Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City· S. Boiko 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.52
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+14.9%
Sporting Kansas City Rest
6 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.08
X
22%3.50
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.62
X2
63%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
76%1.52
No
24%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.56 = 2.94
Over 1.5
81%1.18
Over 2.5
62%1.62
Over 3.5
37%2.55
Under 1.5
19%4.50
Under 2.5
38%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
59%1.58
Over 9.5
46%1.95
Over 10.5
32%2.50
Under 8.5
41%2.22
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
68%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
60%1.66
Over 4.5
43%2.27
Under 3.5
40%2.10
Under 4.5
57%1.52

Match Events

11'L. Johnsen
45'L. Johnsen
45'L. Johnsen
55'GuilhermeAssist: J. McGlynn
65'K. Agyabeng INM. Garcia out
65'E. Ponce IND. McGuire out
65'M. Mosquera INW. Meyer out
65'J. Davis INJ. Reid out
71'A. Bouzat
82'Capita INS. Suleymanov out
82'Felipe Andrade IND. Holmes out
82'A. Bouzat INF. Negri out
85'Z. Bassong INJ. Bartlett out
86'Lucas Halter
90'Guilherme INO. Lingr out
90'H. Herrera IND. Samassekou out

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City
4-2-3-1Coach: Raphael Wicky
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Stefan Cleveland30S. ClevelandStefan Cleveland
Jacob Davis8J. DavisJacob Davis
Moises Mosquera3M. MosqueraMoises Mosquera
Or Blorian5O. BlorianOr Blorian
Emir Karić18E. KarićEmir Karić
Lasse Berg Johnsen4L. Berg JohnsenLasse Berg Johnsen
Zorhan Bassong22Z. BassongZorhan Bassong
Capita7CapitaCapita
Kwaku Agyabeng20K. AgyabengKwaku Agyabeng
Calvin Harris11C. HarrisCalvin Harris
Dejan Joveljić9D. JoveljićDejan Joveljić
Jonathan Bond31J. BondJonathan Bond
Lawrence Ennali11L. EnnaliLawrence Ennali
Lucas Halter5L. HalterLucas Halter
Agustin Resch34A. ReschAgustin Resch
Felipe Andrade36F. AndradeFelipe Andrade
Artur6ArturArtur
Héctor Herrera16H. HerreraHéctor Herrera
Jack McGlynn8J. McGlynnJack McGlynn
Agustín Bouzat30A. BouzatAgustín Bouzat
Guilherme20GuilhermeGuilherme
Ezequiel Ponce10E. PonceEzequiel Ponce

Sporting Kansas City Substitutes

28Wyatt MeyerD
99Jayden ReidD
6Manu GarcíaM
93Shapi SuleymanovF
16Jacob BartlettD
1John PulskampG
15Jansen MillerD
2Ian JamesD
17Stephen AfrifaF

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

23Duncan McGuireF
21Franco NegriD
14Duane HolmesM
18Diadié SamassékouM
9Ondrej LingrM
26Blake GillinghamG
28Erik SviatchenkoD
22Matthew AranaM
24Ibrahim AliyuF

Match Stats

Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots1
10Fouls12
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
396Total Passes710
332Passes Accurate652
84%Pass Accuracy92%

Team Comparison

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1439Elo Rating 1653
1.80Attack 0.60
0.76Defense 2.22
27%Hit Rate 23%
16.8Shots per Game 13.0
5.0Shots on Target 4.3
5.7Corners per Game 4.1
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Sporting Kansas City 23%Draw 44%34% Houston Dynamo
1.97Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
2W0D3L
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
3W2D0L
26/07/2026
Houston DynamoAustin
30
W
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
16/07/2026
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali
21
W
12/07/2026
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia
30
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D

Referee Profile

S. Boiko · 46 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
21.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
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Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.97 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.