Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor Prediction

Keçiörengücü
2-4
Finished
HT 2-2
Bursaspor
Aktepe Stadium, Ankara·Emre Kargin 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Keçiörengücü Rest
6 days
Bursaspor Rest
5 days

Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor: result, form and history

Bursaspor beat Keçiörengücü 4-2 in the 1. Lig on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Referee Emre Kargin averages 5.38 cards a game, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.40
X
26%3.45
2
45%1.95
Double Chance
1X
55%1.71
X2
71%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.55
No
38%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.38 = 3.13
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.64
Over 3.5
36%2.52
Under 1.5
20%4.25
Under 2.5
43%2.13
Under 3.5
64%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 4.6 = 8.2
Over 8.5
43%1.72
Over 9.5
31%2.18
Over 10.5
22%2.84
Under 8.5
57%2.00
Under 9.5
69%1.59
Under 10.5
78%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

7'Emirhan BaşyiğitOG
15'Amine BoutrahAssist: Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
16'Goal confirmedAmine Boutrah
20'Emirhan BaşyiğitFoul
31'M. ErDissent
35'Lewis BakerAssist: Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
37'İbrahim AkdağDissent
38'İbrahim Akdağ INI. Karaogul out
43'Oğuzcan ÇalışkanAssist: E. Develi
45'Emirhan Başyiğit INBatuhan Yayikci out
45+3'Mame Biram DioufDissent
50'Kelechi IheanachoAssist: Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
58'I. KaraogulFoul
61'Odise Roshi INEnes Yılmaz out
61'Süleyman Lus INTuncer Duhan Aksu out
61'Alcídio Raice INJefferson out
62'Lewis BakerFoul
66'Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
69'Francis Ezeh INMoryke Fofana out
69'Kelechi Iheanacho INEmir Kaan Gultekin out
70'Enes YılmazFoul
71'B. GökFoul
75'Lewis Baker INSoner Aydoğdu out
75'Halil Akbunar INHüseyin Maldar out
83'Berkan Mahmut KeskinFoul
83'B. Gök INTural Bayramov out
84'Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos SantosFoul
85'Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos
90+6'Abdullah CelikFoul

Lineups

Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1Coach: O. Korkmaz
Bursaspor
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Er
Avg rating6.10
Avg rating6.74
M. Erdoğan7.21M. Erdoğan
M. Keskin5.512M. Keskin
O. Çalışkan6.55O. Çalışkan
A. Çelik5.64A. Çelik
S. Luş5.633S. Luş
İ. Akdağ5.414İ. Akdağ
E. Develi7.76E. Develi
O. Roshi6.37O. Roshi
2020A. Raice
F. Ezeh5.921F. Ezeh
M. Diouf5.955M. Diouf
K. Matisli5.998K. Matisli
R. Berişbek6.877R. Berişbek
E. Ersoy6.64E. Ersoy
Emirhan Başyiğit5.15E. Başyiğit
B. Gök6.393B. Gök
L. Baker8.242L. Baker
J. Elitim7.06J. Elitim
H. Akbunar6.47H. Akbunar
Lincoln8.510Lincoln
A. Boutrah7.973A. Boutrah
K. Ịheanachọ8.114K. Ịheanachọ

Keçiörengücü Substitutes

37D. Aksu61'for Süleyman Lus5.7
22H. Ayan
16Oğuzhan Ayaydın
45Herculano Nabian
9Ö. Demirel
77M. Fofana69'for Francis Ezeh6.6
8I. Karaogul38'for İbrahim Akdağ58'6.2
10Jefferson61'replaced by Alcídio Raice5.8
18E. Satılmış
19Enes Yilmaz61'for Odise Roshi70'5.8

Bursaspor Substitutes

57B. Yayıkcı45'for Emirhan Başyiğit6.5
18Z. Yavru
66H. Maldar75'for Halil Akbunar6.1
39A. Kıvanç
9E. Gültekin69'for Kelechi Iheanacho6.6
20B. Başyiğit
27T. Bayramov83'for B. Gök6.3
24A. Babacan
8S. Aydoğdu75'for Lewis Baker5.7
34E. Akcan

Match Stats

KeçiörengücüBursaspor
43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks3
6Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots22
2Shots on Goal13
8Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box14
5Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots3
11Fouls10
1Offsides0
9Goalkeeper Saves1
355Total Passes496
291Passes Accurate433
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
BursasporBursaspor
1705Elo Rating 1746
1.24Attack 2.03
2.42Defense 2.16
46%Hit Rate 66%
14.3Shots per Game 16.5
5.2Shots on Target 5.9
2.7Corners per Game 5.2
2.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BursasporBursaspor
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
BursasporBursaspor2Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

1. Lig02/04/2022
KeçiörengücüBursaspor
21
1. Lig01/11/2021
BursasporKeçiörengücü
20
1. Lig09/05/2021
BursasporKeçiörengücü
03
1. Lig02/01/2021
KeçiörengücüBursaspor
01

Recent Form

KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
5W5D0L
BursasporBursaspor
7W1D2L
19/10/2026
BursasporPendikspor
20
W
15/10/2026
MuğlasporBursaspor
03
W
11/10/2026
BursasporMardin 1969
12
L
19/09/2026
Batman PetrolsporBursaspor
12
W
13/09/2026
BursasporEsenler Erokspor
22
D
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
W
03/09/2026
Bursasporİstanbulspor
40
W
29/08/2026
KayserisporBursaspor
12
W
21/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükBursaspor
21
L
15/08/2026
BursasporIğdır FK
10
W

Referee Profile

Emre Kargin84 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.03Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Emre Kargin5.38
Other referees4.73

5.38 cards a match, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).

Cards come from 65 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Keçiörengücü and Bursaspor in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Bursaspor are 1st and Keçiörengücü 6th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Keçiörengücü 23-15, Bursaspor 26-11. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Keçiörengücü have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.