SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn·Felix Zwayer 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.18
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.6%
SC Paderborn 07 Rest
9 days
VfB Stuttgart Rest
8 days

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: the result in context

VfB Stuttgart beat SC Paderborn 07 2-0 in the Bundesliga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.94 cards a game, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.93
X
22%4.67
2
58%1.58
Double Chance
1X
42%2.39
X2
80%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.40
No
34%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.69 = 3.01
Over 1.5
85%1.07
Over 2.5
69%1.33
Over 3.5
48%1.86
Under 1.5
15%7.10
Under 2.5
31%3.25
Under 3.5
52%1.98
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.44
Over 9.5
51%1.75
Over 10.5
36%2.24
Under 8.5
39%2.55
Under 9.5
49%2.00
Under 10.5
64%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
54%1.84
Over 4.5
34%2.73
Under 3.5
46%1.87
Under 4.5
66%1.43

Match Events

25'Jeffrey Julian Gaston ChabotAssist: Angelo Stiller
45'Marvin PieringerFoul
70'Marvin Pieringer INRayan Philippe out
70'Stefano Marino INSteffen Tigges out
72'Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot INFinn Jeltsch out
77'Ermedin Demirović INDženan Pejčinović out
77'Jamie Leweling INBilal El Khannouss out
80'Laurin Ulrich INOliver Batista Meier out
83'Chris FührichAssist: Angelo Stiller
85'Mattes Hansen INFelix Götze out
85'Tjark Scheller INJonah Sticker out
85'Deniz Undav INGrischa Prömel out
85'Chris Führich INLeo Sauer out

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07
3-5-2Coach: R. Kettemann
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Hoeneb
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating7.15
N. Noll6.515N. Noll
J. ter Horst6.621J. ter Horst
T. Scheller6.525T. Scheller
M. Hansen7.122M. Hansen
L. Curda6.917L. Curda
L. Ulrich6.328L. Ulrich
S. Castañeda6.05S. Castañeda
G. Vidović7.040G. Vidović
R. Obermair6.223R. Obermair
M. Pieringer6.118M. Pieringer
S. Marino6.330S. Marino
D. Seimen7.341D. Seimen
R. Hendriks7.73R. Hendriks
J. Chabot8.424J. Chabot
M. Mittelstädt7.67M. Mittelstädt
J. Vagnoman6.44J. Vagnoman
A. Karazor6.616A. Karazor
A. Stiller8.66A. Stiller
C. Führich8.210C. Führich
J. Leweling6.518J. Leweling
D. Undav7.226D. Undav
E. Demirović6.49E. Demirović

SC Paderborn 07 Substitutes

6T. Baack
7O. Batista Meier80'for Laurin Ulrich6.1
20F. Götze85'for Mattes Hansen6.2
11S. Michel
2Ruben Müller
9R. Philippe70'for Marvin Pieringer6.7
1M. Schubert
3Jonah Benedict Sticker85'for Tjark Scheller6.0
27S. Tigges70'for Stefano Marino7.1

VfB Stuttgart Substitutes

17D. Pejčinović77'for Ermedin Demirović6.5
21G. Prömel85'for Deniz Undav6.8
44L. Sauer85'for Chris Führich6.2
47Y. Spalt
20L. Stergiou
29Finn Jeltsch72'for Jeffrey Julian Gaston Chabot7.1
11B. El Khannouss77'for Jamie Leweling7.0
1F. Bredlow
22L. Assignon

Match Stats

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots18
6Shots on Goal8
10Shots off Goal5
16Shots Inside Box16
8Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots5
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
489Total Passes458
400Passes Accurate358
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
1696Elo Rating 1864
1.12Attack 1.19
1.17Defense 2.36
19%Hit Rate 36%
14.6Shots per Game 17.9
3.9Shots on Target 6.1
4.8Corners per Game 7.7
1.1Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 070Wins · 0%
Draws00%
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

DFB Pokal31/01/2023
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
12

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
5W3D2L
01/10/2026
DC UnitedSC Paderborn 07
01
W
20/09/2026
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
31
W
12/09/2026
Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
30
L
05/09/2026
SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg
01
L
29/08/2026
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
00
D
23/08/2026
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
24
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 07
02
W
25/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg
2111
W
21/05/2026
VfL WolfsburgSC Paderborn 07
00
D
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
6W0D4L

Referee Profile

Felix Zwayer246 matches

4.94Cards per match
4.78Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felix Zwayer4.94
Other referees4.20

4.94 cards a match, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).

Cards come from 241 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München642022:5+1714WDWWD
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund642011:4+714DDWWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg641115:6+913LWDWW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen641116:9+713WWWDW
5FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05631214:10+410WLWLW
6SV ElversbergSV Elversberg631212:11+110WLDLW
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig630316:11+59LWLWL
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen623112:1209DDWDW
9Hamburger SVHamburger SV63036:15-99WWWLL
10FC AugsburgFC Augsburg622216:12+48LDLDW
11Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68WLDWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln62138:11-37LWLDL
13VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart62048:10-26LWLLW
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim620411:14-36WLLWL
15FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0461234:7-35LLDWD
16SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0761235:9-45DLWLL
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin61235:17-125DWLLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach60068:20-120LLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart forecast

The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, VfB Stuttgart are 13th and SC Paderborn 07 16th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: SC Paderborn 07 5-9, VfB Stuttgart 8-10. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

VfB Stuttgart have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.