320J. Bowen
D. Mukasa6.214D. Mukasa
A. Engels6.37A. Engels
M. Solomon7.410M. Solomon
J. Piroe6.49J. Piroe
V. Castellanos6.511V. Castellanos

Millwall Substitutes

12E. Baggott70'for Mark Sykes6.4
23D. Batth
15M. Crocombe
25L. Cundle90+1'for Derek Mazou Sacko
45A. Doughty
35Y. Issoufou
16D. Kelly
22K. Lisbie81'for Taïryk Arconte90+6'6.5
8M. Servais81'for Jenson Metcalfe6.1

West Ham Substitutes

30O. Scarles
19Pablo45'for Joel Piroe83'6.4
61L. Orford90+1'for Taty Castellanos
27S. Magassa
17M. Kanté45'for Kyle Walker-Peters74'89'5.7
49F. Herrick
58A. Golambeckis
35E. Austbö68'for Divine Mukasa6.9
66J. Ajala

Match Stats

MillwallWest Ham
33%Ball Possession67%
3Corner Kicks11
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots7
17Fouls18
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
216Total Passes424
132Passes Accurate336
17Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

MillwallMillwall
West HamWest Ham
1654Elo Rating 1802
1.18Attack 2.38
1.53Defense 1.74
17%Hit Rate 42%
12.9Shots per Game 19.9
3.9Shots on Target 7.9
7.7Corners per Game 8.4
2.8Cards per Game 2.2

Game State Tendencies

MillwallMillwall
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
5W1D4L
15/09/2026
MiddlesbroughMillwall
22
D
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
L
08/09/2026
MillwallNewcastle
01
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
W
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
W
08/08/2026
QPRMillwall
0121
W

Referee Profile

Paul Tierney158 matches

3.80Cards per match
3.69Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paul Tierney3.80
Other referees3.72

3.80 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).

Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1384130:17+1328WWDWW
2SwanseaSwansea1382320:13+726WLLWW
3WolvesWolves1373323:16+724WWDWL
4West BromWest Brom1373319:14+524WDWWL
5SouthamptonSouthampton1383228:13+1523WWDWW
6BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
7Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
8West HamWest Ham1364333:18+1522LLWWD
9QPRQPR1355321:16+520LWLWD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1354416:15+119DWDWW
12MillwallMillwall1353523:21+218WLDLW
13BlackburnBlackburn1353519:20-118LWLWW
14Bristol CityBristol City1353515:17-218WDLLD
15NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1335519:20-114LWDWL
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1342718:26-814LLDWL
20CharltonCharlton1335511:21-1014LLLDD
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1316617:25-89DLLDW
23DerbyDerby1314811:25-147LDLLD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1330:1728
2SwanseaSwansea1320:1326
3WolvesWolves1323:1624
4West BromWest Brom1319:1424
5SouthamptonSouthampton1328:1323
6BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
7Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
8West HamWest Ham1333:1822
9QPRQPR1321:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1316:1519
12MillwallMillwall1323:2118
13BlackburnBlackburn1319:2018
14Bristol CityBristol City1315:1718
15NorwichNorwich1323:2415
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1319:2014
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1318:2614
20CharltonCharlton1311:2114
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1317:259
23DerbyDerby1311:257
24PrestonPreston1310:275
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About the Millwall vs West Ham forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Millwall and West Ham in the Championship table

In the Championship table, West Ham are 8th and Millwall 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Millwall 23-21, West Ham 33-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Millwall and West Ham have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.