Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor Prediction

Ümraniyespor
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sivasspor
Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi, Istanbul·Yucel Buyuk 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Ümraniyespor Rest
5 days
Sivasspor Rest
6 days

Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor: the result in context

Ümraniyespor beat Sivasspor 4-0 in the 1. Lig on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.20
X
27%3.23
2
31%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
58%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.3 = 2.74
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.89
Over 3.5
30%3.25
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
50%1.84
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.2 = 9
Over 8.5
54%1.63
Over 9.5
41%2.04
Over 10.5
30%2.66
Under 8.5
46%2.13
Under 9.5
59%1.68
Under 10.5
70%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

6'Card upgrade confirmedKamil Fidan
7'Kamil FidanSerious foul
27'Berat YılmazAssist: Serkan Göksu
30'M. MohammedFoul
45'Mehmet Feyzi Yildirim INClinton Duodu out
63'Alejandro BlancoAssist: Berat Yılmaz
67'Tomislav GlumacAssist: Santeri Hostikka
68'Valon Ethemi INCihat Celik out
68'Charilaos Charisis INEmre Gökay out
68'Rey Manaj INEbrima Ceesay out
72'Santeri Hostikka INToheeb Adeola Kosoko out
72'Alejandro Blanco INMelih Bostan out
72'Serkan Göksu INMuhammet Tunahan Tasci out
77'Toheeb Adeola KosokoFoul
79'Melih BostanAssist: Muhammet Tunahan Tasci
84'Oguzhan Aksoy INSalih Kavrazlı out
84'Cebio Soukou INAtalay Babacan out
84'Andrej Dokanović INOğuzhan Aydoğan out
88'Mert CelikFoul
90+2'Tomislav GlumacFoul
90+2'Clinton DuoduViolent conduct

Lineups

Ümraniyespor
4-2-3-1Coach: T. Albayrak
Sivasspor
4-1-4-1Coach: Ismet Taşdemir
Avg rating7.39
Avg rating5.95
C. Topaloğlu6.835C. Topaloğlu
M. Kartal7.458M. Kartal
M. Eser7.44M. Eser
T. Glumac8.644T. Glumac
E. Gedik7.788E. Gedik
S. Göksu7.78S. Göksu
A. Đokanović7.210A. Đokanović
Álex Blanco8.211Á. Blanco
Berat Yılmaz8.817B. Yılmaz
S. Hostikka8.17S. Hostikka
C. Soukou6.427C. Soukou
Arda Erdusun5.716A. Erdusun
M. Yıldırım5.726M. Yıldırım
M. Çelik5.84M. Çelik
M. Mohammed5.420M. Mohammed
Y. Kefkir5.377Y. Kefkir
C. Charisis6.38C. Charisis
B. Kapacak6.311B. Kapacak
Oguzhan Aksoy6.166O. Aksoy
K. Fidan5.06K. Fidan
V. Ethemi6.027V. Ethemi
R. Manaj6.69R. Manaj

Ümraniyespor Substitutes

20A. Babacan84'for Cebio Soukou6.8
9M. Bostan72'for Alejandro Blanco79'7.4
12Toheeb Kosoko72'for Santeri Hostikka77'6.2
13Ö. Köklü
77T. Taşçı72'for Serkan Göksu7.0
66A. Yaşar
26B. Çakır
53B. Öksüz
16K. Şen
28O. Aydoğan84'for Andrej Dokanović6.5

Sivasspor Substitutes

90M. Albayrak
1G. Bakırbaş
91Osman Başkuyu
30E. Ceesay68'for Rey Manaj5.8
99Yilmaz Cin
17C. Duodu45'for Mehmet Feyzi Yildirim90+2'6.3
19E. Gökay68'for Charilaos Charisis6.5
28S. Kavrazlı84'for Oguzhan Aksoy6.4
34T. Tuzlacik
23C. Çelik68'for Valon Ethemi6.2

Match Stats

ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards2
14Total Shots4
6Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box1
3Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
10Fouls11
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
554Total Passes343
495Passes Accurate269
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
SivassporSivasspor
1603Elo Rating 1599
2.04Attack 1.23
2.52Defense 1.19
66%Hit Rate 17%
10.3Shots per Game 9.7
4.4Shots on Target 3.2
4.0Corners per Game 2.3
1.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SivassporSivasspor
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
SivassporSivasspor1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

1. Lig15/03/2026
SivassporÜmraniyespor
10
1. Lig01/11/2025
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
10
Süper Lig07/05/2023
ÜmraniyesporSivasspor
41
Süper Lig12/11/2022
SivassporÜmraniyespor
22

Recent Form

ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
2W4D4L
18/10/2026
Vanspor FKÜmraniyespor
02
W
09/10/2026
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
11
D
18/09/2026
BandırmasporÜmraniyespor
01
W
12/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporAntalyaspor
12
L
05/09/2026
PendiksporÜmraniyespor
10
L
01/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor
01
L
28/08/2026
KeçiörengücüÜmraniyespor
22
D
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
15/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükÜmraniyespor
21
L
08/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporMardin 1969
00
D
SivassporSivasspor
2W6D2L
17/10/2026
SivassporSarıyer
11
D
13/10/2026
BandırmasporSivasspor
11
D
09/10/2026
SivassporPendikspor
41
W
19/09/2026
KeçiörengücüSivasspor
11
D
13/09/2026
SivassporMuğlaspor
11
D
06/09/2026
AntalyasporSivasspor
12
W
02/09/2026
SivassporMardin 1969
22
D
29/08/2026
Batman PetrolsporSivasspor
21
L
24/08/2026
SivassporManisa F.K.
22
D
16/08/2026
KayserisporSivasspor
20
L

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
6MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
7Mardin 1969Mardin 19691153314:10+418LWWLL
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1124518:20-210LDLLD
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
6MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
7Mardin 1969Mardin 19691114:1018
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1118:2010
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ümraniyespor and Sivasspor in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Ümraniyespor (13th) and Sivasspor (14th) are level on 13 points. League goal record so far: Ümraniyespor 13-10, Sivasspor 15-18. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ümraniyespor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.