Spain vs Saudi Arabia Prediction

Spain
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Saudi Arabia
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta· Raphael Claus, Brazil 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalSTRONGModel90%RiskMediumGap+9.3%
Spain Rest
6 days
Saudi Arabia Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.10
X
19%11.00
2
5%23.50
Double Chance
1X
95%1.01
X2
24%7.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.63
No
47%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 3.09 + 0.83 = 3.92
Over 1.5
75%1.08
Over 2.5
54%1.35
Over 3.5
34%1.91
Under 1.5
25%6.80
Under 2.5
46%3.15
Under 3.5
66%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 2.2 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%1.42
Over 9.5
44%1.77
Over 10.5
33%2.20
Under 8.5
47%2.59
Under 9.5
56%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.5 = 3
Over 3.5
50%2.92
Over 4.5
28%5.30
Under 3.5
50%1.37
Under 4.5
72%1.13

Match Events

10'Lamine YamalAssist: Mikel Oyarzabal
21'Mikel OyarzabalAssist: Aymeric Laporte
24'Mikel OyarzabalAssist: Dani Olmo
30'Salem Al-DawsariFoul
46'Mikel Oyarzabal INFerran Torres out
46'Lamine Yamal INYéremy Pino out
46'Musab Al Juwayr INAbdullah Al-Hamdan out
46'Abdullah Al-Khaibari INMohamed Kanno out
49'Hassan TambaktiOG
60'Mohamed KannoFoul
60'Abdulelah Al-Amri INAla'a Al-Hejji out
60'Firas Al-Buraikan INMohammed Abu Al-Shamat out
61'Alex Baena INNico Williams out
61'Dani Olmo INMikel Merino out
70'Pedri INFabián Ruiz out
90+5'Goal cancelledFerran Torres
90'Nasser Al-Dawsari INKhalid Al-Ghannam out

Lineups

Spain
4-3-3Coach: Luis de la Fuente
Saudi Arabia
5-4-1Coach: Georgios Donis
Unai Simón23U. SimónUnai Simón
Pedro Porro12P. PorroPedro Porro
Pau Cubarsí22P. CubarsíPau Cubarsí
Aymeric Laporte14A. LaporteAymeric Laporte
Marc Cucurella24M. CucurellaMarc Cucurella
Dani Olmo10D. OlmoDani Olmo
Rodri16RodriRodri
Pedri20PedriPedri
Lamine Yamal19L. YamalLamine Yamal
Mikel Oyarzabal21M. OyarzabalMikel Oyarzabal
Alex Baena15A. BaenaAlex Baena
Mohammed Al-Owais21M. Al-OwaisMohammed Al-Owais
Saud Abdulhamid12S. AbdulhamidSaud Abdulhamid
Abdulelah Al-Amri4A. Al-AmriAbdulelah Al-Amri
Ali Lajami3A. LajamiAli Lajami
Hassan Tambakti5H. TambaktiHassan Tambakti
Moteb Al-Harbi24M. Al-HarbiMoteb Al-Harbi
Musab Al Juwayr7M. Al JuwayrMusab Al Juwayr
Abdullah Al-Khaibari15A. Al-KhaibariAbdullah Al-Khaibari
Nasser Al-Dawsari6N. Al-DawsariNasser Al-Dawsari
Salem Al-Dawsari10S. Al-DawsariSalem Al-Dawsari
Firas Al-Buraikan9F. Al-BuraikanFiras Al-Buraikan

Spain Substitutes

7Ferran TorresF
11Yéremy PinoM
6Mikel MerinoM
17Nico WilliamsF
8Fabián RuizM
1David RayaG
13Joan GarcíaG
2Marc PubillD
4Eric GarcíaD
5Marcos LlorenteM
3Alejandro GrimaldoD
9Pablo GaviM
18Martín ZubimendiM
25Víctor MuñozF
26Borja IglesiasF

Saudi Arabia Substitutes

23Mohamed KannoM
19Abdullah Al-HamdanF
26Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatM
18Ala'a Al-HejjiM
17Khalid Al-GhannamF
1Nawaf Al-AqidiG
22Ahmed Al-KassarG
2Ali MajrashiD
13Nawaf BoushalD
14Hassan KadeshD
25Jehad ThakriD
16Ziyad AljohaniM
8Ayman YahyaM
11Saleh Al-ShehriF
20Sultan MandashF

Match Stats

SpainSaudi Arabia
67%Ball Possession33%
6Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots3
8Shots on Goal1
12Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box0
9Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
10Fouls2
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
725Total Passes364
668Passes Accurate292
92%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

SpainSpain
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
1957Elo Rating 1610
1.44Attack 0.73
2.81Defense 1.08
73%Hit Rate 17%
16.7Shots per Game 8.3
7.7Shots on Target 3.4
6.1Corners per Game 2.3
0.8Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+347 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.92 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SpainSpain
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)

Recent Form

SpainSpain
2W3D0L
15/06/2026
SpainCape Verde Islands
00
D
09/06/2026
PeruSpain
13
W
04/06/2026
SpainIraq
11
D
18/11/2025
SpainTürkiye
22
D
15/11/2025
GeorgiaSpain
04
W
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
1W3D1L
16/06/2026
Saudi ArabiaUruguay
11
D
10/06/2026
Saudi ArabiaSenegal
00
D
06/06/2026
Puerto RicoSaudi Arabia
03
W
31/05/2026
EcuadorSaudi Arabia
21
L
14/10/2025
Saudi ArabiaIraq
00
D

Referee Profile

Raphael Claus, Brazil · 5 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 6% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SpainSpain32105:0+57WWD
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands30302:203DDD
3UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia30211:5-42DLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SpainSpain35:07
2Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands32:23
3UruguayUruguay33:42
4Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia31:52

Spain vs Saudi Arabia Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

ScorePredicts covers World Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Spain and Saudi Arabia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.