Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Super Nova
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
Olaines Pilsetas Stadions, Olaine 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Super Nova Rest
7 days
BFC Daugavpils Rest
7 days

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: the result in context

Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils drew 1-1 in the Virsliga on 8 Nov 2026. BFC Daugavpils had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Super Nova.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. BFC Daugavpils tend to win more corners, 5.0 a game to 2.3 for Super Nova.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.45
X
27%3.32
2
46%1.95
Double Chance
1X
55%1.73
X2
73%1.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Maksims kopilovs(Penalty)
46'Ibrahima Ndiaye INRikuto Iida out
46'Kristers Skadmanis INBamba out
46'milans tihonovics INjegors cirulis out
58'raivis kirss
63'Rinolds Baikovs INDoukumo Ayebadiepreye out
63'kirils bujanovs INGļebs Mihaļcovs out
65'Ricards Vibans
73'Ricards Vibans INceti taty out
73'ali saveljevs INDaniil Harzha out
75'raivis kirss INNdiaye Pathé out
77'ivans patrikejevs INAram baghdasaryan out
85'davis cucurs INLinards Lozda out

Lineups

Super Nova
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Rafalskis
BFC Daugavpils
4-4-2Coach: K. Kurbatovs
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.70
T. Petrovics31T. Petrovics
M. Tihonovičs6.221M. Tihonovičs
M. Ošs7.125M. Ošs
I. Ndiaye20I. Ndiaye
K. Augusts2K. Augusts
R. Šitjakovs7.324R. Šitjakovs
R. Ķiršs8.015R. Ķiršs
I. Patrikejevs7.78I. Patrikejevs
Kristers Skadmanis6.522K. Skadmanis
A. Glaudāns6.67A. Glaudāns
V. Lizunovs7.410V. Lizunovs
Vladislavs Razumejevs8.258V. Razumejevs
K. Bujanovs66K. Bujanovs
R. Aizups6.477R. Aizups
R. Vibans26R. Vibans
1818n. ogijenko
D. Cucurs6.633D. Cucurs
R. Skrebels5.98R. Skrebels
E. Pinaskins19E. Pinaskins
M. Kopilovs6.727M. Kopilovs
A. Saveljevs42A. Saveljevs
R. Baikovs2R. Baikovs

Super Nova Substitutes

29A. Baghdasaryan77'for ivans patrikejevs
9Bamba46'for Kristers Skadmanis
4L. Berzins
5J. Cīrulis46'for milans tihonovics6.4
3R. Iida46'for Ibrahima Ndiaye7.0
27N. Pathe75'for raivis kirss6.7
90D. Veisbuks

BFC Daugavpils Substitutes

85R. Voitkevics
20Ceti Junior Taty Tchibinda73'for Ricards Vibans
1J. Saveljevs
37Gļebs Mihaļcovs63'for kirils bujanovs6.4
30Linards Lozda85'replaced by davis cucurs
10E. Ivanovs
14Maksims Berzins
3D. Ayebadiepreye63'for Rinolds Baikovs
22Daniil Harzha73'replaced by ali saveljevs

Match Stats

Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
70%Ball Possession30%
11Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
30Total Shots7
10Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal3
23Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots2
12Fouls9
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves9
509Total Passes281
409Passes Accurate180
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1417Elo Rating 1526
1.29Attack 1.49
0.31Defense 2.64
14%Hit Rate 86%
9.9Shots per Game 11.4
3.4Shots on Target 5.3
2.3Corners per Game 5.0
2.5Cards per Game 1.4

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Super NovaSuper Nova2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3Wins · 30%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga22/08/2026
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
00
Virsliga16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
Virsliga27/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
01
Virsliga25/10/2025
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
22
Virsliga02/08/2025
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
11
Virsliga01/06/2025
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
41
Virsliga15/04/2025
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
11
Virsliga23/09/2023
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
01
Virsliga05/07/2023
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
20
Virsliga14/05/2023
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
04

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
3W2D5L
01/11/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
33
D
25/10/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
03
L
18/10/2026
RigaSuper Nova
21
L
15/10/2026
Rīgas FSSuper Nova
40
L
10/10/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
21
W
20/09/2026
Ogre UnitedSuper Nova
10
L
15/09/2026
Super NovaRiga
01
L
10/09/2026
Super NovaTukums
10
W
05/09/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
01
W
29/08/2026
AudaSuper Nova
11
D
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
4W3D3L
01/11/2026
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
20
W
25/10/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
01
W
19/10/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
21
W
11/10/2026
Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils
12
W
19/09/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
13/09/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRīgas FS
12
L
07/09/2026
RigaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
02/09/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
2233
L
29/08/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
10
L
22/08/2026
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
00
D

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga table

BFC Daugavpils and Super Nova are close in the Virsliga table, 4th and 6th, with 12 points between them. League goal record so far: Super Nova 36-54, BFC Daugavpils 43-38. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.