Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 18
Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City·S. Boiko 02/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.52
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+14.9%
Sporting Kansas City Rest
6 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
7 days
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo: result, form and history
Houston Dynamo beat Sporting Kansas City 2-0 in the Major League Soccer on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%3.08
X22%3.50
241%2.25
Double Chance
1X59%1.62
X263%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes76%1.52
No24%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.56 = 2.94
Over 1.581%1.18
Over 2.562%1.62
Over 3.537%2.55
Under 1.519%4.50
Under 2.538%2.25
Under 3.563%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.559%1.58
Over 9.546%1.95
Over 10.532%2.50
Under 8.541%2.22
Under 9.554%1.80
Under 10.568%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2 = 4.5
Over 3.560%1.66
Over 4.543%2.27
Under 3.540%2.10
Under 4.557%1.52
Match Events
11'L. Johnsen
45'L. Johnsen
45'L. Johnsen
55'GuilhermeAssist: J. McGlynn
65'K. Agyabeng INM. Garcia out
65'E. Ponce IND. McGuire out
65'M. Mosquera INW. Meyer out
65'J. Davis INJ. Reid out
71'A. Bouzat
82'Capita INS. Suleymanov out
82'Felipe Andrade IND. Holmes out
82'A. Bouzat INF. Negri out
85'Z. Bassong INJ. Bartlett out
86'Lucas Halter
90'Guilherme INO. Lingr out
90'H. Herrera IND. Samassekou out
Lineups
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben OlsenAvg ratingAvg rating
30S. Cleveland
8J. Davis
3M. Mosquera
5O. Blorian
18E. Karić
4L. Berg Johnsen
22Z. Bassong
7Capita
20K. Agyabeng
11C. Harris
C9D. Joveljić
31J. Bond
11L. Ennali
5L. Halter
34A. Resch
36F. Andrade
C6Artur
16H. Herrera
8J. McGlynn
30A. Bouzat
20Guilherme
10E. PonceSporting Kansas City Substitutes
28Wyatt Meyer65'for M. Mosquera
99Jayden Reid65'for J. Davis
6Manu García65'for K. Agyabeng
93Shapi Suleymanov82'for Capita
16Jacob Bartlett85'for Z. Bassong
1John Pulskamp
15Jansen Miller
2Ian James
17Stephen Afrifa
Houston Dynamo Substitutes
23Duncan McGuire65'for E. Ponce
21Franco Negri82'for A. Bouzat
14Duane Holmes82'for Felipe Andrade
18Diadié Samassékou90'for H. Herrera
9Ondrej Lingr90'for Guilherme
26Blake Gillingham
28Erik Sviatchenko
22Matthew Arana
24Ibrahim Aliyu
Match Stats
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo 36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots1
10Fouls12
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
396Total Passes710
332Passes Accurate652
84%Pass Accuracy92%
Team Comparison
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo1421Elo Rating 1602
0.86Attack 1.25
0.59Defense 1.44
0%Hit Rate 23%
10.7Shots per Game 7.8
3.1Shots on Target 1.6
3.8Corners per Game 3.9
2.3Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sporting Kansas City- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Houston Dynamo- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sporting Kansas City3Wins · 30%Draws440%
Houston Dynamo3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
19/10/2025Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo00
01/06/2025Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City13
12/05/2024Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo12
25/02/2024Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City11
27/11/2023Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City10
24/09/2023Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo21
09/07/2023Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City22
11/05/2023Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City10
11/09/2022Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City00
26/05/2022Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo21
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City3W1D6L
26/07/2026
Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas City40
L23/07/2026Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC21
W17/07/2026St. Louis CitySporting Kansas City32
L24/05/2026Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls12
L17/05/2026
AustinSporting Kansas City
AustinSporting Kansas City12
W14/05/2026Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy31
W10/05/2026
Portland TimbersSporting Kansas City
Portland TimbersSporting Kansas City60
L02/05/2026Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders11
D26/04/2026
Chicago FireSporting Kansas City
Chicago FireSporting Kansas City50
L18/04/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas City
Vancouver WhitecapsSporting Kansas City30
LHouston Dynamo6W2D2L
26/07/2026Houston DynamoAustinHouston Dynamo
DC United
Houston DynamoAustin30
W23/07/2026Houston DynamoDC United11
D16/07/2026Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali21
W12/07/2026Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia30
W24/05/2026Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo11
D20/05/2026St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo4222
L17/05/2026Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps10
W14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo30
L11/05/2026Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo14
W03/05/2026Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
Houston DynamoColorado Rapids10
WReferee Profile
4.39Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
21.0Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 34% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74:34 | +40 | 64 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:51 | +11 | 58 | WDLWD |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 54 | WLLLL |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57:51 | +6 | 52 | LWDLD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 51 | LLWDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52:40 | +12 | 47 | LLDDW |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62:61 | +1 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 46 | WLLDD |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53:52 | +1 | 45 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56:58 | -2 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:57 | -7 | 44 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 | LLDWD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57:63 | -6 | 38 | LWLDD |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42:65 | -23 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40:81 | -41 | 26 | WDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 74:34 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 62:51 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 59:48 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 57:51 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 43:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 52:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 62:61 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 53:52 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 56:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 50:57 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 47:50 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 57:63 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 42:65 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 40:81 | 26 |
Promotion
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This match
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About the Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Houston Dynamo are 5th and Sporting Kansas City 15th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting Kansas City 40-81, Houston Dynamo 43-43. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.