Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction

Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul·Copur Muhammet Alperen 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Sarıyer Rest
7 days
Fatih Karagümrük Rest
5 days

Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük: result, form and history

Fatih Karagümrük beat Sarıyer 2-0 in the 1. Lig on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.42
X
29%3.10
2
33%2.75
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
62%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.23 = 2.76
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
48%2.05
Over 3.5
27%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.69
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.3 = 8.9
Over 8.5
52%1.91
Over 9.5
40%2.40
Over 10.5
29%3.23
Under 8.5
48%1.85
Under 9.5
60%1.49
Under 10.5
71%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
51%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
49%-

Match Events

28'Ahmed Traore
39'Efecan KaracaFoul
45'André Poko INTunahan Ergul out
58'Penalty confirmedEmre Akbaba
60'Cenk Tosun(Penalty)
60'Barış Alıcı INEren Karadağ out
60'Dogan Can Davas INMamadou Thiam out
67'Emre AkbabaFoul
67'J. Esen INRamazan Civelek out
74'Cenk Tosun INTiago Cukur out
74'Manolis Siopis INRobin Yalçın out
74'Yaya Onogo INMarius Tresor Doh out
77'Efecan Karaca INBatuhan Kor out
90+1'Emre Akbaba INDorukhan Toköz out

Lineups

Sarıyer
4-4-2Coach: Umut Eskiköy
Fatih Karagümrük
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Stanojević
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating7.07
I. Šehić6.613I. Šehić
Ü. Ergün6.323Ü. Ergün
K. Arslan5.924K. Arslan
J. Attamah6.53J. Attamah
E. Korkmazoğlu7.05E. Korkmazoğlu
B. Alici6.17B. Alici
H. Yeşilyurt6.828H. Yeşilyurt
A. Biyogo Poko6.053A. Biyogo Poko
E. Karaca5.410E. Karaca
E. Eze6.590E. Eze
D. Davas6.417D. Davas
M. Silvestri6.71M. Silvestri
M. Sarıkaya6.925M. Sarıkaya
D. Biraschi6.94D. Biraschi
A. Çınar7.328A. Çınar
Candan Baskale7.821C. Baskale
Y. Onogo7.119Y. Onogo
M. Siopis7.020M. Siopis
Traore Ahmed8.226T. Ahmed
E. Akbaba6.55E. Akbaba
4141J. Esen
C. Tosun7.69C. Tosun

Sarıyer Substitutes

1F. Akyüz
4E. Dikmen
14T. Ergül45'for André Poko6.2
41F. Gedik
11E. Karadağ60'for Barış Alıcı6.7
35H. Kayalı
9B. Kör77'for Efecan Karaca6.3
8Marcos Silva
93M. Thiam60'for Dogan Can Davas6.3
19Yagiz Sen

Fatih Karagümrük Substitutes

22R. Civelek67'replaced by J. Esen7.0
14Marius Tresor Doh74'for Yaya Onogo7.2
24B. Ersoy
7Baris Kalayci
33Ç. Kurukalıp
3A. Nukan
8D. Toköz90+1'for Emre Akbaba
6R. Yalçın74'for Manolis Siopis6.8
11T. Çukur74'for Cenk Tosun6.6
23B. Şen

Match Stats

SarıyerFatih Karagümrük
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots3
22Fouls17
1Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves3
344Total Passes402
257Passes Accurate316
16Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

SarıyerSarıyer
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
1597Elo Rating 1638
0.87Attack 1.22
1.15Defense 2.18
14%Hit Rate 41%
13.6Shots per Game 15.0
3.3Shots on Target 4.7
4.0Corners per Game 3.0
1.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SarıyerSarıyer
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SarıyerSarıyer0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük2Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Türkiye Kupası04/12/2024
Fatih KaragümrükSarıyer
30
Türkiye Kupası01/12/2021
Fatih KaragümrükSarıyer
20

Recent Form

SarıyerSarıyer
3W4D3L
17/10/2026
SivassporSarıyer
11
D
13/10/2026
SarıyerBodrum FK
14
L
09/10/2026
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
11
D
19/09/2026
SarıyerBoluspor
21
W
11/09/2026
SarıyerBandırmaspor
11
D
05/09/2026
KeçiörengücüSarıyer
30
L
01/09/2026
SarıyerPendikspor
20
W
28/08/2026
AntalyasporSarıyer
12
W
23/08/2026
SarıyerBatman Petrolspor
12
L
14/08/2026
Esenler EroksporSarıyer
11
D
Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
3W4D3L
19/10/2026
Fatih KaragümrükKeçiörengücü
12
L
15/10/2026
Mardin 1969Fatih Karagümrük
10
L
11/10/2026
Fatih KaragümrükMuğlaspor
11
D
19/09/2026
Esenler EroksporFatih Karagümrük
02
W
13/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükManisa F.K.
11
D
06/09/2026
Batman PetrolsporFatih Karagümrük
43
L
02/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükKayserispor
11
D
29/08/2026
İstanbulsporFatih Karagümrük
11
D
21/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor
21
W
15/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükÜmraniyespor
21
W

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Sarıyer (11th) and Fatih Karagümrük (10th) are level on 16 points. League goal record so far: Sarıyer 14-17, Fatih Karagümrük 16-15. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.