Corinthians vs Rosario Central Prediction

Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo·A. Herrera 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.67
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+14.7%
Corinthians Rest
4 days
Rosario Central Rest
4 days

Corinthians vs Rosario Central: result, form and history

Corinthians beat Rosario Central 1-0 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Rosario Central tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 5.6 for Corinthians.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.17
X
37%2.85
2
16%4.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.23
X2
53%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.40
No
55%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 0.9 = 2.33
Over 1.5
69%1.67
Over 2.5
36%3.10
Over 3.5
18%6.50
Under 1.5
31%2.18
Under 2.5
64%1.36
Under 3.5
82%1.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.7 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.63
Over 9.5
45%2.01
Over 10.5
34%2.64
Under 8.5
42%2.15
Under 9.5
55%1.72
Under 10.5
66%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3 = 5.7
Over 3.5
75%1.15
Over 4.5
59%1.32
Under 3.5
25%5.00
Under 4.5
41%3.15

Match Events

36'RanieleTripping
58'RanieleSerious foul
70'Pedro Raul INM. Depay out
76'J. Campaz ING. Cantizano out
76'F. Ibarra INJ. Fernandez out
80'Breno BidonAssist: M. Depay
83'A. Sandez INM. Ruben out
87'Breno Bidon INJoao Pedro out
87'F. Navarro INT. Badaloni out
90'Kaio Cesar INCharles Rigon out

Lineups

Corinthians
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Diniz
Rosario Central
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Almiron
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.45
Hugo Souza6.91H. Souza
Matheuzinho7.52Matheuzinho
Gabriel Paulista7.03G. Paulista
Gustavo Henrique7.213G. Henrique
Matheus Bidu7.521M. Bidu
A. Carrillo6.719A. Carrillo
Raniele6.214Raniele
Kaio Cesar7.637K. Cesar
R. GarroC7.28R. Garro
Breno Bidon7.37B. Bidon
Pedro Raul6.318P. Raul
C. Ledesma6.723C. Ledesma
E. Coronel6.332E. Coronel
I. Ovando6.946I. Ovando
G. Avila6.313G. Avila
A. Sandez6.03A. Sandez
F. Ibarra6.75F. Ibarra
F. Navarro6.931F. Navarro
A. Rodriguez6.788A. Rodriguez
A. Di MariaC6.611A. Di Maria
J. Campaz6.38J. Campaz
E. Copetti5.922E. Copetti

Corinthians Substitutes

51Kaue
26F. Angileri
20P. Milans
4Joao Pedro87'for Breno Bidon6.7
55I. Machado
23M. Pereira
63Alex Santana
35Charles Rigon90'for Kaio Cesar
54Bahia
10M. Depay70'for Pedro Raul6.3
56Gui Negao
61Dieguinho

Rosario Central Substitutes

1A. Werner
24J. Gimenez
33A. Soto
15F. Mallo Blanco
2S. Zaracho
42E. Veron
28P. Fernandez
20V. Pizarro
29M. Ruben83'for A. Sandez6.2
26G. Cantizano76'for J. Campaz6.6
16T. Badaloni87'for F. Navarro6.2
18J. Fernandez76'for F. Ibarra6.5

Match Stats

CorinthiansRosario Central
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box1
3Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots2
15Fouls14
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
305Total Passes379
230Passes Accurate306
75%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

CorinthiansCorinthians
Rosario CentralRosario Central
1629Elo Rating 1806
1.15Attack 2.55
1.69Defense 2.20
23%Hit Rate 86%
20.4Shots per Game 16.8
5.1Shots on Target 6.5
5.6Corners per Game 7.7
3.1Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CorinthiansCorinthians
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
Rosario CentralRosario Central
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CorinthiansCorinthians0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Rosario CentralRosario Central0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Libertadores14/08/2026
Rosario CentralCorinthians
00

Recent Form

Rosario CentralRosario Central
4W2D4L
17/08/2026
Barracas CentralRosario Central
01
W
14/08/2026
Rosario CentralCorinthians
00
D
08/08/2026
Rosario CentralAldosivi
21
W
03/08/2026
River PlateRosario Central
01
W
29/07/2026
Rosario CentralRacing Club
00
D
24/07/2026
Belgrano CordobaRosario Central
21
L
31/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
30
L
28/05/2026
Independiente del ValleRosario Central
10
L
20/05/2026
Rosario CentralUCV
40
W
17/05/2026
River PlateRosario Central
10
L

Referee Profile

A. Herrera191 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Herrera5.03
Other referees5.16

5.03 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

Group E

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CorinthiansCorinthians63218:4+411LDDWW
2PlatensePlatense63128:7+110WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe62226:7-18WWDLL
4PenarolPenarol60334:8-43LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CorinthiansCorinthians68:411
2PlatensePlatense68:710
3Santa FeSanta Fe66:78
4PenarolPenarol64:83

Group H

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle641111:6+513WWLWW
2Rosario CentralRosario Central64119:1+813LWWWW
3UCVUCV63037:11-49WLWLL
4Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion60064:13-90LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle611:613
2Rosario CentralRosario Central69:113
3UCVUCV67:119
4Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion64:130

About the Corinthians vs Rosario Central forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About CONMEBOL Libertadores

More CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Corinthians and Rosario Central have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.