SC Braga vs GIL Vicente Prediction

SC Braga
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
GIL Vicente
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga·Gustavo Correia 19/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseHighGap+1.2%
SC Braga Rest
4 days
GIL Vicente Rest
5 days

SC Braga vs GIL Vicente: the result in context

GIL Vicente beat SC Braga 2-1 in the Primeira Liga on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Gustavo Correia averages 6.08 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.63
X
25%3.70
2
15%5.42
Double Chance
1X
85%1.15
X2
39%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.97
No
52%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 0.77 = 2.51
Over 1.5
72%1.31
Over 2.5
49%1.98
Over 3.5
28%3.46
Under 1.5
28%3.21
Under 2.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
72%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.61
Over 9.5
44%2.00
Over 10.5
32%2.56
Under 8.5
44%2.17
Under 9.5
56%1.73
Under 10.5
68%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.33
Over 4.5
39%1.67
Under 3.5
41%3.15
Under 4.5
61%2.12

Match Events

25'Mohamed KabaFoul
33'Goal confirmedPau Victor
33'Pau Victor
38'Luís Miguel Correia PintoDissent
41'Jean-Baptiste GorbyNot retreating
45'Mohamed Kaba INWalace França out
45'Jonas Wind INVictor Gómez out
49'Walace FrançaAssist: Murilo Souza
57'Marvin Elimbi GilbertFoul
64'Gil Pinto Martins INTidjany Chabrol Toure out
64'Diogo Prioste INJose Carlos Natario Ferreira out
66'João Moutinho INDemir Ege Tıknaz out
72'Diogo Martins TravassosOG
77'Vitor Carvalho INFra Navarro out
77'Diogo Martins Travassos INGabriel Silva out
77'Jean-Baptiste Gorby INDenis Huseinbasic out
82'Murilo Souza INJoelson Fernandes out
83'Victor GómezFoul
89'Jose Carlos Natario FerreiraFoul
90+2'Andreas Lausen INGonçalo Maia Pereira out
90+6'Ricardo Horta

Lineups

SC Braga
3-4-2-1Coach: Carlos Vicens
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Coach: Luís Pinto
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.75
Bernardo Fontes6.531B. Fontes
G. Lagerbielke7.114G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho7.16V. Carvalho
A. Bajrami6.844A. Bajrami
Diogo Travassos5.57D. Travassos
João Moutinho6.88J. Moutinho
J. Gorby6.729J. Gorby
Pau Victor7.610P. Victor
Ricardo Horta7.021R. Horta
Diego Rodrigues6.750D. Rodrigues
J. Wind6.319J. Wind
Lucão7.730Lucão
Ricardo Esgaio7.747R. Esgaio
M. Elimbi Gilbert6.34M. Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan Buatu6.839J. Buatu
David Moreira6.745D. Moreira
A. Lausen6.312A. Lausen
Diogo Ferreira Prioste6.586D. Ferreira Prioste
Murilo7.377Murilo
Santi García6.410S. García
Gil Pinto Martins6.420G. Pinto Martins
M. Kaba6.199M. Kaba

SC Braga Substitutes

22Sergio Barcia
20M. Dorgeles
34E. Tıknaz66'for João Moutinho6.6
11Gabriel Silva77'for Diogo Martins Travassos6.5
9Fran Navarro77'for Vitor Carvalho6.3
77Gabri Martínez
12Tiago Sá
23D. Huseinbašić77'for Jean-Baptiste Gorby5.8
2Víctor Gómez45'for Jonas Wind83'6.4
78João Carvalho
37A. Barišić
26B. Arrey-Mbi

GIL Vicente Substitutes

16Gui Beleza
3Espigares
32M. Fernández
1A. Picornell
82Gonçalo Maia Pereira90+2'for Andreas Lausen
11Joelson Fernandes82'for Murilo Souza6.5
27A. Moreira
6Zé Carlos64'for Diogo Prioste89'6.1
94Samuel
2José Silva
7T. Touré64'for Gil Pinto Martins6.2
9Walace45'for Mohamed Kaba49'8.2

Match Stats

SC BragaGIL Vicente
60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
13Fouls9
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
678Total Passes445
612Passes Accurate383
9Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

SC BragaSC Braga
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
1726Elo Rating 1665
0.61Attack 1.50
1.19Defense 1.68
14%Hit Rate 46%
13.3Shots per Game 11.6
3.8Shots on Target 3.4
4.1Corners per Game 2.0
1.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

SC BragaSC Braga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SC BragaSC Braga5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3Wins · 30%
1.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga14/02/2026
GIL VicenteSC Braga
21
Primeira Liga14/09/2025
SC BragaGIL Vicente
01
Primeira Liga09/02/2025
SC BragaGIL Vicente
20
Primeira Liga01/09/2024
GIL VicenteSC Braga
00
Primeira Liga16/03/2024
SC BragaGIL Vicente
21
Primeira Liga28/10/2023
GIL VicenteSC Braga
33
Primeira Liga16/04/2023
SC BragaGIL Vicente
10
Primeira Liga30/10/2022
GIL VicenteSC Braga
01
Primeira Liga13/03/2022
SC BragaGIL Vicente
01
Primeira Liga25/10/2021
GIL VicenteSC Braga
01

Recent Form

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
4W4D2L
14/10/2026
União SantarémGIL Vicente
2232
W
09/10/2026
MoreirenseGIL Vicente
01
W
19/09/2026
GIL VicenteMaritimo
11
D
13/09/2026
BenficaGIL Vicente
31
L
06/09/2026
GIL VicenteAcademico Viseu
01
L
30/08/2026
FamalicaoGIL Vicente
00
D
24/08/2026
GIL VicenteCasa Pia
20
W
09/08/2026
GIL VicenteRio Ave
10
W
25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
22
D
18/07/2026
GIL VicenteFelgueiras 1932
11
D

Referee Profile

Gustavo Correia172 matches

6.08Cards per match
5.67Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gustavo Correia6.08
Other referees5.40

6.08 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.40).

Cards come from 119 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto880020:4+1624WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica861124:7+1719WLWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP853020:9+1118WDDWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara853012:4+818WDWWD
5AroucaArouca842211:7+414WDLDW
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente84228:6+214WWDLL
7Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu842211:10+114WWWWL
8AlvercaAlverca832313:12+111WWWLD
9SC BragaSC Braga83239:10-111LLDWL
10EstrelaEstrela824214:15-110LLDWD
11MaritimoMaritimo82249:14-58LDLLL
12MoreirenseMoreirense82248:15-78LDWLL
13FamalicaoFamalicao814310:11-17LWDDD
14Rio AveRio Ave82158:17-97WLDLL
15Vitória SCVitória SC81255:10-55LDLDL
16NacionalNacional81169:18-94LLLLL
17Casa PiaCasa Pia81163:17-144LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril80264:12-82LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto820:424
2BenficaBenfica824:719
3Sporting CPSporting CP820:918
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara812:418
5AroucaArouca811:714
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente88:614
7Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu811:1014
8AlvercaAlverca813:1211
9SC BragaSC Braga89:1011
10EstrelaEstrela814:1510
11MaritimoMaritimo89:148
12MoreirenseMoreirense88:158
13FamalicaoFamalicao810:117
14Rio AveRio Ave88:177
15Vitória SCVitória SC85:105
16NacionalNacional89:184
17Casa PiaCasa Pia83:174
18EstorilEstoril84:122
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the SC Braga vs GIL Vicente forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Braga and GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, GIL Vicente are 6th and SC Braga 9th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: SC Braga 9-10, GIL Vicente 8-6. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.