1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin Prediction
Germany · Round of 32CupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
1. FC Köln Rest
3 days
Union Berlin Rest
3 days
1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: result, form and history
1. FC Köln beat Union Berlin 5-0 in the DFB Pokal on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Union Berlin have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%1.79
X22%3.73
230%4.04
Double Chance
1X70%1.21
X252%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.57
No43%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.2 = 2.36
Over 1.581%1.17
Over 2.556%1.62
Over 3.537%2.55
Under 1.519%4.40
Under 2.544%2.22
Under 3.563%1.50
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
32'Said El MalaAssist: Linton Maina
45'Tom Rothe INDerrick Köhn out
48'Leopold QuerfeldFoul
51'Linton MainaAssist: Said El Mala
57'Tim Skarke INLivan Burcu out
58'Mekhi Gray INEmmanuel Latte Lath out
60'Said El MalaAssist: Marius Bülter
63'Alessio Castro-Montes INSebastian Soraas Sebulonsen out
68'András Schäfer INAljoscha Kemlein out
71'Linton Maina INJan Thielmann out
72'Mikey Moore INÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson out
75'Woo-Yeong Jeong INMarin Ljubičić out
77'Marin LjubičićFoul
78'Ísak Bergmann JóhannessonAssist: Marius Bülter
81'Borna Sosa INGideon Mensah out
81'Said El Mala INReigan Heskey out
84'Sebastian Soraas SebulonsenFoul
88'Sebastian Soraas SebulonsenAssist: Reigan Heskey
90'Livan BurcuFoul
Lineups
1. FC KölnUnion Berlin
4-2-2-2Coach: M. LustrinelliAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Schwäbe
2J. Schmied
22J. Simpson-Pusey
5T. Krauß
17A. Castro-Montes
23P. Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
47M. Moore
3B. Sosa
37L. Maina
10S. El Mala
30M. Bülter
31M. Raab
19J. Haberer
4Z. Van Den Bosch
14L. Querfeld
15T. Rothe
13A. Schäfer
8R. Khedira
11J. Woo-Yeong
20M. Aebischer
32M. Gray
21T. Skarke1. FC Köln Substitutes
20R. Zieler
7L. Waldschmidt
29J. Thielmann71'for Linton Maina
28S. Sebulonsen63'for Alessio Castro-Montes84'88'
14G. Mensah81'for Borna Sosa
24L. Lochoshvili
8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson72'for Mikey Moore78'
11Reigan Heskey81'for Said El Mala
19M. El Mala
Union Berlin Substitutes
9Livan Burcu57'for Tim Skarke90'
5M. Friedrich
30K. Imeri
6A. Kemlein68'for András Schäfer
17D. Köhn45'for Tom Rothe
29E. Latte Lath58'for Mekhi Gray
27M. LjubiÄiÄ75'for Woo-Yeong Jeong77'
1F. Rønnow
28C. Trimmel
Match Stats
1. FC KölnUnion Berlin 55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots17
8Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box14
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots7
8Fouls16
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
484Total Passes393
416Passes Accurate320
15Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
1. FC KölnUnion Berlin1673Elo Rating 1702
0.70Attack 0.61
2.10Defense 1.15
19%Hit Rate 19%
14.6Shots per Game 11.2
5.1Shots on Target 2.9
5.4Corners per Game 3.7
2.0Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
1. FC Köln- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Union Berlin- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
1. FC Köln1Wins · 10%Draws330%
Union Berlin6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
02/05/2026Union Berlin1. FC Köln22
20/12/20251. FC KölnUnion Berlin01
11/05/20241. FC KölnUnion Berlin32
20/12/2023Union Berlin1. FC Köln20
04/03/2023Union Berlin1. FC Köln00
11/09/20221. FC KölnUnion Berlin01
01/04/2022Union Berlin1. FC Köln10
07/11/20211. FC KölnUnion Berlin22
13/03/2021Union Berlin1. FC Köln21
22/11/20201. FC KölnUnion Berlin12
Recent Form
1. FC Köln4W3D3L
24/10/20261. FC Köln
FC Schalke 04
Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC KölnFC Schalke 0400
D16/10/2026Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln10
L11/10/20261. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach21
W03/10/2026
FC Viktoria Köln1. FC Köln
19/09/2026FC Viktoria Köln1. FC Köln22
DHamburger SV1. FC Köln21
L12/09/20261. FC KölnWerder Bremen11
D04/09/2026VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln41
L29/08/20261. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim32
W24/08/2026
Würzburger Kickers1. FC Köln
Würzburger Kickers1. FC Köln12
W08/08/20261. FC Köln
Real Sociedad
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad21
WUnion Berlin3W3D4L
24/10/2026
FC AugsburgUnion BerlinUnion Berlin
Borussia DortmundUnion Berlin
SV Elversberg
Bayern MünchenUnion BerlinUnion BerlinFC Schalke 04
Bayer LeverkusenUnion BerlinUnion BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin
FC AugsburgUnion Berlin11
D17/10/2026Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund00
D10/10/2026Union BerlinSV Elversberg10
W18/09/2026Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin70
L11/09/2026Union BerlinFC Schalke 0413
L05/09/2026Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin40
L29/08/2026Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt33
D23/08/2026Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin24
W15/08/2026Union Berlin
Ipswich
Union BerlinIpswich24
L09/08/2026Union Berlin
Aris
Union BerlinAris32
WReferee Profile
3.79Cards per match
3.68Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.79 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).
Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 64
Round of 32
Waldhof Mannheim00
1. FC Kaiserslautern01
Preußen Münster1
Karlsruher SC2
SC St. Tönis0Eintracht Frankfurt11
SV Wehen0Bayer Leverkusen4
Erzgebirge Aue01899 Hoffenheim4
MSV Duisburg1SV Elversberg3
Hemelingen1
Hannover 969
Lüneburger SK Hansa0Werder Bremen3
Eintracht Trier0
RB Leipzig6
TSV 1860 München0
Holstein Kiel2
SSV Jeddeloh5
1. FC Heidenheim2
Bahlinger SC0
1. FC Magdeburg4
Westfalia Rhynern0
Dynamo Dresden6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena1
SV Darmstadt 982
Krieschow0
FSV Mainz 059
Schott Mainz0Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Phönix Lübeck2
SC Paderborn 074
Rot-Weiß Essen2
FC St. Pauli0
Altglienicke25
VfL Wolfsburg26
Verl0Hamburger SV3Würzburger Kickers11. FC Köln2
HEBC0Borussia Dortmund5
VfL Osnabrück1Bayern München4Rot-Weiß Essen1RB Leipzig2SSV Jeddeloh-
Hertha BSC-Bayern München-1. FC Magdeburg-Bayer Leverkusen-
1. FC Nürnberg-Rot-Weiß Essen1RB Leipzig2SSV Jeddeloh-Hertha BSC-Bayern München-1. FC Magdeburg-Bayer Leverkusen-1. FC Nürnberg-Explore more predictions
This match
More DFB Pokal matches
- Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 24/08/26
- VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 27/10/26
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Augsburg 27/10/26
- Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt 27/10/26
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC 27/10/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen 27/10/26
- SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 27/10/26
- SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg 28/10/26
About the 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin forecast
As a knockout tie in the DFB Pokal, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About DFB Pokal
More DFB Pokal fixtures and forecasts are on the DFB Pokal Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.