Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction

Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario·Facundo Tello 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Rosario Central Rest
5 days
Independ. Rivadavia Rest
8 days

Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: result, form and history

Rosario Central beat Independ. Rivadavia 5-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.00
X
29%3.23
2
25%3.98
Double Chance
1X
75%1.22
X2
53%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.94 = 2.17
Over 1.5
65%1.40
Over 2.5
40%2.30
Over 3.5
21%4.20
Under 1.5
35%2.85
Under 2.5
60%1.60
Under 3.5
79%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.60
Over 9.5
48%2.10
Over 10.5
36%2.55
Under 8.5
40%2.18
Under 9.5
52%1.67
Under 10.5
64%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.9 = 5.1
Over 3.5
75%1.32
Over 4.5
58%1.65
Under 3.5
25%3.20
Under 4.5
42%2.15

Match Events

11'Ángel Di María(Penalty)
12'Gonzalo RiosDissent
25'Ángel Di MaríaFoul
39'Card upgrade confirmedAlex Arce
40'Alex ArceSerious foul
45'Federico Navarro INGiovanni Ismael Cantizano out
45'Gonzalo Rios INFabrizio Sartori Prieto out
45+2'Leonard CostaFoul
51'Jaminton CampazAssist: Vicente Pizarro
57'Ángel Di MaríaAssist: Vicente Pizarro
59'Luciano Gomez INAlex Vigo out
59'Luis Sequeira INMatías Reali out
63'Jose Ignacio FlorentinFoul
69'Enzo CopettiAssist: G.Agustin Sandez
71'Jaminton Campaz INFranco Cervi out
72'Enzo Copetti INMarco Ruben out
72'Tomas Bottari INStefano Moreyra out
72'Franco Ibarra INJulian Fernandez out
74'Marco RubenAssist: Ignacio Ovando
76'Ángel Di María INJuan Giménez out
79'Matías Fernández INLeonel Bucca out

Lineups

Rosario Central
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Almirón
Independ. Rivadavia
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Berti
Avg rating7.42
Avg rating5.94
J. Ledesma7.023J. Ledesma
E. Coronel6.832E. Coronel
Ignacio Ovando7.646I. Ovando
G. Ávila8.013G. Ávila
A. Sandez8.23A. Sandez
F. Ibarra6.75F. Ibarra
V. Pizarro8.620V. Pizarro
F. Navarro6.931F. Navarro
Á. Di María7.811Á. Di María
J. Campaz8.28J. Campaz
E. Copetti8.022E. Copetti
Nicolás Bolcato6.330N. Bolcato
L. Gómez5.614L. Gómez
L. Costa5.42L. Costa
S. Studer6.042S. Studer
J. Elordi5.33J. Elordi
T. Bottari6.55T. Bottari
J. Florentín5.925J. Florentín
G. Ríos5.511G. Ríos
L. Sequeira6.377L. Sequeira
M. Fernández6.010M. Fernández
A. Arce5.59A. Arce

Rosario Central Substitutes

2S. Zaracho
33A. Soto
9M. Ruben72'for Enzo Copetti74'7.4
15F. Mallo
6J. Komar
24Juan Valentín Giménez76'for Ángel Di María7.4
18J. Fernández72'for Franco Ibarra6.5
10F. Cervi71'for Jaminton Campaz6.9
16T. Badaloni
26G. Cantizano45'for Federico Navarro6.6
38Damian Leandro Fernandez
42E. Veron

Independ. Rivadavia Substitutes

7V. Ramis
13A. Osella
80M. Reali59'for Luis Sequeira6.9
43F. Sartori45'for Gonzalo Rios6.5
28A. Vigo59'for Luciano Gomez5.6
40I. Villalba
19R. Atencio
8L. Bucca79'for Matías Fernández5.9
27D. Crego
23L. Díaz
21Emmanuel Gómez
34S. Moreyra72'for Tomas Bottari5.8

Match Stats

Rosario CentralIndepend. Rivadavia
60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots6
9Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots1
9Fouls15
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
489Total Passes323
413Passes Accurate254
84%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Rosario CentralRosario Central
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
1784Elo Rating 1723
2.79Attack 1.04
2.10Defense 0.98
81%Hit Rate 17%
15.8Shots per Game 12.5
6.9Shots on Target 4.1
6.0Corners per Game 4.1
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Rosario CentralRosario Central
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Rosario CentralRosario Central0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina23/03/2026
Independ. RivadaviaRosario Central
20
Liga Profesional Argentina05/11/2024
Independ. RivadaviaRosario Central
11

Referee Profile

Facundo Tello243 matches

5.28Cards per match
5.01Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Facundo Tello5.29
Other referees5.12

5.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).

Cards come from 230 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434WWWWL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426WLLDW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LLWWD
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WLDWW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LDLLD
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1374217:11+625LWWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1364314:10+422WLLDW
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
6River PlateRiver Plate1362518:13+520WWWWW
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1354411:10+119WLDWW
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1354417:21-419WWWWL
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1333714:20-612LLWWD
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto132388:17-99LDLLL
15AldosiviAldosivi1322914:22-88LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1317:1125
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1314:1022
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
6River PlateRiver Plate1318:1320
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1311:1019
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1317:2119
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1314:2012
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto138:179
15AldosiviAldosivi1314:228

About the Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Independ. Rivadavia are 1st in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 6 points ahead of Rosario Central in 4th. League goal record so far: Rosario Central 20-16, Independ. Rivadavia 29-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rosario Central have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Independ. Rivadavia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rosario Central and Independ. Rivadavia have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.