St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Energizer Park, St. Louis·Alexis Da Silva, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseHighGap-0.1%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
St. Louis City Rest
3 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
2 days

St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo: the result in context

St. Louis City beat Houston Dynamo 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Houston Dynamo had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for St. Louis City.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.10
X
32%3.50
2
28%3.30
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
60%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.65
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.12 = 2.71
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.80
Over 3.5
34%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.85
Under 2.5
41%2.00
Under 3.5
66%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.45
Over 9.5
53%1.72
Over 10.5
37%2.11
Under 8.5
37%2.55
Under 9.5
47%2.02
Under 10.5
63%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%1.39
Over 4.5
55%1.85
Under 3.5
31%2.70
Under 4.5
45%1.85

Match Events

23'S. BecherAssist: A. Matan
27'A. Matan
46'M. Saracchi INFelipe Andrade out
57'D. Samassekou INH. Herrera out
57'D. McGuire INI. Aliyu out
58'M. Bogusz
58'A. Bouzat
62'T. Ostrak INC. Holse out
63'S. Becher
66'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Bogusz
70'C. Holse
72'S. Jeong INP. Ault out
72'A. Matan INL. MacNaughton out
75'I. Aliyu
81'Lucas Halter
85'D. Polvara
87'A. Bouzat INF. Negri out
90+2'S. Becher INM. Perez out
90+2'L. Ennali IND. Holmes out
90+8'T. Totland

Lineups

St. Louis City
3-4-3Coach: Yoann Damet
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.61
R. BurkiC7.21R. Burki
J. Orozco7.599J. Orozco
T. Baumgartl7.532T. Baumgartl
D. Polvara7.321D. Polvara
C. Wallem6.96C. Wallem
D. Edelman7.224D. Edelman
A. Matan7.023A. Matan
T. Totland6.914T. Totland
S. Jeong6.677S. Jeong
S. Becher6.911S. Becher
T. Ostrak6.57T. Ostrak
J. Bond6.731J. Bond
L. Ennali6.311L. Ennali
A. Resch7.234A. Resch
Lucas Halter6.25L. Halter
M. Saracchi6.34M. Saracchi
ArturC7.26Artur
D. Samassekou6.918D. Samassekou
J. McGlynn7.38J. McGlynn
A. Bouzat6.330A. Bouzat
M. Bogusz5.919M. Bogusz
D. McGuire6.223D. McGuire

St. Louis City Substitutes

39B. Lundt
5L. MacNaughton72'for A. Matan6.3
20Rafael Santos
4M. Mbacke
28M. Perez90+2'for S. Becher
19C. Holse62'for T. Ostrak70'6.9
91Z. Zengue
29P. Ault72'for S. Jeong6.9
48R. Lynch

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

26B. Gillingham
28E. Sviatchenko
36Felipe Andrade46'for M. Saracchi6.2
3Antonio Carlos
21F. Negri87'for A. Bouzat6.3
16H. Herrera57'for D. Samassekou6.9
14D. Holmes90+2'for L. Ennali
20Guilherme
24I. Aliyu57'for D. McGuire75'7.2

Match Stats

St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
47%Ball Possession53%
1Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots6
18Fouls10
1Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
434Total Passes480
382Passes Accurate417
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1646Elo Rating 1602
0.74Attack 1.25
1.04Defense 1.44
0%Hit Rate 23%
12.0Shots per Game 7.8
5.4Shots on Target 1.6
3.5Corners per Game 3.9
1.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
  • No tendency data available
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3Wins · 33%
2.4Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

US Open Cup20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
4222
Major League Soccer31/08/2025
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
23
Major League Soccer29/06/2025
Houston DynamoSt. Louis City
10
Major League Soccer06/10/2024
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
30
Major League Soccer05/05/2024
Houston DynamoSt. Louis City
00
CONCACAF Champions League28/02/2024
Houston DynamoSt. Louis City
10
CONCACAF Champions League21/02/2024
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer17/09/2023
Houston DynamoSt. Louis City
11
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
30

Recent Form

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
7W3D0L
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
7W2D1L

Referee Profile

Alexis Da Silva91 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.29Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alexis Da Silva4.40
Other referees4.31

4.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 58 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
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About the St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer table

St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo are close in the Major League Soccer table, 3rd and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: St. Louis City 59-48, Houston Dynamo 43-43. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.