Estrela vs SC Braga Prediction

Estrela
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
SC Braga
10/09/2026
EstrelaEstrela
2-1
Finished
SC BragaSC Braga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.68
SignalHIGHModel65%RiskMediumGap+6.5%
Estrela Rest
5 days
SC Braga Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%6.05
X
22%3.92
2
66%1.55
Double Chance
1X
34%2.39
X2
88%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.00
No
49%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.98 + 1.62 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.30
Over 2.5
50%2.00
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
25%3.30
Under 2.5
50%1.80
Under 3.5
75%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
65%1.89
Over 9.5
54%2.46
Over 10.5
43%3.25
Under 8.5
35%1.79
Under 9.5
46%1.48
Under 10.5
57%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.7 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.54
Over 4.5
35%2.08
Under 3.5
46%2.33
Under 4.5
65%1.68

Match Events

5'Gabriel Martínez AguileraAssist: Pau Victor
27'Stefan LekovicFoul
45'Ianis StoicaAssist: Eddy Doué
56'Ianis StoicaAssist: Abraham Marcus
61'Fra Navarro INTommy Marqués out
61'Gabriel Martínez Aguilera INDiogo Martins Travassos out
61'Mario Dorgeles INGabriel Silva out
75'Santiago Serra INJoan Jordan out
75'Ianis Stoica INBeni Souza out
76'Pau Victor INJonas Wind out
76'Demir Ege Tıknaz INDiego Henrique out
77'João MoutinhoFoul
85'Luan PatrickFoul
87'Leandro Antonetti INRené Mitongo out
90'Lovro Zvonarek INKevin Hoog Jansson out

Lineups

Estrela
4-2-3-1Coach: Pepa
SC Braga
3-4-3Coach: Carlos Vicens
Léo Linck24L. LinckLéo Linck
M. Scholze21M. ScholzeM. Scholze
Patrick Luan30P. LuanPatrick Luan
S. Leković5S. LekovićS. Leković
Rafa Soares55R. SoaresRafa Soares
Eddy Doue39E. DoueEddy Doue
Santiago Serra78S. SerraSantiago Serra
A. Marcus99A. MarcusA. Marcus
L. Zvonarek14L. ZvonarekL. Zvonarek
I. Stoica10I. StoicaI. Stoica
L. Antonetti37L. AntonettiL. Antonetti
Bernardo Fontes31B. FontesBernardo Fontes
G. Lagerbielke14G. LagerbielkeG. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho6V. CarvalhoVitor Carvalho
Sergio Barcia22S. BarciaSergio Barcia
Víctor Gómez2V. GómezVíctor Gómez
E. Tıknaz34E. TıknazE. Tıknaz
João Moutinho8J. MoutinhoJoão Moutinho
Gabri Martínez77G. MartínezGabri Martínez
M. Dorgeles20M. DorgelesM. Dorgeles
Pau Victor10P. VictorPau Victor
Fran Navarro9F. NavarroFran Navarro

Estrela Substitutes

93B. SouzaM
80AlissonF
4Bernardo SchappoD
17Jefferson EncadaD
22David GriloG
6K. Höög JanssonM
19Joan JordánM
3L. Mincarelli DavinD
49R. MutebaF
71E. Pedro VangaM
51Diogo PintoG
8RobinhoM

SC Braga Substitutes

19J. WindF
7Diogo TravassosD
12Tiago SáG
50Diego RodriguesM
17J. MiloševićF
16Tomás MarquésM
11Gabriel SilvaF
78João CarvalhoG
37A. BarišićD
44A. BajramiD
26B. Arrey-MbiD

Match Stats

EstrelaSC Braga
37%Ball Possession63%
5Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box5
1Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
352Total Passes596
281Passes Accurate518
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

EstrelaEstrela
SC BragaSC Braga
1606Elo Rating 1796
2.44Attack 1.05
0.96Defense 2.35
39%Hit Rate 63%
13.6Shots per Game 12.4
5.2Shots on Target 4.9
4.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstrelaEstrela
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SC BragaSC Braga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Estrela 0%Draw 66%34% SC Braga
3.4Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente52124:407LLDWW
10MaritimoMaritimo62137:11-47LLLDW
11MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
12AlvercaAlverca61238:11-35WLDLD
13FamalicaoFamalicao60425:7-24DDDLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional61147:11-44LLLLW
16Rio AveRio Ave61145:14-94DLLWL
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente54:47
10MaritimoMaritimo67:117
11MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
12AlvercaAlverca68:115
13FamalicaoFamalicao65:74
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional67:114
16Rio AveRio Ave65:144
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Estrela vs SC Braga Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primeira Liga

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Key Factors for This Match

Estrela and SC Braga have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.4 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.