Alverca vs SC Braga Prediction

Alverca
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
SC Braga
FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo·L. M. Branco Godinho 05/09/2026
AlvercaAlverca
1-2
Finished
SC BragaSC Braga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
1.89
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Alverca Rest
7 days
SC Braga Rest
4 days

Alverca vs SC Braga: the result in context

SC Braga beat Alverca 2-1 in the Primeira Liga on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

SC Braga tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.5 for Alverca.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.60
X
23%3.52
2
57%1.75
Double Chance
1X
43%2.00
X2
80%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.89
No
47%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 1.58 = 2.69
Over 1.5
77%1.33
Over 2.5
50%2.03
Over 3.5
28%3.59
Under 1.5
23%3.23
Under 2.5
50%1.78
Under 3.5
72%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
65%1.88
Over 9.5
54%2.35
Over 10.5
43%3.15
Under 8.5
35%1.83
Under 9.5
46%1.50
Under 10.5
57%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.7 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.38
Over 4.5
37%1.82
Under 3.5
43%2.60
Under 4.5
63%1.85

Match Events

27'Francisco Chiquinho(Penalty)
40'Adrian BajramiFoul
45'Diogo Martins Travassos INGabriel Martínez Aguilera out
45'Adrian Bajrami INSergio Barcia out
45'Diego Henrique INFra Navarro out
45+3'Ian LuccasFoul
50'Pau VictorAssist: Demir Ege Tıknaz
53'Rayan Lucas INDavy Gui out
53'Vivaldo Semedo INDawda Camara Sankharé out
57'Pau Victor
64'Mario Dorgeles INTommy Marqués out
66'Francisco Chiquinho
66'Pau VictorFoul
71'Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos INAndré Vidigal out
71'Ian Luccas INZakaria Kassary out
83'Sergi Gómez INCedric Nuozzi out
83'Demir Ege Tıknaz INJovan Milosevic out
87'Gabriel Martínez AguileraFoul
90+1'Gustaf LagerbielkeFoul

Lineups

Alverca
3-4-3Coach: Sérgio Ferreira
SC Braga
3-4-3Coach: Carlos Vicens
Avg rating6.14
Avg rating6.80
Matheus Mendes6.731M. Mendes
S. Baseya6.614S. Baseya
Sergi Gómez6.321S. Gómez
Y. Bojang6.14Y. Bojang
Toni Tamarit5.527T. Tamarit
Ian Luccas5.825I. Luccas
Rayan6.035Rayan
I. James5.712I. James
Chiquinho6.610Chiquinho
Vivaldo Semedo5.99V. Semedo
Figueiredo6.322Figueiredo
Bernardo Fontes6.431B. Fontes
G. Lagerbielke6.214G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho7.16V. Carvalho
A. Bajrami6.044A. Bajrami
Víctor Gómez6.22V. Gómez
João Moutinho7.18J. Moutinho
E. Tıknaz7.734E. Tıknaz
Diogo Travassos6.97D. Travassos
M. Dorgeles7.020M. Dorgeles
Pau Victor8.710P. Victor
Diego Rodrigues6.850D. Rodrigues

Alverca Substitutes

17S. Merheg
20Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
15I. Julian
8Vasco Moreira
7André Vidigal71'for Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos5.6
6D. Gui53'for Rayan Lucas6.4
93Zé Rafael
19D. Camara53'for Vivaldo Semedo6.1
11C. Nuozzi83'for Sergi Gómez6.3
77O. Torrellas
18Z. Kassary71'for Ian Luccas6.5
91Jhonatan

SC Braga Substitutes

19J. Wind
9Fran Navarro45'for Diego Henrique6.6
17J. Milošević83'for Demir Ege Tıknaz6.6
77Gabri Martínez45'for Diogo Martins Travassos87'6.5
16Tomás Marqués64'for Mario Dorgeles6.4
26B. Arrey-Mbi
37A. Barišić
22Sergio Barcia45'for Adrian Bajrami6.8
12Tiago Sá
78João Carvalho

Match Stats

AlvercaSC Braga
32%Ball Possession68%
2Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
6Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal7
3Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls15
2Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves1
309Total Passes691
223Passes Accurate617
15Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

AlvercaAlverca
SC BragaSC Braga
1531Elo Rating 1660
0.80Attack 1.36
2.34Defense 2.44
31%Hit Rate 37%
12.4Shots per Game 20.9
3.7Shots on Target 6.3
4.5Corners per Game 6.6
2.6Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AlvercaAlverca
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
SC BragaSC Braga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AlvercaAlverca0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
SC BragaSC Braga2Wins · 100%
4.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga25/01/2026
SC BragaAlverca
50
Primeira Liga17/08/2025
AlvercaSC Braga
03

Recent Form

AlvercaAlverca
3W3D4L
29/08/2026
AlvercaSanta Clara
11
D
22/08/2026
Sporting CPAlverca
31
L
15/08/2026
AlvercaEstrela
22
D
09/08/2026
FC PortoAlverca
20
L
01/08/2026
AlvercaSporting CP B
10
W
25/07/2026
MafraAlverca
10
L
22/07/2026
AlvercaEstoril
20
W
17/07/2026
AlvercaCF Os Belenenses
21
W
16/05/2026
FamalicaoAlverca
10
L
10/05/2026
AlvercaEstoril
11
D

Referee Profile

L. M. Branco Godinho223 matches

5.55Cards per match
5.31Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

L. M. Branco Godinho5.55
Other referees5.27

5.55 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto11110027:5+2233WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1191130:10+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1152413:11+217WWLLL
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1124517:22-510LLLLL
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1123611:12-19LDWLD
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave112189:24-157LLLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1127:533
2BenficaBenfica1130:1028
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1113:1117
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1117:2210
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1111:129
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave119:247
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Alverca vs SC Braga forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alverca and SC Braga in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, SC Braga are 8th and Alverca 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Alverca 14-15, SC Braga 13-11. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Alverca and SC Braga have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.