SC Braga vs Estoril Prediction

SC Braga
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Estoril
14/09/2026
SC BragaSC Braga
1-0
Finished
EstorilEstoril

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
SC Braga Rest
4 days
Estoril Rest
7 days

SC Braga vs Estoril: the result in context

SC Braga beat Estoril 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 14 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: SC Braga had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Estoril.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. SC Braga tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.0 for Estoril.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.36
X
17%4.60
2
9%8.50
Double Chance
1X
92%1.08
X2
26%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%1.92
No
62%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.71 = 2.38
Over 1.5
70%1.20
Over 2.5
48%1.69
Over 3.5
25%2.69
Under 1.5
30%4.20
Under 2.5
52%2.15
Under 3.5
75%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
55%1.60
Over 9.5
48%1.97
Over 10.5
39%2.46
Under 8.5
45%2.22
Under 9.5
52%1.75
Under 10.5
61%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.7 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.39
Over 4.5
45%1.78
Under 3.5
36%2.85
Under 4.5
55%1.95

Match Events

10'Fabrício Garcia INAndré Tiago Ramos das Neves out
34'Francisco Reis FerreiraFoul
45'Bright Arrey Mbi INAdrian Bajrami out
58'Gabriel Silva INRicardo Horta out
58'Adrian Barisic INVitor Carvalho out
63'Francisco Reis Ferreira
64'Demir Ege Tıknaz INJean-Baptiste Gorby out
65'André Tiago Ramos das Neves INSamuel Amissah out
77'Ricard Sanchez Sendra INPedro Carvalho out
77'Jordan Holsgrove INJordan Arnolin out
77'Nail Omerovic INAndré Lacximicant out
81'Gustaf Lagerbielke INJonas Wind out
83'Jonas WindAssist: Jean-Baptiste Gorby
85'João CarvalhoDissent
88'Pedro CarvalhoFoul

Lineups

SC Braga
3-4-3Coach: Carlos Vicens
Estoril
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Matos
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.46
Bernardo Fontes6.931B. Fontes
A. Barišić6.737A. Barišić
G. Lagerbielke8.014G. Lagerbielke
B. Arrey-Mbi6.626B. Arrey-Mbi
Víctor Gómez6.22V. Gómez
João Moutinho7.28J. Moutinho
E. Tıknaz6.834E. Tıknaz
Gabri Martínez6.477G. Martínez
Gabriel Silva6.511G. Silva
J. Milošević7.117J. Milošević
Pau Victor6.610P. Victor
Joel Robles7.41J. Robles
Ricard Sánchez6.82R. Sánchez
Ferro5.74Ferro
Isma Sierra7.015I. Sierra
R. Jurišić7.021R. Jurišić
J. Holsgrove7.210J. Holsgrove
M. Robin6.344M. Robin
Fabrício Garcia6.398F. Garcia
João Carvalho6.212J. Carvalho
N. Omerović6.111N. Omerović
Y. Begraoui5.914Y. Begraoui

SC Braga Substitutes

16Tomás Marqués
6Vitor Carvalho58'for Adrian Barisic7.0
44A. Bajrami45'for Bright Arrey Mbi7.1
7Diogo Travassos
21Ricardo Horta58'for Gabriel Silva7.2
50Diego Rodrigues
9Fran Navarro
19J. Wind81'for Gustaf Lagerbielke83'7.9
78João Carvalho6.8
20M. Dorgeles
29J. Gorby64'for Demir Ege Tıknaz7.3
22Sergio Barcia

Estoril Substitutes

16M. Turk
5A. Tsoungui
43fletcher lowe
17Peixinho10'for Fabrício Garcia65'for Samuel Amissah6.4
7André Lacximicant77'for Nail Omerovic6.0
99R. Guitane
22Pedro Carvalho77'for Ricard Sanchez Sendra88'5.9
9A. Camblan
35S. Amissah65'replaced by André Tiago Ramos das Neves6.7
3Fernando Medrano
42J. Arnolin77'for Jordan Holsgrove6.4

Match Stats

SC BragaEstoril
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots6
9Fouls12
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
625Total Passes460
540Passes Accurate377
86%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

SC BragaSC Braga
EstorilEstoril
1660Elo Rating 1504
1.36Attack 0.73
2.44Defense 0.43
37%Hit Rate 0%
20.9Shots per Game 15.3
6.3Shots on Target 4.9
6.6Corners per Game 4.0
2.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC BragaSC Braga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EstorilEstoril
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SC BragaSC Braga5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
EstorilEstoril1Wins · 10%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga03/05/2026
SC BragaEstoril
11
Primeira Liga19/12/2025
EstorilSC Braga
10
Primeira Liga19/04/2025
EstorilSC Braga
02
Primeira Liga06/12/2024
SC BragaEstoril
22
Primeira Liga13/04/2024
EstorilSC Braga
01
Taça da Liga27/01/2024
SC BragaEstoril
5141
Primeira Liga03/12/2023
SC BragaEstoril
31
Primeira Liga08/04/2023
SC BragaEstoril
41
Primeira Liga22/10/2022
EstorilSC Braga
02
Primeira Liga18/04/2022
EstorilSC Braga
00

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto11110027:5+2233WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1191130:10+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1152413:11+217WWLLL
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1124517:22-510LLLLL
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1123611:12-19LDWLD
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave112189:24-157LLLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1127:533
2BenficaBenfica1130:1028
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1113:1117
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1117:2210
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1111:129
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave119:247
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the SC Braga vs Estoril forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Braga and Estoril in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, SC Braga are 8th and Estoril 18th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: SC Braga 13-11, Estoril 5-19. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.