SC Braga vs Vitória SC Prediction

SC Braga
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Vitória SC
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga·Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal 31/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.66
SignalGOODModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
SC Braga Rest
4 days
Vitória SC Rest
8 days

SC Braga vs Vitória SC: result, form and history

SC Braga beat Vitória SC 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 31 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. SC Braga tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.5 for Vitória SC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.84
X
21%3.42
2
24%4.35
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
45%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.85
No
46%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 0.77 = 2.39
Over 1.5
68%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.05
Over 3.5
22%3.55
Under 1.5
32%3.23
Under 2.5
55%1.78
Under 3.5
78%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 2.7 = 8.7
Over 8.5
48%1.86
Over 9.5
37%2.34
Over 10.5
33%3.20
Under 8.5
52%1.85
Under 9.5
63%1.50
Under 10.5
67%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 3.1 = 5.7
Over 3.5
78%1.21
Over 4.5
60%1.47
Under 3.5
22%4.10
Under 4.5
40%2.52

Match Events

4'O. Rivas ViondiFoul
37'D. E. TiknazTripping
53'T. StrataFoul
62'M. Nogueira INO. Camara out
62'G. Nogueira INB. Mukendi out
65'P. Victor INJ. Milosevic out
68'Vitor CarvalhoTripping
72'M. Dorgeles IND. Rodrigues out
72'D. E. Tiknaz INT. Marques out
75'GustavoFoul
76'Gustavo INV. Andersson out
77'A. Ndoye INP. Ouotro out
79'D. RodriguesAssist: Gabriel Silva
84'Samu INT. Arcanjo out
86'Travassos INF. Navarro out
86'Gabriel Silva INA. Bajrami out

Lineups

SC Braga
3-4-2-1Coach: Carlos Vicens
Vitória SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Tiago Margarido
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.46
Bernardo Fontes6.531B. Fontes
Gustaf Lagerbielke6.914G. Lagerbielke
Vítor Carvalho7.26V. Carvalho
Sergio Barcia6.622S. Barcia
Victor Gómez6.92V. Gómez
Demir Ege Tıknaz6.934D. Ege Tıknaz
João MoutinhoC7.08J. Moutinho
Diogo Travassos6.67D. Travassos
Mario Dorgeles6.720M. Dorgeles
Gabriel Silva7.611G. Silva
Pau Víctor6.210P. Víctor
Oliwier Zych7.348O. Zych
Tony Strata6.223T. Strata
Óscar Rivas6.64Ó. Rivas
Thiago Balieiro6.328T. Balieiro
João Mendes6.213J. Mendes
Gonçalo Nogueira6.38G. Nogueira
Lohann Doucet6.744L. Doucet
Gustavo Silva6.311G. Silva
SamuC6.320Samu
Miguel Nogueira6.517M. Nogueira
Alioune Ndoye6.324A. Ndoye

SC Braga Substitutes

78Joao Carvalho
12Tiago Sá
44Adrian Bajrami86'for Gabriel Silva6.3
53Jonatás Noro
37Adrian Leon Barišić
90Luís Pinto
16Tomás Marqués72'for D. E. Tiknaz6.3
87João Trovisco
50Diego Rodrigues72'for M. Dorgeles79'7.9
77Gabriel Martínez
17Jovan Milošević65'for P. Victor6.3
9Fran Navarro86'for Travassos6.3

Vitória SC Substitutes

22Juan Castillo
82Francisco Dias
15Yeimar Mosquera
5Franck Ahmed Sidibé
2Miguel Maga
56Santi Verdi
19Victor Andersson76'for Gustavo6.3
18Telmo Arcanjo84'for Samu6.3
6Matija Mitrović
16Beni Mukendi62'for G. Nogueira6.7
7Oumar Camara62'for M. Nogueira6.6
29Patrick Ouotro77'for A. Ndoye6.5

Match Stats

SC BragaVitória SC
54%Ball Possession46%
2Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls18
5Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
488Total Passes405
397Passes Accurate304
81%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

SC BragaSC Braga
Vitória SCVitória SC
1660Elo Rating 1523
1.36Attack 1.48
2.44Defense 2.53
37%Hit Rate 42%
20.9Shots per Game 12.7
6.3Shots on Target 3.8
6.6Corners per Game 4.5
2.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+136 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC BragaSC Braga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vitória SCVitória SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SC BragaSC Braga4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Vitória SCVitória SC3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga21/02/2026
SC BragaGuimaraes
32
Taça da Liga10/01/2026
GuimaraesSC Braga
21
Primeira Liga20/09/2025
GuimaraesSC Braga
11
Primeira Liga16/02/2025
GuimaraesSC Braga
00
Taça da Liga31/10/2024
SC BragaGuimaraes
21
Primeira Liga15/09/2024
SC BragaGuimaraes
02
Primeira Liga11/05/2024
GuimaraesSC Braga
23
Primeira Liga06/01/2024
SC BragaGuimaraes
11
Primeira Liga27/02/2023
GuimaraesSC Braga
21
Taça de Portugal11/01/2023
SC BragaGuimaraes
32

Recent Form

Vitória SCVitória SC
5W1D4L
23/08/2026
Vitória SCNacional
10
W
14/08/2026
Sporting CPVitória SC
32
L
08/08/2026
Vitória SCArouca
01
L
01/08/2026
Vitória SCChaves
20
W
26/07/2026
Vitória SCNottingham Forest
11
D
24/07/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahVitória SC
13
W
18/07/2026
Vitória SCAcademica
20
W
11/07/2026
Vitória SCFelgueiras 1932
31
W
16/05/2026
NacionalVitória SC
20
L
11/05/2026
Vitória SCCasa Pia
01
L

Referee Profile

Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso148 matches

5.46Cards per match
5.21Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
30.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso5.46
Other referees5.58

5.46 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).

Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto11110027:5+2233WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1191130:10+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1152413:11+217WWLLL
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1124517:22-510LLLLL
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1123611:12-19LDWLD
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave112189:24-157LLLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1127:533
2BenficaBenfica1130:1028
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1113:1117
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1117:2210
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1111:129
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave119:247
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the SC Braga vs Vitória SC forecast

As a derby, this Primeira Liga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Braga and Vitória SC in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, SC Braga are 8th and Vitória SC 14th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: SC Braga 13-11, Vitória SC 11-12. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.