St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Energizer Park, St. Louis· Alexis Da Silva, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskHighGap-0.1%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalGOODModel40%RiskHighGap+7.1%
St. Louis City Rest
3 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.10
X
32%3.50
2
28%3.30
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
60%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.65
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.12 = 2.71
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.80
Over 3.5
34%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.85
Under 2.5
41%2.00
Under 3.5
66%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.45
Over 9.5
53%1.72
Over 10.5
37%2.11
Under 8.5
37%2.55
Under 9.5
47%2.02
Under 10.5
63%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%1.39
Over 4.5
55%1.85
Under 3.5
31%2.70
Under 4.5
45%1.85

Match Events

23'S. BecherAssist: A. Matan
27'A. Matan
46'M. Saracchi INFelipe Andrade out
57'D. Samassekou INH. Herrera out
57'D. McGuire INI. Aliyu out
58'M. Bogusz
58'A. Bouzat
62'T. Ostrak INC. Holse out
63'S. Becher
66'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Bogusz
70'C. Holse
72'S. Jeong INP. Ault out
72'A. Matan INL. MacNaughton out
75'I. Aliyu
81'Lucas Halter
85'D. Polvara
87'A. Bouzat INF. Negri out
90+2'S. Becher INM. Perez out
90+2'L. Ennali IND. Holmes out
90+8'T. Totland

Lineups

St. Louis City
3-4-3Coach: Yoann Damet
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
R. Burki1R. BurkiR. Burki
J. Orozco99J. OrozcoJ. Orozco
T. Baumgartl32T. BaumgartlT. Baumgartl
D. Polvara21D. PolvaraD. Polvara
C. Wallem6C. WallemC. Wallem
D. Edelman24D. EdelmanD. Edelman
A. Matan23A. MatanA. Matan
T. Totland14T. TotlandT. Totland
S. Jeong77S. JeongS. Jeong
S. Becher11S. BecherS. Becher
T. Ostrak7T. OstrakT. Ostrak
J. Bond31J. BondJ. Bond
L. Ennali11L. EnnaliL. Ennali
A. Resch34A. ReschA. Resch
Lucas Halter5L. HalterLucas Halter
M. Saracchi4M. SaracchiM. Saracchi
Artur6ArturArtur
D. Samassekou18D. SamassekouD. Samassekou
J. McGlynn8J. McGlynnJ. McGlynn
A. Bouzat30A. BouzatA. Bouzat
M. Bogusz19M. BoguszM. Bogusz
D. McGuire23D. McGuireD. McGuire

St. Louis City Substitutes

39B. LundtG
5L. MacNaughtonD
20Rafael SantosD
4M. MbackeD
28M. PerezM
19C. HolseF
91Z. Zengue
29P. AultM
48R. Lynch

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

26B. GillinghamG
28E. SviatchenkoD
36Felipe AndradeD
3Antonio CarlosD
21F. NegriD
16H. HerreraM
14D. HolmesM
20GuilhermeF
24I. AliyuF

Match Stats

St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
47%Ball Possession53%
1Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots6
18Fouls10
1Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
434Total Passes480
382Passes Accurate417
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1723Elo Rating 1653
3.03Attack 0.60
1.56Defense 2.22
66%Hit Rate 23%
10.1Shots per Game 13.0
5.1Shots on Target 4.3
3.3Corners per Game 4.1
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.1 in second half)
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

St. Louis City 17%Draw 41%42% Houston Dynamo
2.92Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Alexis Da Silva, USA · 21 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
24.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 72% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
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St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

St. Louis City have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.92 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.