Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor Prediction

Muğlaspor
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
İstanbulspor
Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris·Burak Olcar 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Muğlaspor Rest
4 days
İstanbulspor Rest
5 days

Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor: result, form and history

Muğlaspor beat İstanbulspor 5-0 in the 1. Lig on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.95
X
24%3.39
2
27%3.50
Double Chance
1X
73%1.24
X2
51%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.75
No
45%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.14 = 2.84
Over 1.5
74%1.28
Over 2.5
51%1.91
Over 3.5
30%3.23
Under 1.5
26%3.29
Under 2.5
49%1.83
Under 3.5
70%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 3.5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.78
Over 9.5
58%2.21
Over 10.5
47%2.83
Under 8.5
31%1.98
Under 9.5
42%1.57
Under 10.5
53%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

3'Abdullah Dijlan AydinFoul
8'Daniel AvramovskiAssist: Ibrahim Sissoko
13'Penalty cancelledIbrahim Sissoko
18'Bilal CeylanFoul
44'Penalty confirmedAli Kaan Guneren
45'Buluthan Bulut INJurgen Çelhaka out
45+1'Ibrahim Sissoko(Penalty)
45+3'İ. Furat
48'Mamady·DiarraAssist: Bilal Ceylan
55'Ali Akman INMustafa Sol out
55'Ömer Faruk Duymaz INIlian Iliev out
59'İ. FuratAssist: Bilal Ceylan
62'Mamady·Diarra INPoyraz Yildirim out
62'Bilal Ceylan INKorede Osundina out
64'Ilian IlievFoul
64'Ozcan Sahan INMichael Ologo out
64'Alieu Cham INBerk Ali Nizam out
72'İ. Furat INO. Sol out
81'Ali Kaan Guneren INB. Ekiz out
90'Elvin Mendy INMario Krstovski out

Lineups

Muğlaspor
4-2-3-1Coach: Y. Koşukavak
İstanbulspor
4-4-2Coach: Olcay Demir
Avg rating7.27
Avg rating6.17
E. Kılıçarslan7.217E. Kılıçarslan
B. Ceylan8.022B. Ceylan
Yiğit Fidan7.188Y. Fidan
O. Nahırcı7.215O. Nahırcı
A. Barak6.83A. Barak
A. Güneren6.723A. Güneren
B. Bulut6.920B. Bulut
M. Diarra8.111M. Diarra
D. Avramovski7.910D. Avramovski
İ. Furat9.491İ. Furat
I. Sissoko7.627I. Sissoko
I. Dogan5.91I. Dogan
Ö. Şahan6.020Ö. Şahan
K. Sönmez5.712K. Sönmez
E. Uzunhan5.689E. Uzunhan
Y. Özer6.13Y. Özer
M. Fall6.227M. Fall
D. Aydın6.721D. Aydın
E. Mendy6.415E. Mendy
Alieu Cham6.630A. Cham
Ö. Duymaz6.452Ã. Duymaz
A. Akman6.281A. Akman

Muğlaspor Substitutes

21J. Çelhaka45'for Buluthan Bulut7.0
53Alihan Kazmaz
35Batıhan Hanoğlu
30B. Ekiz81'replaced by Ali Kaan Guneren
7D. Camaj
5O. Matur
13K. Osundina62'for Bilal Ceylan6.5
48O. Sol72'for İ. Furat6.8
99Y. Uzunoglu
9P. Yıldırım62'for Mamady·Diarra6.7

İstanbulspor Substitutes

28A. Tutar
18Turan Tuncer
9M. Sol55'for Ali Akman6.5
5M. Ologo64'for Ozcan Sahan5.9
11B. Nızam64'for Alieu Cham6.8
77M. Krstovski90'for Elvin Mendy
37Umut İslamoğlu
10I. Iliev55'for Ömer Faruk Duymaz64'5.6
6I. Dayakli
4D. Sahin

Match Stats

Muğlasporİstanbulspor
37%Ball Possession63%
2Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
0Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots1
15Fouls13
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
294Total Passes477
236Passes Accurate417
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

MuğlasporMuğlaspor
İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
1639Elo Rating 1521
2.71Attack 0.53
1.28Defense 0.25
50%Hit Rate 14%
12.4Shots per Game 12.0
6.4Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 4.5
2.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+117 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MuğlasporMuğlaspor
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.9 in second half)
İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

MuğlasporMuğlaspor
3W6D1L
19/10/2026
Manisa F.K.Muğlaspor
34
W
15/10/2026
MuğlasporBursaspor
03
L
11/10/2026
Fatih KaragümrükMuğlaspor
11
D
18/09/2026
MuğlasporIğdır FK
22
D
13/09/2026
SivassporMuğlaspor
11
D
06/09/2026
MuğlasporVanspor FK
22
D
01/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor
01
W
28/08/2026
MuğlasporBoluspor
20
W
22/08/2026
Bodrum FKMuğlaspor
00
D
16/08/2026
MuğlasporBandırmaspor
00
D
İstanbulsporİstanbulspor
1W2D7L

Referee Profile

Burak Olcar82 matches

4.36Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Burak Olcar4.36
Other referees4.69

4.36 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Muğlaspor and İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Muğlaspor are 7th and İstanbulspor 19th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Muğlaspor 18-14, İstanbulspor 9-31. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Muğlaspor and İstanbulspor have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.