Tigre vs Rosario Central Prediction

Tigre
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Rosario Central
13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Tigre Rest
8 days
Rosario Central Rest
7 days

Tigre vs Rosario Central: the result in context

Rosario Central beat Tigre 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.00
X
32%2.83
2
31%2.57
Double Chance
1X
69%1.44
X2
63%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%2.15
No
46%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.03 = 2.21
Over 1.5
70%1.56
Over 2.5
44%2.79
Over 3.5
24%5.45
Under 1.5
30%2.38
Under 2.5
56%1.44
Under 3.5
76%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.3 = 8.8
Over 8.5
49%1.66
Over 9.5
40%1.93
Over 10.5
28%2.60
Under 8.5
51%2.09
Under 9.5
60%1.79
Under 10.5
72%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.6 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.29
Over 4.5
52%1.60
Under 3.5
30%3.35
Under 4.5
48%2.27

Match Events

4'Mauro MéndezFoul
44'Santiago Lopez GrobinFoul
55'Penalty confirmedJaminton Campaz
58'Valentín MorenoFoul
60'Ángel Di María(Penalty)
64'Emanuel CoronelFoul
68'Mauro Méndez INJerónimo Domina out
68'Jaminton Campaz INGiovanni Ismael Cantizano out
68'Jabes Saralegui INTiago Serrago out
76'Emanuel Coronel
81'Ángel Di María INGaspar Duarte out
81'Álan Rodríguez INElías Enzo Verón out
81'Valentín Moreno INBruno Javier Leyes Sosa out
81'Santiago Gonzalez INIan Subiabre out
89'Vicente Pizarro INFederico Navarro out
89'Franco Ibarra INGuillermo Fernandez out
90+2'Alan BarrionuevoFoul

Lineups

Tigre
4-4-2Coach: D. Dabove
Rosario Central
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Almirón
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.93
F. Zenobio7.512F. Zenobio
V. Moreno7.14V. Moreno
A. Barrionuevo6.720A. Barrionuevo
J. Villalba6.632J. Villalba
N. Banegas5.73N. Banegas
J. Saralegui7.010J. Saralegui
S. González6.727S. González
M. Garay6.58M. Garay
S. López6.622S. López
M. Méndez6.433M. Méndez
I. Russo6.029I. Russo
J. Ledesma7.423J. Ledesma
E. Coronel5.332E. Coronel
Ignacio Ovando7.646I. Ovando
G. Ávila7.913G. Ávila
A. Sandez7.73A. Sandez
F. Ibarra6.65F. Ibarra
V. Pizarro7.120V. Pizarro
A. Rodríguez6.388A. Rodríguez
Á. Di María7.211Á. Di María
J. Campaz6.78J. Campaz
E. Copetti6.422E. Copetti

Tigre Substitutes

5B. Leyes81'for Valentín Moreno6.4
21S. Medina
40L. Minniti
26L. Morales
19A. Oviedo
50I. Peluffo
23G. Requena
11T. Serrago68'for Jabes Saralegui6.4
17G. Soto
25Ian Martin Subiabre81'for Santiago Gonzalez6.2
24F. Álvarez
30J. Dómina68'for Mauro Méndez6.2

Rosario Central Substitutes

27G. Duarte81'for Ángel Di María7.0
16T. Badaloni
28G. Fernández89'for Franco Ibarra6.6
24Juan Valentín Giménez
15F. Mallo
31F. Navarro89'for Vicente Pizarro6.9
33A. Soto
42E. Veron81'for Álan Rodríguez7.5
1A. Werner
2S. Zaracho
10F. Cervi
26G. Cantizano68'for Jaminton Campaz7.1

Match Stats

TigreRosario Central
42%Ball Possession58%
4Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots0
13Fouls8
0Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves3
331Total Passes472
250Passes Accurate389
76%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

TigreTigre
Rosario CentralRosario Central
1616Elo Rating 1806
1.24Attack 2.55
1.77Defense 2.20
27%Hit Rate 86%
15.4Shots per Game 16.8
4.9Shots on Target 6.5
6.1Corners per Game 7.7
2.4Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TigreTigre
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Rosario CentralRosario Central
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

TigreTigre2Wins · 40%
Draws360%
Rosario CentralRosario Central0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina03/05/2026
Rosario CentralTigre
11
Liga Profesional Argentina21/05/2024
Rosario CentralTigre
11
Liga Profesional Argentina04/02/2023
TigreRosario Central
22
Liga Profesional Argentina09/08/2022
TigreRosario Central
31
Liga Profesional Argentina04/04/2022
TigreRosario Central
20

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWLDL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WLWWD
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426LDLLW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWWD
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WLLLL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LWLDL
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WDWDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320WWLDL
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLLDD
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLDLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLWLD
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central16104226:12+1434WWWWW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1694320:14+631LWWWD
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1694325:20+531WWWWD
4River PlateRiver Plate1682621:14+726WLWWD
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1675417:13+426WDWDW
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1665517:15+223LDLLW
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1665521:24-323DWLDL
8HuracanHuracan1664614:16-222WLLLL
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1663723:24-121LLLDD
10TigreTigre1654716:16019WWLDL
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1646616:17-118DLWLD
12BanfieldBanfield1636718:25-715DLDLW
13Racing ClubRacing Club1643916:24-815LWLDL
14AldosiviAldosivi16321116:26-1011LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto16231110:23-139LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1626:1234
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1620:1431
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1625:2031
4River PlateRiver Plate1621:1426
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1617:1326
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1523
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1621:2423
8HuracanHuracan1614:1622
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1623:2421
10TigreTigre1616:1619
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1616:1718
12BanfieldBanfield1618:2515
13Racing ClubRacing Club1616:2415
14AldosiviAldosivi1616:2611
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1610:239

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

About the Tigre vs Rosario Central forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tigre and Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Rosario Central are 4th and Tigre 10th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Tigre 18-15, Rosario Central 20-16. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.