Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

Shell Energy Stadium, Houston·Ricardo Fierro, USA 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Houston Dynamo Rest
7 days
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
13 days

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy: the result in context

Houston Dynamo beat Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Houston Dynamo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.66
X
24%4.08
2
21%4.75
Double Chance
1X
79%1.18
X2
45%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.62
No
36%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.1 = 2.68
Over 1.5
76%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.62
Over 3.5
34%2.55
Under 1.5
24%4.50
Under 2.5
44%2.25
Under 3.5
66%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.41
Over 9.5
47%1.73
Over 10.5
33%2.20
Under 8.5
38%2.70
Under 9.5
53%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.1 = 3.3
Over 3.5
47%1.44
Over 4.5
27%2.07
Under 3.5
53%2.63
Under 4.5
73%1.70

Match Events

21'Guilherme(Penalty)
45+1'H. Herrera
46'M. Yoshida INC. Garces out
54'E. Wynder INI. Parente out
56'L. Ennali
58'C. Garces
65'F. Negri IND. Holmes out
65'D. McGuire INO. Lingr out
65'K. Furuhashi INT. Elgersma out
65'R. Taylor INH. Lozano out
83'J. McGlynn INA. Bouzat out
89'M. Bogusz INI. Aliyu out
89'H. Herrera IND. Samassekou out
90'L. Sanabria INR. Ramos out
90+4'H. Lozano
90+9'I. Aliyu
90+11'I. Aliyu
90+11'I. Aliyu

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-1-4-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Coach: Greg Vanney
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.54
J. Bond6.931J. Bond
L. Ennali7.711L. Ennali
A. Resch8.034A. Resch
Lucas Halter7.35L. Halter
F. Negri7.321F. Negri
ArturC6.96Artur
M. Bogusz6.719M. Bogusz
J. McGlynn7.58J. McGlynn
H. Herrera7.916H. Herrera
Guilherme7.220Guilherme
D. McGuire6.223D. McGuire
J. Marcinkowski7.212J. Marcinkowski
H. Miller6.326H. Miller
J. Glesnes6.95J. Glesnes
M. YoshidaC6.94M. Yoshida
J. Nelson5.914J. Nelson
J. Haak7.315J. Haak
E. Wynder6.622E. Wynder
J. Paintsil6.928J. Paintsil
L. Sanabria6.38L. Sanabria
R. Taylor6.921R. Taylor
K. Furuhashi6.67K. Furuhashi

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

26B. Gillingham
28E. Sviatchenko
3Antonio Carlos
13S. Vines
18D. Samassekou89'for H. Herrera6.7
30A. Bouzat83'for J. McGlynn7.2
14D. Holmes65'for F. Negri7.0
9O. Lingr65'for D. McGuire6.6
24I. Aliyu89'for M. Bogusz90+9'90+11'90+11'4.6

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

1N. Micovic
3J. Aude
25C. Garces46'for M. Yoshida58'4.7
20C. Rindov
16I. Parente54'for E. Wynder6.3
24R. Ramos90'for L. Sanabria6.5
76T. Elgersma65'for K. Furuhashi6.7
11H. Lozano65'for R. Taylor90+4'6.6

Match Stats

Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards1
9Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal0
4Shots off Goal4
3Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots5
15Fouls14
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
551Total Passes344
499Passes Accurate302
91%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
1602Elo Rating 1619
1.25Attack 2.54
1.44Defense 1.04
23%Hit Rate 44%
7.8Shots per Game 13.5
1.6Shots on Target 7.2
3.9Corners per Game 3.8
2.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3Wins · 30%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
Major League Soccer07/09/2025
Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
11
Major League Soccer13/04/2025
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
Major League Soccer20/10/2024
Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
21
Major League Soccer26/05/2024
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer03/09/2023
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
00
Major League Soccer09/04/2023
Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
30
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
13
Major League Soccer23/05/2022
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
03
Major League Soccer21/10/2021
Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
03

Recent Form

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
6W2D2L
08/08/2026
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
02
W
02/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
02
W
26/07/2026
Houston DynamoAustin
30
W
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
16/07/2026
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali
21
W
12/07/2026
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia
30
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
4222
L
17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
10
W
14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
30
L
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
3W4D3L
02/08/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyFC Dallas
00
D
26/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy
11
D
23/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
13
L
18/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
03
L
12/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyClub America
10
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
17/05/2026
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
02
W
14/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CityLos Angeles Galaxy
31
L
10/05/2026
Atlanta United FCLos Angeles Galaxy
12
W
03/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyVancouver Whitecaps
11
D

Referee Profile

Ricardo Fierro119 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo Fierro3.92
Other referees4.33

3.92 cards a match, 0.41 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
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About the Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Houston Dynamo are 5th and Los Angeles Galaxy 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Houston Dynamo 43-43, Los Angeles Galaxy 50-57. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Los Angeles Galaxy have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.