Leon vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Leon
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Atletico San Luis
Estadio Leon, Leon·Daniel Quintero Huitrón, Mexico 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Leon Rest
3 days
Atletico San Luis Rest
9 days

Leon vs Atletico San Luis: the result in context

Leon beat Atletico San Luis 2-0 in the Liga MX on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Leon have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.75
X
23%3.80
2
22%4.10
Double Chance
1X
78%1.21
X2
45%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.62
No
40%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.07 = 2.74
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.68
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.10
Under 2.5
42%2.11
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Sebastián Pérez Bouquet INLeonardo Flores out
49'Jesús LaraDissent
49'Diber CambindoAssist: Jhohan Romana
67'Ivan Moreno INBryan Colula out
68'Jordi Cortizo INJose Alvarado out
68'Jose Rodriguez INFernando Beltran out
68'Román Torres INBenjamín Galdames out
68'David Rodriguez INLuis Ronaldo Najera Reyna out
71'Diber CambindoAssist: Fernando Beltran
77'Rafael Llorente INFelipe Mora out
77'Sebastien Salles-lamonge INRoberto Meraz out
80'Diber Cambindo INIsmael Díaz out
81'Roberto MerazFoul
88'Daniel Arcila INEdgar Guerra out
90+1'Benjamín GalindoFoul

Lineups

Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Gandolfi
Atletico San Luis
3-4-3Coach: Diego Mejía
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.47
Ó. García7.223Ó. García
I. Moreno6.87I. Moreno
J. Romaña7.414J. Romaña
Juan José Guevara Possu7.53J. José Guevara Possu
S. Reyes7.026S. Reyes
J. Rodríguez6.429J. Rodríguez
J. Cortizo7.116J. Cortizo
R. Echeverría6.720R. Echeverría
J. Lara6.3203J. Lara
D. Arcila6.913D. Arcila
D. Cambindo9.727D. Cambindo
G. Lajud7.825G. Lajud
B. Galindo6.230B. Galindo
E.  Águila6.631E. Águila
A. Cruz6.518A. Cruz
R. Torres6.42R. Torres
Ó. Macías6.821Ó. Macías
S. Salles-Lamonge6.810S. Salles-Lamonge
S. Pérez Bouquet6.726S. Pérez Bouquet
Rafa Llorente6.122R. Llorente
D. Rodríguez6.411D. Rodríguez
A. Duarte6.817A. Duarte

Leon Substitutes

19J. Alvarado68'for Jordi Cortizo6.5
25P. Bellón
6F. Beltrán68'for Jose Rodriguez7.2
4B. Colula67'for Ivan Moreno6.6
185C. Mora
11I. Díaz80'for Diber Cambindo6.8
15S. Fierro
18E. Guerra88'for Daniel Arcila6.5
181I. Martinez
33A. Villegas

Atletico San Luis Substitutes

13J. Caicedo
20L. Flores45'for Sebastián Pérez Bouquet6.3
7B. Galdames68'for Román Torres6.1
14M. García
23C. López
5R. Meraz77'for Sebastien Salles-lamonge81'5.8
99F. Mora77'for Rafael Llorente6.3
19S. Muñóz
8L. Nájera68'for David Rodriguez5.9
6Juanpe

Match Stats

LeonAtletico San Luis
42%Ball Possession58%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box7
13Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls8
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves7
407Total Passes577
358Passes Accurate518
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

LeonLeon
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1655Elo Rating 1587
1.53Attack 0.93
1.26Defense 2.09
19%Hit Rate 42%
14.0Shots per Game 14.6
5.2Shots on Target 4.0
5.1Corners per Game 4.5
3.2Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LeonLeon6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX22/03/2026
Atletico San LuisLeon
12
Liga MX14/07/2025
LeonAtletico San Luis
01
Liga MX17/02/2025
Atletico San LuisLeon
12
Liga MX22/09/2024
LeonAtletico San Luis
10
Liga MX25/02/2024
LeonAtletico San Luis
10
Liga MX24/11/2023
Atletico San LuisLeon
32
Liga MX24/08/2023
Atletico San LuisLeon
30
Liga MX08/05/2023
LeonAtlético San Luis
13
Liga MX05/03/2023
LeonAtletico San Luis
20
Liga MX04/07/2022
Atletico San LuisLeon
12

Recent Form

LeonLeon
7W1D2L
11/09/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasLeon
31
L
07/09/2026
LeonClub America
10
W
03/09/2026
TolucaLeon
20
L
29/08/2026
Atlante FCLeon
11
D
26/08/2026
LeonReal Salt Lake
30
W
22/08/2026
LeonMonterrey
20
W
18/08/2026
NecaxaLeon
12
W
13/08/2026
Inter MiamiLeon
23
W
09/08/2026
Orlando City SCLeon
12
W
06/08/2026
Nashville SCLeon
01
W

Referee Profile

Daniel Quintero Huitrón29 matches

4.45Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Quintero Huitrón4.45
Other referees4.71

4.45 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
Promotion

About the Leon vs Atletico San Luis forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leon and Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Leon are 7th and Atletico San Luis 14th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Leon 23-21, Atletico San Luis 19-24. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.