Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline Prediction

Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir·G. Irvine

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Stenhousemuir Rest
3 days
Dunfermline Rest
3 days

Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline preview: form and head-to-head

On form this looks evenly balanced, with Stenhousemuir on 2 wins from their last five and Dunfermline on 1. They meet in the Championship on 27 Oct 2026.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
3.63
X
3.27
2
1.96
Double Chance
1X
1.74
X2
1.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Match Events

16'L. Grant

Team Comparison

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
DunfermlineDunfermline
1548Elo Rating 1508
0.54Attack 0.81
1.57Defense 2.61
31%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
DunfermlineDunfermline
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
DunfermlineDunfermline2Wins · 100%
4.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

FA Cup18/01/2025
DunfermlineStenhousemuir
30
League Cup24/07/2021
DunfermlineStenhousemuir
41

Recent Form

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
6W1D3L
24/10/2026
PartickStenhousemuir
30
L
17/10/2026
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
11
D
10/10/2026
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
20
L
25/09/2026
Ayr UtdStenhousemuir
01
W
19/09/2026
StenhousemuirArbroath
10
W
15/09/2026
StenhousemuirPartick
10
W
11/09/2026
StenhousemuirHeart Of Midlothian
03
L
04/09/2026
LivingstonStenhousemuir
01
W
29/08/2026
StenhousemuirInverness CT
31
W
22/08/2026
Queen's ParkStenhousemuir
02
W
DunfermlineDunfermline
4W4D2L
24/10/2026
Queen's ParkDunfermline
01
W
20/10/2026
DunfermlinePartick
11
D
17/10/2026
DunfermlineLivingston
00
D
10/10/2026
Ayr UtdDunfermline
11
D
03/10/2026
DunfermlineAberdeen
14
L
19/09/2026
MortonDunfermline
01
W
12/09/2026
DunfermlineQueen's Park
20
W
05/09/2026
ArbroathDunfermline
11
D
28/08/2026
DunfermlineRaith Rovers
10
W
22/08/2026
LivingstonDunfermline
20
L

Referee Profile

G. Irvine171 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.40Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Irvine3.58
Other referees4.07

3.58 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.07).

Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PartickPartick1274115:4+1125WDWWW
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1172213:8+523LDLWW
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1263316:9+721LDWWL
4Inverness CTInverness CT1254316:11+519WWLWW
5DunfermlineDunfermline114619:6+318WDDDW
6LivingstonLivingston1252515:11+417WDLLW
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1133510:12-212LDWLW
8ArbroathArbroath123277:18-1111LLLLW
9MortonMorton112189:18-97WWLLL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park122196:19-137LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PartickPartick1215:425
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1113:823
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1216:921
4Inverness CTInverness CT1216:1119
5DunfermlineDunfermline119:618
6LivingstonLivingston1215:1117
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1110:1212
8ArbroathArbroath127:1811
9MortonMorton119:187
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park126:197
PromotionRelegation

About the Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Stenhousemuir are 2nd and Dunfermline 5th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Stenhousemuir 13-8, Dunfermline 9-6. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stenhousemuir have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.