Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction

Tigres UANL
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Leon
Estadio Universitario, Monterey·Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava 21/10/2026
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
0-2
Finished
LeonLeon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Tigres UANL Rest
3 days
Leon Rest
3 days

Tigres UANL vs Leon: result, form and history

Leon beat Tigres UANL 2-0 in the Liga MX on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Tigres UANL tend to win more corners, 8.8 a game to 4.2 for Leon.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.02
X
26%3.44
2
27%3.54
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
53%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.66
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.19 = 2.93
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.81
Over 3.5
32%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.65
Under 2.5
47%1.95
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.36
Over 9.5
50%1.68
Over 10.5
39%2.07
Under 8.5
38%2.70
Under 9.5
50%2.07
Under 10.5
61%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.29
Over 4.5
47%1.67
Under 3.5
34%3.40
Under 4.5
53%2.10

Match Events

19'Ismael Díaz
46'Sebastián VegasPersistent infringement
58'Jonathan Herrera INRodrigo Aguirre out
58'Henrique Simeone INDiego Sánchez out
64'Ivan Moreno INBryan Colula out
64'Fernando Beltran INJose Rodriguez out
73'Sebastián Vegas INDiber Cambindo out
73'Jose Alvarado INChristopher Mora out
81'Emiliano Gómez INRicardo Monreal out
81'Fernando Gorriarán INCesar Araujo out
84'Edgar Guerra INPaul Bellón out
86'Jesús Garza INjaidyn contreras out
89'Diber CambindoAssist: Rodrigo Echeverría

Lineups

Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Vucetich
Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Gandolfi
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating7.12
N. Guzmán6.51N. Guzmán
J. Garza6.514J. Garza
A. Franco7.015A. Franco
R. Guerrero6.433R. Guerrero
M. Laínez6.919M. Laínez
F. Gorriarán7.28F. Gorriarán
Simeone7.234Simeone
D. Lainez6.816D. Lainez
E. Gómez6.69E. Gómez
O. Herrera6.077O. Herrera
G. Martínez6.322G. Martínez
Ó. García8.023Ó. García
I. Moreno7.47I. Moreno
J. Romaña7.114J. Romaña
Juan José Guevara Possu6.93J. José Guevara Possu
S. Vegas7.15S. Vegas
R. Echeverría7.720R. Echeverría
E. Guerra6.618E. Guerra
F. Beltrán6.76F. Beltrán
D. Arcila6.613D. Arcila
I. Díaz8.211I. Díaz
J. Alvarado6.319J. Alvarado

Tigres UANL Substitutes

29J. Contreras86'for Jesús Garza6.4
5C. Araújo81'for Fernando Gorriarán5.8
17R. Aguirre58'for Jonathan Herrera6.2
184I. Aceves
32V. Loroña
21R. Monreal81'for Emiliano Gómez6.2
25F. Rodríguez
30D. Sánchez58'for Henrique Simeone6.7
6J. Vigón
192E. J. Villavicencio Avila

Leon Substitutes

25P. Bellón84'for Edgar Guerra7.0
27D. Cambindo73'for Sebastián Vegas89'7.4
4B. Colula64'for Ivan Moreno7.2
247I. Espinosa
203J. Lara
21S. Londoño
181Irving Martínez
185C. Mora73'for Jose Alvarado6.9
26S. Reyes
29J. Rodríguez64'for Fernando Beltran6.9

Match Stats

Tigres UANLLeon
70%Ball Possession30%
16Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots4
5Fouls18
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
636Total Passes279
563Passes Accurate205
18Free Kicks4

Team Comparison

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
LeonLeon
1634Elo Rating 1663
0.98Attack 1.89
1.56Defense 1.35
36%Hit Rate 44%
14.7Shots per Game 11.5
6.2Shots on Target 5.0
8.8Corners per Game 4.2
0.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Tigres UANLTigres UANL4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
LeonLeon4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX01/02/2026
LeonTigres UANL
12
Liga MX14/09/2025
Tigres UANLLeon
00
Liga MX23/02/2025
LeonTigres UANL
10
Liga MX28/09/2024
Tigres UANLLeon
22
Liga MX18/01/2024
LeonTigres UANL
12
Liga MX16/07/2023
Tigres UANLLeon
10
CONCACAF Champions League04/05/2023
LeonTigres UANL
31
Liga MX01/05/2023
LeonTigres UANL
30
CONCACAF Champions League26/04/2023
Tigres UANLLeon
21
Liga MX11/09/2022
Tigres UANLLeon
01

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava204 matches

4.70Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.35Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava4.70
Other referees4.57

4.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 192 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1283132:16+1627WWDWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823WDDLD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1372429:22+723WWDDL
4TolucaToluca1364328:18+1022DDLDL
5LeonLeon1363420:17+321WLDWD
6AtlasAtlas1363421:23-221LWDWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1262423:17+620WWDLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1262416:15+120LLWWD
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1361619:16+319WWWWW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1245317:16+117DDDLD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1344519:22-316LWDLD
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1344518:22-416WDLWW
13PueblaPuebla1344513:17-416LDDLD
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1335514:18-414LDWWL
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1335514:19-514WLLWD
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1334620:18+213LLDLD
17NecaxaNecaxa1323815:26-119LLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1311118:32-244LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1232:1627
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1320:1223
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1329:2223
4TolucaToluca1328:1822
5LeonLeon1320:1721
6AtlasAtlas1321:2321
7MonterreyMonterrey1223:1720
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1216:1520
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1319:1619
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1217:1617
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1319:2216
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1318:2216
13PueblaPuebla1313:1716
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1314:1814
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1314:1914
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1320:1813
17NecaxaNecaxa1315:269
18FC JuarezFC Juarez138:324
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About the Tigres UANL vs Leon forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tigres UANL and Leon in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Leon are 5th and Tigres UANL 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Tigres UANL 14-18, Leon 20-17. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.