Grobiņa vs Riga Prediction

Grobiņa
2-5
Finished
HT 0-4
Riga
Grobina Stadium, Grobina 26/10/2026
GrobiņaGrobiņa
2-5
Finished
RigaRiga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel80%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Grobiņa Rest
9 days
Riga Rest
3 days

Grobiņa vs Riga: result, form and history

Riga beat Grobiņa 5-2 in the Virsliga on 26 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Riga had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Grobiņa.

Riga have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Grobiņa tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 4.8 for Riga.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
8%11.10
X
14%6.10
2
78%1.19
Double Chance
1X
21%4.05
X2
92%1.04
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Samuel PedroAssist: Muhammed Badammosi
12'Aleksa Jovanović
13'Muhammed Badammosi(Penalty)
17'Coli SacoAssist: Ahmed Ankrah
18'Oladotun Olatunde-Matthew INgustavs leitans out
18'hirotaka yamada INGļebs Kļuškins out
22'Andrés Salazar
27'Gļebs Kļuškins
28'Muhammed BadammosiAssist: Salah hand m
29'Karl Gameni Wassom
30'Krisjanis rupeiks
38'Antonijs Černomordijs
45+1'Milan·Corryn INArtjoms Puzirevskis out
46'Andrés Salazar INNor Nor Emmanuel Maviram out
46'Karl Gameni Wassom INAbner Salles da Silva out
63'Dodo INAnton Baydal out
63'martin jose INIvan·Tyshchenko out
67'Salah hand m INramires reginaldo out
67'Salah hand mAssist: Antonijs Černomordijs
68'Raivis Jurkovskis INmeissa diop out
79'Artjoms PuzirevskisAssist: Maksims Sidorovs
87'Ahmed Ankrah INIago Siqueira out
89'Artjoms PuzirevskisAssist: Ivan·Tyshchenko

Lineups

Grobiņa
4-4-2Coach: Oskars Klava
Riga
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Guľa
Avg rating5.70
Avg rating7.03
R. Ozols6.421R. Ozols
K. Rupeiks5.22K. Rupeiks
A. Jovanović4.515A. Jovanović
D. Družiņins5.63D. Družiņins
R. Baravykas4.727R. Baravykas
Dodô77Dodô
O. Olatunde-Matthew5.58O. Olatunde-Matthew
8787m. jose
M. Sidorovs5.314M. Sidorovs
H. Yamada20H. Yamada
M. Corryn5.76M. Corryn
F. Orols6.091F. Orols
R. Jurkovskis6.913R. Jurkovskis
A. Černomordijs6.834A. Černomordijs
K. Wassom6.55K. Wassom
A. Salazar6.717A. Salazar
C. Saco8.26C. Saco
A. Ankrah7.740A. Ankrah
A. Taiwo6.425A. Taiwo
S. Oulad M'Hand18S. Oulad M'Hand
Samuel Pedro8.215S. Pedro
M. Badamosi9.019M. Badamosi

Grobiņa Substitutes

80A. Baydal63'for Dodo6.2
32G. Kļuškins18'for hirotaka yamada27'5.7
7J. Krautmanis
1V. Kudrjavcevs
5G. Leitans18'for Oladotun Olatunde-Matthew6.1
99A. Puzirevskis45+1'for Milan·Corryn79'89'7.9
88I. Tyshchenko63'replaced by martin jose

Riga Substitutes

3Abner46'for Karl Gameni Wassom6.6
7R. Aouani
22M. Diop68'for Raivis Jurkovskis6.7
8Iago Siqueira Augusto87'for Ahmed Ankrah6.2
44M. Kazainis
60E. Maviram46'for Andrés Salazar6.5
21B. Musah
10Reginaldo Ramires67'for Salah hand m
23M. Toņiševs

Match Stats

GrobiņaRiga
22%Ball Possession78%
1Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
3Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal9
0Shots off Goal8
1Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots4
11Fouls9
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves0
189Total Passes740
111Passes Accurate651
9Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

GrobiņaGrobiņa
RigaRiga
1379Elo Rating 1760
1.23Attack 1.39
1.67Defense 2.31
27%Hit Rate 54%
21.0Shots per Game 16.9
6.0Shots on Target 6.1
9.0Corners per Game 4.8
1.0Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RigaRiga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GrobiņaGrobiņa0Wins · 0%
Draws110%
RigaRiga9Wins · 90%
3.3Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga02/08/2026
RigaGrobiņa
40
Virsliga29/05/2026
RigaGrobiņa
20
Virsliga18/04/2026
GrobiņaRiga
03
Virsliga02/11/2025
GrobiņaRiga
11
Virsliga10/08/2025
RigaGrobiņa
20
Virsliga14/06/2025
GrobiņaRiga
02
Virsliga19/04/2025
RigaGrobiņa
30
Virsliga31/08/2024
RigaGrobiņa
61
Virsliga22/06/2024
GrobiņaRiga
06
Virsliga02/05/2024
RigaGrobiņa
20

Recent Form

GrobiņaGrobiņa
2W2D6L
17/10/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
32
W
10/10/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
21
L
20/09/2026
TukumsGrobiņa
11
D
12/09/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
06/09/2026
AudaGrobiņa
10
L
29/08/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
10
W
21/08/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
31
L
17/08/2026
AudaGrobiņa
3222
L
10/08/2026
Rīgas FSGrobiņa
61
L
02/08/2026
RigaGrobiņa
40
L
RigaRiga
6W4D0L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Grobiņa vs Riga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Grobiņa and Riga in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Riga are 2nd in the Virsliga, while Grobiņa sit 8th, 53 points behind. League goal record so far: Grobiņa 27-61, Riga 95-33. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.