FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

FS Jelgava
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale, Jelgava 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.16
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
FS Jelgava Rest
6 days
BFC Daugavpils Rest
5 days

FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: result, form and history

BFC Daugavpils beat FS Jelgava 1-0 in the Virsliga on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: BFC Daugavpils had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for FS Jelgava.

BFC Daugavpils have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.45
X
23%3.75
2
55%1.62
Double Chance
1X
46%2.04
X2
78%1.16
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Ziad Ouled-Haj-M'Hand
43'Gļebs Mihaļcovs
45+1'eseme william mukwelle
78'Kader abdoul traore
81'Ādams Dreimanis INrihards becers out
87'Milos Pudil INEmils Smaukstelis out

Lineups

FS Jelgava
5-4-1Coach: Aleksandrs Basovs
BFC Daugavpils
4-2-3-1Coach: K. Kurbatovs
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating7.20
A. Dvorak6.91A. Dvorak
J. Novikovs6.513J. Novikovs
Ā. Dreimanis7.323Ā. Dreimanis
K. Aļekseičiks27K. Aļekseičiks
A. Kangars6.44A. Kangars
M. Pudil6.822M. Pudil
G. Žaleiko6.129G. Žaleiko
M. Hašek7.311M. Hašek
R. Meļķis6.48R. Meļķis
Filip Hašek6.924F. Hašek
T. Rataj17T. Rataj
J. Beks8.512J. Beks
Gļebs Mihaļcovs6.637G. Mihaļcovs
55O. Gningue
Ceti Junior Taty Tchibinda20C. Junior Taty Tchibinda
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand34Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
E. Ivanovs6.810E. Ivanovs
W. Mukwelle4W. Mukwelle
J. Yakubu11J. Yakubu
E. Pinaskins19E. Pinaskins
A. Traore9A. Traore
D. Kiwinda6.997D. Kiwinda

FS Jelgava Substitutes

18E. Smaukstelis87'for Milos Pudil
9R. Bečers81'for Ādams Dreimanis
2Kristians Bernans
7Arturs Janovskis
21G. Kačanovs
16T. Leitis
20G. Patika
19A. Pētersons
28A. Deklavs

BFC Daugavpils Substitutes

8R. Skrebels
58Vladislavs Razumejevs
27M. Kopilovs
33D. Cucurs
66K. Bujanovs
6Ņ. Barkovskis
3D. Ayebadiepreye
77R. Aizups

Match Stats

FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
7Fouls13
0Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves7
486Total Passes381
371Passes Accurate284
13Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1390Elo Rating 1510
0.46Attack 1.30
0.94Defense 2.03
0%Hit Rate 50%
-Shots per Game 7.0
-Shots on Target 5.0
-Corners per Game 3.0
-Cards per Game 0.0

Game State Tendencies

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils6Wins · 60%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga01/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
21
Virsliga31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
Virsliga16/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
10
Virsliga18/10/2025
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
00
Virsliga27/07/2025
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
20
Virsliga25/05/2025
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
10
Virsliga10/04/2025
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
41
Virsliga01/09/2024
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
00
Virsliga21/06/2024
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
30
Virsliga03/05/2024
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
10

Recent Form

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
2W1D7L
18/10/2026
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
30
L
11/10/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
42
L
19/09/2026
FS JelgavaRiga
01
L
12/09/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
05/09/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
01
L
29/08/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
14
W
22/08/2026
Ogre UnitedFS Jelgava
23
W
09/08/2026
FS JelgavaAuda
01
L
01/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
21
L
26/07/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
02
L
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
4W3D3L
19/10/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
21
W
11/10/2026
Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils
12
W
19/09/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
13/09/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRīgas FS
12
L
07/09/2026
RigaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
02/09/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
2233
L
29/08/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
10
L
22/08/2026
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
14/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
W
08/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
20
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: BFC Daugavpils are 4th in the Virsliga, while FS Jelgava sit 7th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: FS Jelgava 34-57, BFC Daugavpils 40-37. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.