SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
SC Freiburg Rest
2 days
Union Berlin Rest
7 days
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: the result in context
SC Freiburg beat Union Berlin 2-0 in the Bundesliga on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: SC Freiburg had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Union Berlin.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.44
X21%4.67
215%7.00
Double Chance
1X85%1.11
X236%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.80
No43%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.18 + 1.03 = 3.21
Over 1.581%1.21
Over 2.563%1.67
Over 3.541%2.63
Under 1.519%4.29
Under 2.537%2.22
Under 3.559%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.4 = 8.8
Over 8.550%1.58
Over 9.538%1.98
Over 10.528%2.50
Under 8.550%2.24
Under 9.562%1.77
Under 10.572%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.556%1.73
Over 4.536%2.52
Under 3.544%2.00
Under 4.564%1.51
Match Events
2'Igor MatanovićFoul
19'Zeno Van Den BoschFoul
27'Yannick EngelhardtFoul
45'Kastriot Imeri INWoo-Yeong Jeong out
45'Tim Skarke INOliver Burke out
55'Rani KhediraOG
67'Yuito SuzukiAssist: Derry Lionel Scherhant
68'Igor Matanović INKeisuke Goto out
68'Livan Burcu INAndrej Ilić out
68'Derry Lionel Scherhant INVincenzo Grifo out
75'Yannick Engelhardt INPatrick Osterhage out
77'Michel Aebischer INLinus Güther out
84'Vincenzo Grifo(Penalty missed)
85'Philipp Treu INLukas Kübler out
85'Yuito Suzuki INLucas Höler out
85'Derrick Köhn INTom Rothe out
89'Woo-Yeong JeongFoul
Lineups
SC FreiburgUnion Berlin
5-3-2Coach: M. LustrinelliAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Backhaus
29P. Treu
28M. Ginter
3P. Lienhart
33J. Makengo
8M. Eggestein
16Y. Engelhardt
19J. Beste
14Y. Suzuki
7D. Scherhant
31I. Matanović
1F. Rønnow
19J. Haberer
4Z. Van Den Bosch
5M. Friedrich
8R. Khedira
17D. Köhn
30K. Imeri
13A. Schäfer
20M. Aebischer
21T. Skarke
9L. BurcuSC Freiburg Substitutes
42K. Goto68'for Igor Matanović
32V. Grifo68'for Derry Lionel Scherhant
30C. Günter
9L. Höler85'for Yuito Suzuki
22Cyriaque Kalou Irié
17L. Kübler85'for Philipp Treu
21F. Müller
6P. Osterhage75'for Yannick Engelhardt
37M. Rosenfelder
Union Berlin Substitutes
23A. Ilić68'for Livan Burcu
11Jeong Woo-Yeong45'for Kastriot Imeri89'
29E. Latte Lath
14L. Querfeld
31M. Raab
15T. Rothe85'for Derrick Köhn
28C. Trimmel
7O. Burke45'for Tim Skarke
49Linus Guther77'for Michel Aebischer
Match Stats
SC FreiburgUnion Berlin 59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots4
9Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box0
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls17
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves8
537Total Passes368
465Passes Accurate276
16Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
SC FreiburgUnion Berlin1879Elo Rating 1676
1.48Attack 0.61
1.46Defense 1.39
69%Hit Rate 14%
13.2Shots per Game 10.9
3.2Shots on Target 2.5
5.3Corners per Game 3.5
2.3Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+203 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
SC Freiburg- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Union Berlin- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
SC Freiburg1Wins · 10%Draws440%
Union Berlin5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
15/03/2026SC FreiburgUnion Berlin01
01/11/2025Union BerlinSC Freiburg00
30/03/2025SC FreiburgUnion Berlin12
08/11/2024Union BerlinSC Freiburg00
18/05/2024Union BerlinSC Freiburg21
13/01/2024SC FreiburgUnion Berlin00
13/05/2023Union BerlinSC Freiburg42
13/11/2022SC FreiburgUnion Berlin41
07/05/2022SC FreiburgUnion Berlin14
15/12/2021Union BerlinSC Freiburg00
Recent Form
SC Freiburg6W1D3L
05/11/2026
TrabzonsporSC Freiburg
FC AugsburgSC FreiburgSC Freiburg
VfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg
Bayern München
MonacoSC Freiburg
Bayer LeverkusenSC FreiburgSC Freiburg
FK JablonecSC Freiburg
FC Schalke 04
Eintracht FrankfurtSC Freiburg
TrabzonsporSC Freiburg01
W31/10/2026FC AugsburgSC Freiburg12
W28/10/2026SC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg32
W25/10/2026SC FreiburgBayern München13
L22/10/2026MonacoSC Freiburg30
L18/10/2026Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg21
L15/10/2026SC FreiburgFK Jablonec32
W11/10/2026SC FreiburgFC Schalke 0421
W03/10/2026SC Freiburg
FC Luzern
19/09/2026SC FreiburgFC Luzern42
WEintracht FrankfurtSC Freiburg22
DUnion Berlin2W4D4L
01/11/2026Union Berlin
1. FC Köln1. FC KölnUnion BerlinFC AugsburgUnion BerlinUnion Berlin
Borussia DortmundUnion Berlin
SV ElversbergBayern MünchenUnion BerlinUnion BerlinFC Schalke 04Bayer LeverkusenUnion BerlinUnion BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin
Union Berlin1. FC Köln11
D27/10/20261. FC KölnUnion Berlin50
L24/10/2026FC AugsburgUnion Berlin11
D17/10/2026Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund00
D10/10/2026Union BerlinSV Elversberg10
W18/09/2026Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin70
L11/09/2026Union BerlinFC Schalke 0413
L05/09/2026Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin40
L29/08/2026Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt33
D23/08/2026Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin24
WReferee Profile
4.56Cards per match
4.32Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.56 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.21).
Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | WLLWW |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 9 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | DDWDL |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 | LDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 12:25 | 4 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
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This match
More Bundesliga matches
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV 01/11/26
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 06/11/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 07/11/26
- RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 07/11/26
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 07/11/26
- SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 07/11/26
- VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen 07/11/26
- 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen 08/11/26
About the SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin forecast
The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
SC Freiburg and Union Berlin in the Bundesliga table
The table shows a wide gap: SC Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin sit 16th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: SC Freiburg 20-10, Union Berlin 7-21. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.