Estrela vs SC Braga Prediction

Estrela
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
SC Braga
10/09/2026
EstrelaEstrela
2-1
Finished
SC BragaSC Braga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Estrela Rest
5 days
SC Braga Rest
5 days

Estrela vs SC Braga: result, form and history

Estrela beat SC Braga 2-1 in the Primeira Liga on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 6 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%6.05
X
22%3.92
2
66%1.55
Double Chance
1X
34%2.39
X2
88%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.00
No
49%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.98 + 1.62 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.30
Over 2.5
50%2.00
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
25%3.30
Under 2.5
50%1.80
Under 3.5
75%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
65%1.89
Over 9.5
54%2.46
Over 10.5
43%3.25
Under 8.5
35%1.79
Under 9.5
46%1.48
Under 10.5
57%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.7 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.54
Over 4.5
35%2.08
Under 3.5
46%2.33
Under 4.5
65%1.68

Match Events

5'Gabriel Martínez AguileraAssist: Pau Victor
27'Stefan LekovicFoul
45'Ianis StoicaAssist: Eddy Doué
56'Ianis StoicaAssist: Abraham Marcus
61'Fra Navarro INTommy Marqués out
61'Gabriel Martínez Aguilera INDiogo Martins Travassos out
61'Mario Dorgeles INGabriel Silva out
75'Santiago Serra INJoan Jordan out
75'Ianis Stoica INBeni Souza out
76'Pau Victor INJonas Wind out
76'Demir Ege Tıknaz INDiego Henrique out
77'João MoutinhoFoul
85'Luan PatrickFoul
87'Leandro Antonetti INRené Mitongo out
90'Lovro Zvonarek INKevin Hoog Jansson out

Lineups

Estrela
4-2-3-1Coach: Pepa
SC Braga
3-4-3Coach: Carlos Vicens
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.47
Léo Linck6.424L. Linck
M. Scholze6.721M. Scholze
Patrick Luan6.830P. Luan
S. Leković6.65S. Leković
Rafa Soares6.155R. Soares
Eddy Doue7.039E. Doue
Santiago Serra6.378S. Serra
A. Marcus7.699A. Marcus
L. Zvonarek6.514L. Zvonarek
I. Stoica8.810I. Stoica
L. Antonetti6.337L. Antonetti
Bernardo Fontes7.031B. Fontes
G. Lagerbielke6.614G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho6.16V. Carvalho
Sergio Barcia5.922S. Barcia
Víctor Gómez6.42V. Gómez
E. Tıknaz6.734E. Tıknaz
João Moutinho6.48J. Moutinho
Gabri Martínez7.277G. Martínez
M. Dorgeles6.320M. Dorgeles
Pau Victor6.610P. Victor
Fran Navarro6.49F. Navarro

Estrela Substitutes

93B. Souza75'for Ianis Stoica6.4
80Alisson
4Bernardo Schappo
17Jefferson Encada
22David Grilo
6K. Höög Jansson90'for Lovro Zvonarek
19Joan Jordán75'for Santiago Serra5.9
3L. Mincarelli Davin
49R. Muteba87'for Leandro Antonetti6.0
71E. Pedro Vanga
51Diogo Pinto
8Robinho

SC Braga Substitutes

19J. Wind76'for Pau Victor6.8
7Diogo Travassos61'for Gabriel Martínez Aguilera6.2
12Tiago Sá
50Diego Rodrigues76'for Demir Ege Tıknaz6.0
17J. Milošević
16Tomás Marqués61'for Fra Navarro6.5
11Gabriel Silva61'for Mario Dorgeles6.5
78João Carvalho
37A. Barišić
44A. Bajrami
26B. Arrey-Mbi

Match Stats

EstrelaSC Braga
37%Ball Possession63%
5Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box6
1Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
352Total Passes596
281Passes Accurate518
80%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

EstrelaEstrela
SC BragaSC Braga
1551Elo Rating 1631
0.88Attack 1.09
1.28Defense 1.48
23%Hit Rate 19%
16.2Shots per Game 17.4
4.1Shots on Target 4.8
6.0Corners per Game 5.0
1.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstrelaEstrela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
SC BragaSC Braga
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

EstrelaEstrela0Wins · 0%
Draws350%
SC BragaSC Braga3Wins · 50%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga16/05/2026
SC BragaEstrela
22
Primeira Liga03/01/2026
EstrelaSC Braga
33
Primeira Liga19/01/2025
EstrelaSC Braga
01
Primeira Liga11/08/2024
SC BragaEstrela
11
Primeira Liga02/03/2024
SC BragaEstrela
30
Primeira Liga28/09/2023
EstrelaSC Braga
24

Recent Form

EstrelaEstrela
4W5D1L
05/09/2026
EstrelaFamalicao
22
D
30/08/2026
NacionalEstrela
23
W
15/08/2026
AlvercaEstrela
22
D
08/08/2026
EstrelaSporting CP
22
D
01/08/2026
EstrelaAl-Nassr
42
W
29/07/2026
MaritimoEstrela
11
D
29/07/2026
EstrelaLusitano Évora 1911
10
W
29/07/2026
EstrelaPortimonense
11
D
23/07/2026
EstrelaNacional
20
W
18/07/2026
EstrelaCasa Pia
12
L

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto10100025:4+2130WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1081127:8+1925WWWLW
3Sporting CPSporting CP1063123:11+1221WLWDD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1063115:6+921WLWDW
5AroucaArouca1062213:7+620WWWDL
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1062215:12+320WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente104338:7+115DLWWD
8SC BragaSC Braga1042412:11+114WLLLD
9MoreirenseMoreirense1042413:17-414WWLDW
10AlvercaAlverca1032513:14-111LLWWW
11FamalicaoFamalicao1024414:14010LWLWD
12EstrelaEstrela1024415:19-410LLLLD
13Vitória SCVitória SC1023510:1009DWLDL
14MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
15NacionalNacional1021710:19-97LWLLL
16Rio AveRio Ave102179:23-147LLWLD
17Casa PiaCasa Pia102175:19-147LWLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1025:430
2BenficaBenfica1027:825
3Sporting CPSporting CP1023:1121
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1015:621
5AroucaArouca1013:720
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1015:1220
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente108:715
8SC BragaSC Braga1012:1114
9MoreirenseMoreirense1013:1714
10AlvercaAlverca1013:1411
11FamalicaoFamalicao1014:1410
12EstrelaEstrela1015:1910
13Vitória SCVitória SC1010:109
14MaritimoMaritimo109:218
15NacionalNacional1010:197
16Rio AveRio Ave109:237
17Casa PiaCasa Pia105:197
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Estrela vs SC Braga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Estrela and SC Braga in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, SC Braga are 8th and Estrela 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Estrela 15-19, SC Braga 12-11. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.