Santa Fe vs Chico Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
Santa Fe Rest
2 days
Chico Rest
5 days
Santa Fe vs Chico: the result in context
Santa Fe beat Chico 2-0 in the Primera A on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Santa Fe had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Chico.
Santa Fe have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game. Referee Jonnathan Ortiz averages 5.35 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.40
X21%4.20
215%8.05
Double Chance
1X85%1.07
X236%2.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.30
No47%1.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.76 = 2.73
Over 1.580%1.33
Over 2.558%2.05
Over 3.534%3.58
Under 1.520%3.10
Under 2.542%1.75
Under 3.566%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.4 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.71
Over 9.545%2.19
Over 10.529%2.92
Under 8.543%2.02
Under 9.555%1.59
Under 10.571%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.535%-
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.565%-
Match Events
40'Nahuel BustosFoul
46'Kilian Toscano INFranco Fagúndez out
46'Nahuel Bustos INMaximiliano Lovera out
46'Omar Fernández INAlexis Zapata out
54'Hugo RodallegaAssist: Franco Fagúndez
63'Jeison Angulo INChristian Mafla out
69'Andrés Mosquera INWeibmar Asprilla out
72'Isaac Camargo INFelipe Cifuentes out
76'Sebastián PalmaOG
78'Yesus Cabrera INEstiven Sarria out
87'Delio RamírezFoul
90'Delio Ramírez INSebastián Viveros out
Lineups
Santa FeChico
Coach: Jhon GomezSanta Fe Starting XI
1Andrés Mosquera69'replaced by Weibmar Asprilla
13Helibelton Palacios
18Emanuel Olivera
35Kevin Balanta
24Jeison Angulo63'replaced by Christian Mafla
16Daniel Torres
6Kilian Toscano46'replaced by Franco Fagúndez
77Jader Obrian
19Nahuel Bustos40'46'replaced by Maximiliano Lovera
8Omar Fernández46'replaced by Alexis Zapata
11Hugo RodallegaC54'
Avg rating
Chico Starting XI
12Branndon Zapata
24Cristián Mosquera
4Jefferson MenaC
25Sebastián Palma76'
14Cristian Blanco
11Delio Ramírez87'90'replaced by Sebastián Viveros
8Sebastian Salazar
10Yesus Cabrera78'replaced by Estiven Sarria
6Juan Diaz
16Santiago Mera
9Isaac Camargo72'replaced by Felipe Cifuentes
Avg rating
Santa Fe Substitutes
10Alexis Zapata46'for Omar Fernández
17Maximiliano Lovera46'for Nahuel Bustos
9Franco Fagúndez46'for Kilian Toscano
32Christian Mafla63'for Jeison Angulo
12Weibmar Asprilla69'for Andrés Mosquera
7Jhojan Torres
39Cristhian Portocarrero
14Luis Angel Palacios
40Martin Palacios
Chico Substitutes
7Felipe Cifuentes72'for Isaac Camargo
17Estiven Sarria78'for Yesus Cabrera
20Sebastián Viveros90'for Delio Ramírez
1David Agudelo
2Daniel Polanco
5Jhonier Alomía
21Jacobo Pimentel
Match Stats
Santa FeChico 57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box2
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots0
8Fouls17
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
520Total Passes398
434Passes Accurate322
83%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
Santa FeChico1617Elo Rating 1446
0.61Attack 0.56
1.58Defense 1.34
31%Hit Rate 19%
13.7Shots per Game 12.9
4.7Shots on Target 3.4
4.6Corners per Game 5.3
2.7Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+172 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santa Fe- No tendency data available
Chico- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Santa Fe5Wins · 63%Draws337%
Chico0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.6Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
01/02/2026ChicoSanta Fe01
18/10/2025ChicoSanta Fe00
27/04/2025Santa FeChico00
11/10/2024Santa FeChico31
27/02/2024ChicoSanta Fe12
14/09/2023ChicoSanta Fe11
01/04/2023Santa FeChico10
25/02/2021Santa FeChico20
Recent Form
Santa Fe6W2D2L
06/08/2026Santa Fe
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe
Once Caldas
Caracas FCSanta Fe
Águilas DoradasSanta FeSanta FeCaracas FC
Santa FeUnion Magdalena20
W03/08/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas22
D31/07/2026Caracas FCSanta Fe03
W26/07/2026Águilas DoradasSanta Fe21
L24/07/2026Santa FeCaracas FC20
W28/05/2026
PenarolSanta Fe
PenarolSanta Fe01
W24/05/2026
JuniorSanta Fe
JuniorSanta Fe5040
L20/05/2026Santa Fe
Platense
Santa FePlatense21
W17/05/2026Santa FeJunior
Santa FeJunior11
D13/05/2026Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa FeAmerica de Cali40
WChico3W2D5L
03/08/2026America de CaliChico
America de CaliChico70
L27/05/2026Chico
Llaneros
ChicoLlaneros01
L23/05/2026
MillonariosChico
MillonariosChico22
D16/05/2026Chico
Depor FC
ChicoDepor FC40
W07/05/2026
PatriotasChico
PatriotasChico00
D02/05/2026ChicoLlaneros
ChicoLlaneros30
W27/04/2026
Internacional de BogotaChico
Internacional de BogotaChico40
L23/04/2026
Independiente MedellinChico
Independiente MedellinChico20
L17/04/2026Chico
Deportivo Cali
ChicoDeportivo Cali10
W13/04/2026
BucaramangaChico
BucaramangaChico50
LReferee Profile
5.35Cards per match
5.13Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.35 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.07).
Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin 05/08/26
- Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto 05/08/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Jaguares 06/08/26
- Once Caldas vs America de Cali 06/08/26
- Fortaleza FC vs Cucuta 08/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota 09/08/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali 09/08/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga 09/08/26
About the Santa Fe vs Chico forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santa Fe and Chico in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Santa Fe are 7th and Chico 18th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Chico 15-32. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.